trader profile

denizz

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
Open MV$1.20M40 positions
Open PnL+$212.0K21.4% on basis
Realized PnL$00 closed
Hit rate—Wilson lower 0%
Volume observed$3.69M1,082 trades · 112 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d289,84266.1¢86.5¢+30.9%$250.7K+$59.1K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d220,09163.7¢84.5¢+32.6%$186.0K+$45.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d157,88081.5¢97.7¢+19.8%$154.2K+$25.4K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Noin 24d90,72577.4¢97.4¢+25.8%$88.3K+$18.1K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Noin 208d71,71474.3¢89.5¢+20.4%$64.2K+$10.9K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Noin 24d52,89379.5¢98.3¢+23.5%$52.0K+$9.9K
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d51,92083.2¢93.5¢+12.4%$48.5K+$5.4K
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yesin 208d64,57351.2¢67.5¢+31.7%$43.6K+$10.5K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Noin 208d47,68173.1¢79.5¢+8.7%$37.9K+$3.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d114,72822.5¢27.5¢+22.2%$31.6K+$5.7K
Iran leadership change by December 31?Noin 208d38,85460.2¢72.5¢+20.4%$28.2K+$4.8K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Noin 24d29,34969.9¢92.5¢+32.3%$27.1K+$6.6K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 208d37,06757.6¢70.8¢+22.9%$26.2K+$4.9K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yesin 208d30,79465.3¢70.0¢+7.2%$21.6K+$1.4K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Noin 208d31,63056.6¢58.5¢+3.3%$18.5K+$597
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d199,99911.1¢8.5¢-23.5%$17.0K-$5.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d51,60633.7¢28.5¢-15.5%$14.7K-$2.7K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d35,19335.2¢38.5¢+9.3%$13.5K+$1.1K
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Noin 208d16,69866.3¢74.0¢+11.5%$12.4K+$1.3K
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d11,34463.6¢89.5¢+40.8%$10.2K+$2.9K
Iran leadership change by June 30?Noin 24d10,38074.9¢93.0¢+24.1%$9.7K+$1.9K
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Noin 208d6,84374.6¢79.5¢+6.5%$5.4K+$333
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 9d76,7719.5¢6.5¢-31.4%$5.0K-$2.3K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d19,79822.5¢23.5¢+4.3%$4.7K+$194
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Noin 208d4,99477.6¢86.0¢+10.8%$4.3K+$420
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d25,11514.6¢14.5¢-0.8%$3.6K-$31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July…Noin 55d4,44468.0¢71.5¢+5.1%$3.2K+$156
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d2,96579.9¢98.4¢+23.2%$2.9K+$549
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Noin 208d3,08980.6¢89.5¢+11.0%$2.8K+$274
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 1d12,64124.1¢21.5¢-10.8%$2.7K-$329
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Noin 208d3,50643.0¢71.5¢+66.1%$2.5K+$998
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yesin 24d4,47642.9¢39.6¢-7.8%$1.8K-$149
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Yesin 24d3,33344.0¢43.5¢-1.1%$1.4K-$17
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?Noin 24d1,50394.1¢96.3¢+2.3%$1.4K+$33
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Noin 208d1,33176.2¢85.0¢+11.5%$1.1K+$117
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June…Noin 24d1,46371.5¢76.0¢+6.4%$1.1K+$66
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Noin 208d1,17476.3¢92.5¢+21.2%$1.1K+$190
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d89880.0¢84.5¢+5.6%$759+$40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d91059.0¢60.5¢+2.5%$551+$14
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yesin 24d20038.0¢40.0¢+5.3%$80+$4

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
No closed positions yet.
0 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 00:54 UTCBUY7,57999.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-06-01 00:02 UTCSELL453,8450.5¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-31 23:33 UTCBUY89659.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No
2026-05-31 23:32 UTCBUY23098.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-31 23:31 UTCBUY1,42598.5¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 19:36 UTCBUY25598.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-31 19:33 UTCBUY5,34398.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 17:58 UTCBUY30797.5¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 17:57 UTCBUY3,83297.6¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-31 17:54 UTCSELL2,6851.5¢Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-31 17:27 UTCBUY42524.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-31 16:31 UTCBUY51997.3¢Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 16:27 UTCBUY8,25036.0¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-05-31 16:26 UTCSELL20,5411.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-31 16:24 UTCBUY31823.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-31 16:19 UTCBUY3,46597.4¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 02:08 UTCBUY6,37822.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-31 02:04 UTCBUY3,85836.0¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-05-31 02:02 UTCBUY5,82095.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 02:02 UTCBUY3,18995.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-31 02:01 UTCBUY12994.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-31 01:44 UTCBUY1,82727.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-31 00:36 UTCSELL1,17827.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-31 00:02 UTCSELL4329.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-30 23:38 UTCBUY1,16722.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-30 21:29 UTCBUY4,57921.3¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-30 05:16 UTCBUY87282.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-30 05:15 UTCBUY1,18082.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-30 05:09 UTCSELL1795.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-30 05:09 UTCSELL8355.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-30 00:41 UTCSELL3,9341.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-30 00:18 UTCBUY11,38274.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-29 21:49 UTCBUY4,91374.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-29 21:13 UTCSELL1,05416.0¢Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Yes
2026-05-29 20:59 UTCBUY19175.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-29 20:18 UTCBUY68,17374.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-29 20:16 UTCSELL84712.2¢Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 20:16 UTCSELL5,9878.4¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 20:14 UTCSELL256,6556.1¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 20:14 UTCSELL3,7576.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 20:12 UTCSELL46,6619.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-05-29 18:58 UTCSELL2910.0¢Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 18:51 UTCSELL1,06615.8¢Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 17:23 UTCBUY52,29112.6¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-05-29 15:28 UTCBUY56517.1¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:23 UTCBUY1,98115.5¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:17 UTCSELL8,93014.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No
2026-05-29 15:16 UTCSELL5,48224.1¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No
2026-05-29 15:11 UTCSELL3,45275.4¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:09 UTCBUY51914.6¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?YesResolved