trader profile

Kevindoto

0xcd71fd5370880f3d92bb941e628c05840fe0d127
Open MV$337.8K15 positions
Open PnL+$28.1K9.1% on basis
Realized PnL-$4.3K68 closed
Hit rate85%Wilson lower 75%
Volume observed$579.9K201 trades · 87 markets
Current rank—last trade 3d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d114,82691.3¢97.4¢+6.6%$111.8K+$7.0K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d100,00071.3¢83.5¢+17.1%$83.5K+$12.2K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Noin 208d56,50375.1¢85.5¢+13.8%$48.3K+$5.9K
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Rus…Yesin 116d25,00064.5¢55.5¢-14.0%$13.9K-$2.3K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Noin 208d17,42977.8¢79.5¢+2.2%$13.9K+$300
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Noin 208d15,04885.0¢84.5¢-0.6%$12.7K-$75
US strike on Mexico by December 31?Noin 208d10,78475.0¢90.5¢+20.7%$9.8K+$1.7K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Noin 24d10,00096.7¢97.3¢+0.6%$9.7K+$55
Epstein client list released by June 30?Noin 24d9,26975.9¢95.7¢+26.0%$8.9K+$1.8K
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?Noin 208d9,32181.7¢93.5¢+14.4%$8.7K+$1.1K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Noin 208d16,38147.8¢52.5¢+9.8%$8.6K+$767
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Noin 208d15,00049.3¢47.5¢-3.7%$7.1K-$275
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in…No76495.0¢95.5¢+0.5%$730+$4
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?Yesin 208d27448.3¢68.9¢+42.7%$189+$57
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada befor…Noin 208d14448.4¢23.0¢-52.5%$33-$37

