trader profile

wan123

0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
Open MV$563.6K46 positions
Open PnL+$3.8K0.7% on basis
Realized PnL$00 closed
Hit rate—Wilson lower 0%
Volume observed$3.00M610 trades · 165 markets
Current rank—last trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d107,09441.3¢86.5¢+109.4%$92.6K+$48.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d579,87714.0¢13.5¢-3.3%$78.3K-$2.7K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Noin 24d64,07560.2¢98.5¢+63.5%$63.1K+$24.5K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…Noin 150d98,13760.1¢62.0¢+3.1%$60.8K+$1.8K
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2…Noin 150d27,84389.7¢95.0¢+5.9%$26.5K+$1.5K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in…Yesin 150d35,90450.3¢71.9¢+42.8%$25.8K+$7.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d26,23457.6¢97.7¢+69.5%$25.6K+$10.5K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026…Yesin 150d50,00046.0¢45.5¢-1.1%$22.7K-$250
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026…Noin 150d50,00046.0¢45.5¢-1.1%$22.7K-$250
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 885d65,27837.4¢30.1¢-19.4%$19.7K-$4.7K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d22,31268.1¢84.5¢+24.0%$18.9K+$3.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d614,9349.2¢2.5¢-72.3%$15.6K-$40.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d24,25336.5¢37.5¢+2.6%$9.1K+$232
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d52,68640.4¢16.5¢-59.2%$8.7K-$12.6K
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 202…Noin 150d8,26658.7¢78.3¢+33.3%$6.5K+$1.6K
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 202…Yesin 150d28,70911.5¢21.8¢+88.4%$6.2K+$2.9K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No15,57439.0¢39.5¢+1.3%$6.2K+$78
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYesin 150d13,42442.0¢44.5¢+6.0%$6.0K+$336
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in…Noin 55d150,59519.9¢3.9¢-80.4%$5.9K-$24.1K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d19,45027.7¢28.5¢+2.8%$5.5K+$153
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primar…Noin 59d14,71342.0¢34.5¢-17.9%$5.1K-$1.1K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 24d50,33823.5¢9.5¢-59.5%$4.8K-$7.0K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yesin 208d10,15341.0¢45.0¢+9.7%$4.6K+$403
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yesin 208d7,04537.9¢52.5¢+38.4%$3.7K+$1.0K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yesin 208d14,27723.1¢21.5¢-6.8%$3.1K-$223
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida G…Noin 73d3,02088.2¢91.5¢+3.8%$2.8K+$101
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d36,22810.2¢6.5¢-36.5%$2.4K-$1.4K
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ma…Yesin 55d70,8009.4¢3.3¢-65.6%$2.3K-$4.4K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Noin 208d1,42265.9¢89.5¢+35.9%$1.3K+$336
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d40,5049.5¢2.7¢-71.5%$1.1K-$2.7K
Trump declares election interference national emergency?Noin 208d1,35349.5¢79.5¢+60.7%$1.1K+$406
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes5,05515.0¢19.0¢+26.9%$961+$203
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Noin 24d1,0934.0¢86.1¢+2069.0%$940+$897
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 208d1,09929.4¢72.0¢+145.2%$792+$469
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d3,59329.9¢15.5¢-48.2%$557-$518
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framewor…Yesin 24d5,9289.8¢8.0¢-18.6%$474-$108
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Yesin 24d2,46935.0¢14.0¢-60.1%$344-$519
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Noin 150d52229.9¢40.5¢+35.6%$211+$55
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?Yesin 59d26173.3¢77.5¢+5.7%$202+$11
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yesin 17d41629.1¢42.0¢+44.3%$175+$54
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Noin 208d47846.0¢31.4¢-31.7%$150-$70
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?Yesin 24d11,2984.3¢1.3¢-71.1%$141-$347
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?Yesin 150d13635.7¢74.5¢+108.5%$102+$53
Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Yesin 10d768.2¢77.5¢+845.4%$59+$53
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meet…Noin 24d6191.0¢96.0¢+5.5%$59+$3
Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Sou…Yesin 55d567.2¢2.3¢-68.3%$1-$3

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
No closed positions yet.
0 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 23:08 UTCBUY6,97012.8¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 22:57 UTCBUY69,08314.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 22:56 UTCBUY22,7675.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 20:14 UTCBUY90,50914.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 20:14 UTCBUY112,3705.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 20:14 UTCBUY29,01613.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 20:13 UTCBUY18,1474.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 20:13 UTCBUY5,1004.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 17:38 UTCBUY1,05011.7¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 17:38 UTCBUY1,37311.7¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 17:08 UTCBUY1,74810.9¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 13:43 UTCBUY12,43711.1¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 09:09 UTCBUY1,30610.9¢Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 22:53 UTCBUY100,00098.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 12:34 UTCBUY102,55399.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 22:09 UTCBUY157,8147.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 18:59 UTCBUY5,9183.1¢Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Mai…No
2026-06-01 17:44 UTCBUY46,2979.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:44 UTCBUY7,54517.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:44 UTCBUY70,98716.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:43 UTCBUY35,0028.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:31 UTCBUY24,25336.5¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:31 UTCBUY15,07325.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:31 UTCBUY28,25313.5¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:31 UTCBUY97,4897.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:30 UTCBUY2,67216.8¢Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:30 UTCBUY3,48618.9¢Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:30 UTCBUY13,18312.4¢Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:21 UTCSELL80,00099.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:57 UTCBUY30,89614.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:41 UTCBUY29845.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:35 UTCBUY6,19646.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:11 UTCBUY67243.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:30 UTCBUY16,8875.7¢Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:34 UTCBUY10,00037.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:14 UTCSELL736.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:14 UTCSELL2,88336.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:14 UTCSELL35,76839.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:08 UTCBUY6,57725.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:06 UTCBUY12740.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-30 21:41 UTCBUY22,86014.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 19:57 UTCBUY18,8352.7¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?YesResolved
2026-05-30 15:07 UTCBUY11,5014.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?YesResolved
2026-05-30 14:52 UTCBUY3,12939.0¢Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No
2026-05-30 01:30 UTCBUY35916.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 22:07 UTCSELL8,66071.8¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-29 22:06 UTCBUY16,46620.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 22:06 UTCBUY28,9246.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 22:06 UTCBUY2,8096.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-29 22:05 UTCBUY8,22115.1¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?YesResolved