trader profile

Parz1vaI

0xb10047d6a254b2ebb306d7a7d13bf59171ab6461

Open MV$63.4K35 positions

Open PnL-$1.2K-1.9% on basis

Realized PnL-$17.4K77 closed

Hit rate66%Wilson lower 55%

Volume observed$1.03M544 trades · 123 markets

Current rank—last trade 1d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions

Market · Outcome	Size	Avg cost	Current	Δ%	MV	PnL
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Noin 9d	12,498	87.5¢	92.1¢	+5.3%	$11.5K	+$577
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec…Yesin 1d	12,822	63.9¢	72.5¢	+13.4%	$9.3K	+$1.1K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Noin 24d	6,571	97.4¢	98.0¢	+0.7%	$6.4K	+$45
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhal…Noin 92d	11,179	58.6¢	56.5¢	-3.6%	$6.3K	-$235
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d	7,166	74.6¢	83.5¢	+11.9%	$6.0K	+$636
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d	32,958	20.5¢	15.5¢	-24.4%	$5.1K	-$1.7K
GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?Noin 2d	4,960	88.9¢	90.5¢	+1.8%	$4.5K	+$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?Noin 25d	4,048	97.1¢	97.8¢	+0.7%	$4.0K	+$29
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Noin 24d	2,540	86.2¢	91.4¢	+6.0%	$2.3K	+$132
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d	36,455	3.3¢	4.7¢	+40.9%	$1.7K	+$492
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Noin 208d	2,779	57.8¢	59.5¢	+2.9%	$1.7K	+$47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?Noin 25d	820	83.9¢	91.0¢	+8.5%	$746	+$59
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d	652	88.0¢	91.5¢	+4.0%	$597	+$23
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?Noin 208d	799	77.0¢	73.2¢	-5.0%	$585	-$30
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?Noin 13d	3,605	34.1¢	15.0¢	-56.1%	$541	-$690
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?Noin 24d	1,603	39.6¢	32.0¢	-19.2%	$513	-$122
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Noin 24d	453	77.2¢	89.5¢	+16.0%	$405	+$56
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d	492	73.4¢	65.5¢	-10.8%	$322	-$39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 1d	2,331	81.9¢	9.5¢	-88.4%	$221	-$1.7K
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?Noin 25d	166	96.0¢	98.7¢	+2.8%	$164	+$4
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?Noin 390d	127	96.0¢	97.6¢	+1.7%	$124	+$2
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Noin 25d	100	93.0¢	96.5¢	+3.8%	$97	+$4
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Noin 9d	248	42.5¢	34.5¢	-18.9%	$85	-$20
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d	200	41.0¢	37.5¢	-8.5%	$75	-$7
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Noin 137d	41	82.0¢	88.4¢	+7.9%	$36	+$3
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?Noin 208d	32	87.0¢	93.5¢	+7.5%	$30	+$2
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Noin 208d	26	51.0¢	59.0¢	+15.7%	$16	+$2
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 3…Noin 208d	98	51.8¢	13.6¢	-73.7%	$13	-$37
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yesin 15d	933	1.0¢	1.3¢	+25.0%	$12	+$2
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Noin 1d	12	26.0¢	90.5¢	+248.4%	$11	+$8
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Noin 208d	10	86.0¢	91.5¢	+6.3%	$9	+$1
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?Yesin 24d	60	10.7¢	15.0¢	+40.6%	$9	+$3
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweatherin 106d	11	51.0¢	62.5¢	+22.5%	$7	+$1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Noin 208d	5	95.6¢	98.0¢	+2.5%	$5	+$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d	5	37.0¢	25.1¢	-32.0%	$1	-$1