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes16,1429.0¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No6,50094.0¢100.0¢+$390resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No2,70024.9¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?No1,38899.6¢100.0¢+$6resolution2026-05-28 00:00 UTC
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Gam…No10,00098.5¢99.9¢+$145trade2026-05-26 00:05 UTC
Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this…No52596.6¢100.0¢+$18resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes1,71199.1¢100.0¢+$16resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Gam…No5,65398.5¢100.0¢+$87resolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No14393.5¢100.0¢+$9resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No4,84099.0¢100.0¢+$48resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…Yes4098.4¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betw…No2697.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No7,80898.0¢99.0¢+$78trade2026-05-20 00:16 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No2,27698.0¢98.6¢+$14trade2026-05-19 14:22 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No1,01673.0¢71.0¢-$20trade2026-05-19 14:05 UTC
Will "Jennifer's Body" be the top US Netflix movie this…No43499.4¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Black Phone 2" be the top US Netflix movie this w…No1299.5¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No10099.3¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "The Proposal" be the top US Netflix movie this we…No26199.4¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No6599.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Home" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No3099.1¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Striking Distance" be the top US Netflix movie th…No11899.4¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this we…No21099.2¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will "Pretty Woman" be the top US Netflix movie this we…No43799.4¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…Yes3,46295.5¢100.0¢+$155resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No4463.7¢100.0¢+$16resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz b…No5,49219.9¢100.0¢+$4.4Kresolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No2,30999.6¢100.0¢+$9resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No3,26597.6¢100.0¢+$79resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No2,66683.0¢100.0¢+$453resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…No34997.0¢100.0¢+$10resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No4,92096.8¢100.0¢+$155resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No1,43990.5¢95.2¢+$68trade2026-05-14 13:56 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No11,14497.2¢100.0¢+$310resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will "Berlin and the Lady with an Ermine" be the top US…No39299.5¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "The Chestnut Man" be the top US Netflix show this…No1099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "Lord of the Flies" be the top US Netflix show thi…No15099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "Running Point" be the top US Netflix show this we…No1,00099.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "The Roast of Kevin Hart" be the top US Netflix sh…No4898.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "Unchosen" be the top US Netflix show this week?No1099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this wee…No9399.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "Legends" be the top US Netflix show this week?No59099.7¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix…No69599.6¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No11,24499.0¢100.0¢+$112resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz b…No5235.0¢0.0¢-$18resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz b…Yes21897.0¢100.0¢+$7resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No4,58897.2¢98.2¢+$45trade2026-05-05 19:49 UTC
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day b…Yes3,02098.8¢71.6¢-$819trade2026-05-05 16:29 UTC
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day b…Yes4,0245.1¢0.2¢-$199trade2026-05-05 13:12 UTC
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day b…Yes5,5620.4¢0.1¢-$17trade2026-05-05 13:12 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-02 11:54 UTCBUY26,25598.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:51 UTCBUY21521.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:39 UTCBUY18,60423.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:37 UTCBUY2,97821.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:35 UTCBUY3,17222.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:32 UTCBUY9,96120.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:31 UTCBUY8,51223.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-31 21:28 UTCBUY14,09985.0¢Will GameStop acquire eBay?No
2026-05-29 13:44 UTCBUY16,1429.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 21:12 UTCBUY12,13524.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-05-27 18:25 UTCBUY1,38899.6¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 28, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-27 14:41 UTCBUY4098.4¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-27 12:37 UTCBUY4,84099.0¢Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-Ma…NoResolved
2026-05-27 12:22 UTCBUY2697.9¢Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May…NoResolved
2026-05-27 12:22 UTCBUY9893.5¢Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-Ma…NoResolved
2026-05-27 12:22 UTCBUY4593.4¢Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-Ma…NoResolved
2026-05-27 11:48 UTCBUY1,16396.7¢Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
2026-05-27 11:46 UTCBUY54583.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-27 00:04 UTCBUY23399.5¢Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?YesResolved
2026-05-27 00:03 UTCBUY1,47899.0¢Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?YesResolved
2026-05-26 00:05 UTCBUY2,12283.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-26 00:05 UTCSELL10,00099.9¢Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?NoResolved
2026-05-25 17:52 UTCBUY1199.9¢Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?NoResolved
2026-05-25 17:52 UTCBUY11,81899.9¢Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?NoResolved
2026-05-25 14:26 UTCBUY3,82494.0¢Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?NoResolved
2026-05-23 15:10 UTCBUY17,36677.8¢Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No
2026-05-23 15:07 UTCBUY16,38147.8¢US strike on Cuba by December 31?No
2026-05-22 12:08 UTCBUY52596.6¢Will "The Boroughs" be the top global Netflix show this week?NoResolved
2026-05-21 19:21 UTCBUY21792.7¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?NoResolved
2026-05-20 13:06 UTCBUY7296.0¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-20 00:16 UTCBUY1,00095.0¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-20 00:16 UTCSELL7,80899.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-20 00:14 UTCBUY47394.2¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-20 00:12 UTCBUY76696.3¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-20 00:12 UTCBUY1,15196.0¢Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…YesResolved
2026-05-19 15:35 UTCBUY3175.0¢Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…NoResolved
2026-05-19 14:22 UTCSELL2,27698.6¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-19 14:08 UTCBUY3,67923.0¢Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…NoResolved
2026-05-19 14:07 UTCBUY37013.8¢Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…NoResolved
2026-05-19 14:06 UTCBUY1,44213.6¢Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…NoResolved
2026-05-19 14:05 UTCSELL5,00071.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
2026-05-19 12:45 UTCBUY1337.0¢Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-Ma…NoResolved
2026-05-18 19:46 UTCBUY2,54660.0¢Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian…Yes
2026-05-18 16:39 UTCBUY10099.4¢Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?NoResolved
2026-05-18 16:39 UTCBUY3498.7¢Will "The Proposal" be the top US Netflix movie this week?NoResolved
2026-05-18 16:39 UTCBUY6599.0¢Will "Swapped" be the top US Netflix movie this week?NoResolved
2026-05-17 15:08 UTCBUY7297.6¢Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-17 15:07 UTCBUY3,11597.6¢Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-17 13:58 UTCBUY9097.0¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-17 13:58 UTCBUY7897.0¢Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved