trader profile

ProfessionalPunter

0x22e4248bdb066f65c9f11cd66cdd3719a28eef1c

Open MV$68.0K20 positions

Open PnL+$11.8K21.0% on basis

Realized PnL+$53.6K45 closed

Hit rate71%Wilson lower 57%

Volume observed$659.5K292 trades · 78 markets

Current rank—last trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions

Market · Outcome	Size	Avg cost	Current	Δ%	MV	PnL
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Noin 24d	30,000	58.2¢	77.0¢	+32.3%	$23.1K	+$5.6K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec…Yesin 1d	19,270	58.1¢	73.5¢	+26.4%	$14.2K	+$3.0K
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d	8,627	58.4¢	87.2¢	+49.2%	$7.5K	+$2.5K
Netanyahu out by June 30?Noin 24d	5,000	84.8¢	97.2¢	+14.5%	$4.9K	+$616
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Noin 9d	5,000	92.0¢	96.6¢	+5.0%	$4.8K	+$231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Noin 1d	3,000	93.0¢	95.5¢	+2.7%	$2.9K	+$75
OpenAI IPO before 2027?Yesin 208d	3,025	26.0¢	76.0¢	+192.3%	$2.3K	+$1.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Noin 9d	2,500	84.0¢	86.5¢	+3.0%	$2.2K	+$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d	5,000	70.0¢	38.5¢	-45.0%	$1.9K	-$1.6K
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yesin 24d	10,884	13.2¢	11.5¢	-12.9%	$1.3K	-$185
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at mark…Noin 24d	1,000	92.4¢	95.8¢	+3.6%	$958	+$34
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?Yesin 208d	4,432	24.0¢	12.5¢	-47.9%	$554	-$510
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d	545	75.8¢	83.5¢	+10.2%	$455	+$42
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market clos…Yesin 24d	1,185	4.7¢	29.9¢	+535.3%	$355	+$299
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at mar…Yesin 24d	2,080	5.4¢	13.6¢	+151.1%	$282	+$170
5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yesin 208d	709	51.0¢	30.0¢	-41.2%	$213	-$149
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at marke…Yesin 24d	1,060	5.3¢	12.9¢	+143.5%	$137	+$81
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market…Yesin 24d	1,000	5.2¢	5.9¢	+13.3%	$58	+$7
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yesin 209d	93	27.7¢	22.5¢	-18.9%	$21	-$5
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Lead…No	10	95.0¢	88.8¢	-6.6%	$9	-$1

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching

Market · Outcome	Qty	Avg cost	Avg exit	Realized	Via	Closed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes	1,046	75.4¢	100.0¢	+$257	resolution	2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes	1,156	98.0¢	100.0¢	+$23	resolution	2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No	15,829	62.7¢	0.0¢	-$9.9K	resolution	2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes	1,006	69.0¢	100.0¢	+$312	resolution	2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes	2,378	97.0¢	100.0¢	+$71	resolution	2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes	3,257	98.0¢	100.0¢	+$65	resolution	2026-06-03 09:08 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No	40,946	58.4¢	100.0¢	+$17.0K	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes	9,027	97.0¢	100.0¢	+$271	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes	605	20.7¢	0.0¢	-$125	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 20…No	1,553	98.9¢	100.0¢	+$17	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes	259	82.0¢	100.0¢	+$47	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No	1,560	75.7¢	100.0¢	+$380	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No	8,671	97.6¢	100.0¢	+$206	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May…Yes	1,555	99.4¢	100.0¢	+$10	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second r…Yes	19	69.0¢	66.3¢	-$1	trade	2026-05-28 15:25 UTC
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second r…Yes	5	69.0¢	69.0¢	$0	trade	2026-05-28 15:24 UTC
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second ro…No	13	90.5¢	81.0¢	-$1	trade	2026-05-28 15:24 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes	3,027	71.7¢	35.0¢	-$1.1K	trade	2026-05-28 02:41 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes	543	98.2¢	99.5¢	+$7	trade	2026-05-27 23:19 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes	427	74.7¢	45.0¢	-$127	trade	2026-05-27 23:02 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes	1,000	74.7¢	45.0¢	-$297	trade	2026-05-27 23:02 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No	56	99.6¢	100.0¢	+$0	resolution	2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No	50,505	50.4¢	100.0¢	+$25.1K	resolution	2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of Jun…Yes	1	74.9¢	78.6¢	+$0	trade	2026-05-25 18:23 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No	3,593	50.4¢	87.0¢	+$1.3K	trade	2026-05-25 15:39 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No	5	41.0¢	44.0¢	+$0	trade	2026-05-23 22:03 UTC
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…Yes	3,196	64.0¢	72.0¢	+$256	trade	2026-05-20 04:28 UTC
Netanyahu out by April 30?No	1,888	98.7¢	99.9¢	+$23	trade	2026-04-30 02:12 UTC
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?Yes	340	93.0¢	100.0¢	+$24	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Trump out as President by April 30?No	9,265	98.6¢	100.0¢	+$130	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of A…Yes	305	39.9¢	0.0¢	-$122	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end o…Yes	9,987	89.0¢	100.0¢	+$1.1K	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April…No	372	70.4¢	100.0¢	+$110	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of Apr…Yes	9,272	69.4¢	100.0¢	+$2.8K	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes	62,120	99.6¢	100.0¢	+$274	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end o…No	276	40.5¢	0.0¢	-$112	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Netanyahu out by April 30?No	23,361	98.7¢	100.0¢	+$304	resolution	2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No	3,920	62.7¢	3.9¢	-$2.3K	trade	2026-04-28 00:35 UTC
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of A…Yes	10,074	39.9¢	11.0¢	-$2.9K	trade	2026-04-27 16:01 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No	289	62.7¢	36.0¢	-$77	trade	2026-04-26 22:01 UTC
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 24,…No	115	8.0¢	0.0¢	-$9	resolution	2026-04-24 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No	48,700	99.9¢	100.0¢	+$70	resolution	2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No	652	85.0¢	0.0¢	-$554	resolution	2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes	1,592	98.0¢	100.0¢	+$32	resolution	2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?Yes	3,870	91.9¢	100.0¢	+$315	resolution	2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No	231	93.4¢	75.5¢	-$41	trade	2026-04-13 04:25 UTC
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No	300	93.4¢	75.4¢	-$54	trade	2026-04-13 04:25 UTC
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No	122	93.4¢	76.0¢	-$21	trade	2026-04-13 04:25 UTC
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No	200	93.4¢	76.2¢	-$34	trade	2026-04-13 04:25 UTC
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?No	16	93.4¢	76.3¢	-$3	trade	2026-04-13 04:25 UTC

