market detail
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · 0x5db999fa…d16846
Outcomes
Yes18.5¢
10 leaders·avg entry 28.7¢·MV $339.7K
No84.5¢
25 leaders·avg entry 69.6¢·MV $2.88M
Leader exposure
Every ranked wallet currently holding this market
| Trader | Side | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QuietRiskisWrong | No | 993,325 | 72.1¢ | 84.5¢ | +17.2% | $839.4K | +$123.1K |
| nojnn | No | 815,756 | 68.8¢ | 84.5¢ | +22.8% | $689.3K | +$128.2K |
| 65765757 | No | 458,373 | 69.5¢ | 84.5¢ | +21.6% | $387.3K | +$68.7K |
| ImJustKen | No | 225,642 | 67.2¢ | 84.5¢ | +25.7% | $190.7K | +$39.0K |
| denizz | No | 220,091 | 63.7¢ | 84.5¢ | +32.6% | $186.0K | +$45.7K |
| TheQuietRisk | Yes | 1,006,379 | 23.9¢ | 17.5¢ | -26.7% | $176.1K | -$64.1K |
| aenews2 | No | 173,364 | 71.0¢ | 84.5¢ | +19.0% | $146.5K | +$23.4K |
| SecondWindCapital | Yes | 819,221 | 34.7¢ | 17.0¢ | -51.0% | $139.3K | -$145.1K |
| Soft-Lantern | No | 100,114 | 71.8¢ | 84.5¢ | +17.6% | $84.6K | +$12.7K |
| Kevindoto | No | 100,000 | 71.3¢ | 83.5¢ | +17.1% | $83.5K | +$12.2K |
| cocos228 | No | 74,469 | 68.8¢ | 84.5¢ | +22.7% | $62.9K | +$11.6K |
| SaylorMoon | No | 54,386 | 67.2¢ | 83.5¢ | +24.2% | $45.4K | +$8.8K |
| Erasmus. | No | 52,007 | 72.9¢ | 84.5¢ | +15.8% | $43.9K | +$6.0K |
| YatSen | No | 24,193 | 44.6¢ | 84.5¢ | +89.4% | $20.4K | +$9.6K |
| Dropper | No | 23,841 | 71.3¢ | 84.5¢ | +18.5% | $20.1K | +$3.1K |
| wan123 | No | 22,312 | 68.1¢ | 84.5¢ | +24.0% | $18.9K | +$3.7K |
| ScottyNooo | No | 17,371 | 80.9¢ | 83.5¢ | +3.3% | $14.5K | +$459 |
| rebotsliaf | No | 15,999 | 70.1¢ | 80.5¢ | +14.9% | $12.9K | +$1.7K |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | No | 10,000 | 66.0¢ | 84.5¢ | +28.0% | $8.4K | +$1.8K |
| 0x59253f9a0Cdf254fa4518FD3aAe2541f9e0AB194-1730780830728 | No | 10,000 | 70.0¢ | 82.5¢ | +17.9% | $8.3K | +$1.3K |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes | 44,250 | 16.5¢ | 15.5¢ | -5.8% | $6.9K | -$426 |
| 0xE5F0AE9cc9aeF77ae3c2A64c9E69caa3F335dc1d-1773531520731 | Yes | 44,043 | 34.4¢ | 15.5¢ | -55.0% | $6.8K | -$8.3K |
| TrevorPlovdivBulgariaForHisBirthday | No | 7,361 | 38.0¢ | 83.5¢ | +119.7% | $6.1K | +$3.3K |
| Parz1vaI | No | 7,166 | 74.6¢ | 83.5¢ | +11.9% | $6.0K | +$636 |
| yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes | 38,554 | 20.8¢ | 15.5¢ | -25.4% | $6.0K | -$2.0K |
| Ronaldo2100 | No | 5,555 | 67.0¢ | 82.5¢ | +23.1% | $4.6K | +$861 |
| SwissMiss | Yes | 22,640 | 52.1¢ | 15.0¢ | -71.2% | $3.4K | -$8.4K |
| tutrucks | No | 2,346 | 68.0¢ | 84.5¢ | +24.3% | $2.0K | +$387 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 5,698 | 19.5¢ | 16.5¢ | -15.6% | $940 | -$173 |
| ProfessionalPunter | No | 545 | 75.8¢ | 83.5¢ | +10.2% | $455 | +$42 |
| Ru386 | Yes | 1,724 | 30.2¢ | 18.5¢ | -38.7% | $319 | -$201 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | No | 169 | 73.3¢ | 83.5¢ | +13.9% | $141 | +$17 |
| Logan. | No | 125 | 68.8¢ | 83.5¢ | +21.3% | $104 | +$18 |
| 0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451 | Yes | 116 | 34.0¢ | 17.0¢ | -50.0% | $20 | -$20 |
| mombil | Yes | 1 | 31.0¢ | 17.5¢ | -43.5% | $0 | -$0 |
Recent trades on this market
| Time UTC | Side | Notional | Price | Trader | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 23:23 UTC | SELL | $1.6K | 16.0¢ | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes |
| 2026-06-04 18:47 UTC | SELL | $2.5K | 83.0¢ | QuietRiskisWrong | No |
| 2026-06-04 14:34 UTC | SELL | $1.7K | 83.0¢ | QuietRiskisWrong | No |
| 2026-06-04 11:10 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-04 03:47 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-04 03:46 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-03 18:27 UTC | SELL | $820 | 82.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-03 16:42 UTC | SELL | $820 | 82.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-03 03:21 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-03 03:18 UTC | SELL | $2.5K | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-03 03:14 UTC | SELL | $1.7K | 83.0¢ | nojnn | No |
| 2026-06-03 03:14 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | nojnn | No |
| 2026-06-03 01:47 UTC | SELL | $1.6K | 82.0¢ | nojnn | No |
| 2026-06-03 01:45 UTC | SELL | $492 | 82.0¢ | nojnn | No |
| 2026-06-02 23:47 UTC | SELL | $2.5K | 82.0¢ | nojnn | No |
| 2026-06-02 23:39 UTC | SELL | $540 | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-02 23:38 UTC | SELL | $1.7K | 83.0¢ | 65765757 | No |
| 2026-06-02 13:15 UTC | SELL | $830 | 83.0¢ | QuietRiskisWrong | No |
| 2026-06-01 13:32 UTC | BUY | $3.1K | 15.9¢ | yungstalin | Yes |
| 2026-06-01 00:58 UTC | SELL | $532 | 84.0¢ | 78979879879879 | No |
| 2026-06-01 00:57 UTC | SELL | $840 | 84.0¢ | 78979879879879 | No |
| 2026-06-01 00:48 UTC | SELL | $840 | 84.0¢ | 78979879879879 | No |
| 2026-06-01 00:45 UTC | SELL | $840 | 84.0¢ | 78979879879879 | No |
| 2026-05-31 16:46 UTC | BUY | $5.1K | 17.0¢ | TheQuietRisk | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 15:48 UTC | SELL | $226 | 84.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC | SELL | $7.3K | 14.0¢ | AdrianCronauer | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC | SELL | $809 | 8.0¢ | AdrianCronauer | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC | SELL | $11.7K | 10.1¢ | AdrianCronauer | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC | SELL | $3.1K | 15.2¢ | AdrianCronauer | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 15:03 UTC | SELL | $5.2K | 16.3¢ | AdrianCronauer | Yes |
| 2026-05-31 01:54 UTC | BUY | $2.0K | 82.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-30 20:17 UTC | SELL | $810 | 81.0¢ | 78979879879879 | No |
| 2026-05-29 04:19 UTC | BUY | $1.0K | 17.0¢ | TheQuietRisk | Yes |
| 2026-05-29 01:54 UTC | SELL | $550 | 17.0¢ | neutralwave23 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 18:02 UTC | SELL | $8.8K | 17.2¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 18:02 UTC | SELL | $1.5K | 17.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 17:45 UTC | SELL | $1.1K | 19.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 16:51 UTC | BUY | $3.1K | 81.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-28 04:23 UTC | BUY | $1.5K | 77.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-28 03:26 UTC | BUY | $4.4K | 23.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 03:06 UTC | BUY | $3.7K | 22.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-28 00:03 UTC | BUY | $780 | 78.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-28 00:01 UTC | BUY | $1.6K | 78.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-27 23:11 UTC | BUY | $308 | 22.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-27 23:10 UTC | BUY | $8.2K | 20.5¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |
| 2026-05-27 13:00 UTC | BUY | $6.7K | 82.0¢ | ScottyNooo | No |
| 2026-05-27 12:56 UTC | BUY | $883 | 81.0¢ | Soft-Lantern | No |
| 2026-05-27 10:09 UTC | BUY | $397 | 19.0¢ | TheQuietRisk | Yes |
| 2026-05-27 10:08 UTC | BUY | $2.3K | 19.0¢ | TheQuietRisk | Yes |
| 2026-05-27 04:15 UTC | BUY | $113 | 19.0¢ | yuhyuhyuhy352352 | Yes |