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching

Market · Outcome	Qty	Avg cost	Avg exit	Realized	Via	Closed
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No	872	92.0¢	100.0¢	+$70	resolution	2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No	725	33.1¢	37.0¢	+$28	trade	2026-06-03 10:25 UTC
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No	1,201	33.1¢	39.0¢	+$71	trade	2026-06-03 10:25 UTC
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No	279	33.0¢	34.0¢	+$3	trade	2026-06-02 12:34 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	44,929	8.6¢	0.6¢	-$3.6K	trade	2026-06-01 21:55 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	3,200	8.6¢	0.7¢	-$254	trade	2026-06-01 21:45 UTC
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No	72	42.5¢	30.1¢	-$9	trade	2026-06-01 15:28 UTC
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No	1,129	33.0¢	44.3¢	+$128	trade	2026-06-01 15:05 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	18,821	52.3¢	70.6¢	+$3.4K	trade	2026-06-01 14:15 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes	17,267	41.3¢	24.0¢	-$3.0K	trade	2026-06-01 13:41 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	6,329	17.2¢	73.0¢	+$3.5K	trade	2026-06-01 13:05 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	17,412	22.6¢	37.3¢	+$2.6K	trade	2026-06-01 13:01 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	24,894	22.6¢	21.3¢	-$325	trade	2026-06-01 12:31 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	3,400	22.6¢	28.0¢	+$183	trade	2026-06-01 12:25 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No	2,109	61.8¢	71.7¢	+$209	trade	2026-06-01 10:19 UTC
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?No	14	98.2¢	100.0¢	+$0	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes	3,544	22.2¢	9.0¢	-$467	trade	2026-05-31 22:25 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes	65,903	11.7¢	0.6¢	-$7.3K	trade	2026-05-31 19:53 UTC
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No	1,002	59.5¢	100.0¢	+$406	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No	758	23.0¢	100.0¢	+$583	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?Yes	611	99.2¢	100.0¢	+$5	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes	223	43.0¢	0.0¢	-$96	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by May 31?No	2,128	93.8¢	100.0¢	+$131	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes	4,999	53.0¢	100.0¢	+$2.3K	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No	601	95.7¢	100.0¢	+$26	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes	1,019	11.7¢	0.0¢	-$119	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?No	8,116	92.0¢	100.0¢	+$649	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?No	5,638	90.0¢	100.0¢	+$565	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?Yes	1,433	13.7¢	0.0¢	-$196	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…Yes	13,283	6.8¢	0.0¢	-$905	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Cassie Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?No	732	95.6¢	100.0¢	+$32	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?No	300	96.0¢	100.0¢	+$12	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?No	1,213	94.4¢	100.0¢	+$68	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No	3,362	96.5¢	100.0¢	+$118	resolution	2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes	13,366	12.3¢	8.0¢	-$576	trade	2026-05-30 22:40 UTC
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No	10	77.2¢	83.0¢	+$1	trade	2026-05-30 22:37 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No	3,145	61.8¢	67.4¢	+$177	trade	2026-05-30 22:21 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No	574	61.6¢	68.2¢	+$37	trade	2026-05-30 18:45 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No	109	61.6¢	72.0¢	+$11	trade	2026-05-30 18:43 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No	15	77.0¢	93.0¢	+$2	trade	2026-05-30 18:42 UTC
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes	726	80.6¢	92.0¢	+$83	trade	2026-05-30 14:49 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	220	28.6¢	12.0¢	-$37	trade	2026-05-30 13:18 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes	2,231	28.6¢	12.6¢	-$358	trade	2026-05-30 12:53 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes	836	82.1¢	31.0¢	-$427	trade	2026-05-30 10:46 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	5,059	59.0¢	100.0¢	+$2.1K	resolution	2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30?Yes	698	93.2¢	100.0¢	+$48	resolution	2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	57	74.8¢	71.5¢	-$2	trade	2026-05-29 21:48 UTC
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No	3,563	62.6¢	56.6¢	-$215	trade	2026-05-29 21:40 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	30	74.8¢	68.8¢	-$2	trade	2026-05-29 21:38 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No	577	74.8¢	72.0¢	-$16	trade	2026-05-29 21:35 UTC

191 total · page 1 of 4← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills

Time UTC	Side	Size	Price	Market
2026-06-04 00:38 UTC	BUY	50	96.1¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No
2026-06-04 00:37 UTC	BUY	2,311	94.8¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No
2026-06-03 15:16 UTC	BUY	933	1.0¢	Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 15:16 UTC	BUY	2,060	99.2¢	Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No
2026-06-03 14:29 UTC	BUY	50,000	99.6¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 10:31 UTC	BUY	6,571	97.4¢	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
2026-06-03 10:26 UTC	BUY	10	38.0¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-03 10:25 UTC	SELL	725	37.0¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-03 10:25 UTC	SELL	1,201	39.0¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-03 10:23 UTC	BUY	190	37.0¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-03 10:23 UTC	BUY	3,172	35.2¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-03 10:12 UTC	BUY	20,000	99.7¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 07:48 UTC	BUY	127	96.0¢	Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 07:47 UTC	BUY	40,000	99.7¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 07:12 UTC	BUY	730	95.0¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No
2026-06-02 22:17 UTC	BUY	139	94.7¢	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-02 19:31 UTC	BUY	729	23.3¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-02 12:34 UTC	SELL	279	34.0¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-02 08:57 UTC	BUY	25,000	99.4¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 08:44 UTC	BUY	25,000	99.4¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 05:38 UTC	BUY	1,096	97.3¢	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No
2026-06-02 00:17 UTC	BUY	492	73.4¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 00:16 UTC	BUY	154	89.0¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No
2026-06-01 22:22 UTC	BUY	139	92.0¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No
2026-06-01 22:20 UTC	BUY	5,392	19.0¢	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-01 22:09 UTC	BUY	1,176	60.0¢	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No
2026-06-01 21:55 UTC	SELL	83,213	0.6¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 21:45 UTC	SELL	3,200	0.7¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 21:20 UTC	BUY	40,409	0.3¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:28 UTC	BUY	281	91.7¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:28 UTC	BUY	273	87.9¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:28 UTC	BUY	533	87.0¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 8, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:28 UTC	SELL	72	30.1¢	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:26 UTC	BUY	589	59.0¢	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:05 UTC	SELL	1,129	44.3¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-01 14:15 UTC	SELL	18,821	70.6¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:14 UTC	BUY	19,990	63.8¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 13:41 UTC	SELL	35,499	24.0¢	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-01 13:05 UTC	SELL	6,329	73.0¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 13:01 UTC	SELL	17,412	37.3¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:31 UTC	SELL	24,894	21.3¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:25 UTC	SELL	3,400	28.0¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:24 UTC	BUY	58,022	20.0¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:13 UTC	BUY	5	81.0¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:08 UTC	BUY	5,591	20.0¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 11:59 UTC	BUY	218	90.1¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 11:48 UTC	BUY	385	11.4¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 11:47 UTC	BUY	190	77.3¢	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 11:27 UTC	BUY	1,381	43.8¢	Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?No
2026-06-01 10:20 UTC	BUY	1,908	88.0¢	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No