83 total · page 1 of 2← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills

Time UTC	Side	Size	Price	Market
2026-06-03 05:17 UTC	BUY	5,000	99.7¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 22:33 UTC	BUY	4,233	77.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-06-01 15:35 UTC	BUY	44	72.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-29 20:54 UTC	BUY	1,281	99.4¢	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 20:54 UTC	BUY	141	99.3¢	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 02:12 UTC	BUY	132	99.1¢	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 20:38 UTC	BUY	10	95.0¢	Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderbo…No
2026-05-28 20:36 UTC	BUY	56	99.6¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?NoResolved
2026-05-28 15:25 UTC	SELL	19	66.3¢	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-05-28 15:24 UTC	SELL	5	69.0¢	Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-05-28 15:24 UTC	SELL	13	81.0¢	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…No
2026-05-28 03:47 UTC	BUY	113	99.3¢	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?NoResolved
2026-05-28 02:41 UTC	SELL	3,027	35.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 23:21 UTC	BUY	30	94.0¢	Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…No
2026-05-27 23:20 UTC	BUY	20	83.0¢	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-05-27 23:19 UTC	SELL	11,543	99.5¢	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-27 23:02 UTC	SELL	427	45.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 23:02 UTC	SELL	1,000	45.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 17:20 UTC	SELL	0	28.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 17:14 UTC	SELL	13	29.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 17:13 UTC	SELL	4,891	29.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 00:03 UTC	BUY	8,558	97.6¢	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?NoResolved
2026-05-26 18:03 UTC	BUY	100	83.0¢	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-05-25 23:25 UTC	BUY	528	20.6¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-25 23:21 UTC	BUY	77	21.0¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-25 23:20 UTC	BUY	420	38.0¢	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-05-25 22:59 UTC	BUY	109	95.5¢	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 18:34 UTC	SELL	0	98.4¢	Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on…No
2026-05-25 18:33 UTC	SELL	0	98.7¢	Trump out as President by June 30?No
2026-05-25 18:23 UTC	SELL	1	78.6¢	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes
2026-05-25 15:39 UTC	SELL	3,593	87.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-25 00:35 UTC	BUY	434	98.9¢	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 00:26 UTC	BUY	4,277	91.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	320	86.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	93	85.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	570	84.5¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	30	83.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	44	83.0¢	Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	43	85.0¢	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	82	85.0¢	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-05-24 15:29 UTC	BUY	53	84.0¢	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-05-24 06:33 UTC	BUY	90	73.9¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 05:34 UTC	BUY	350	76.0¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 05:34 UTC	BUY	55	75.8¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 05:33 UTC	BUY	1,065	75.7¢	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 05:33 UTC	BUY	1,243	71.6¢	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No
2026-05-24 03:46 UTC	BUY	135	59.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No
2026-05-24 03:46 UTC	BUY	386	58.8¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No
2026-05-24 03:43 UTC	BUY	32	55.9¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No
2026-05-24 03:32 UTC	BUY	95	54.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No