trader profile

0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451

0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7

Open MV$143.6K62 positions

Open PnL+$17.7K14.0% on basis

Realized PnL+$44.7K105 closed

Hit rate52%Wilson lower 43%

Volume observed$1.74M2,014 trades · 145 markets

Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions

Market · Outcome	Size	Avg cost	Current	Δ%	MV	PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June…Noin 24d	52,000	29.0¢	51.5¢	+77.5%	$26.8K	+$11.7K
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Noin 24d	17,746	75.3¢	90.6¢	+20.3%	$16.1K	+$2.7K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Noin 24d	27,383	28.8¢	40.0¢	+38.8%	$11.0K	+$3.1K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d	29,332	34.8¢	32.5¢	-6.7%	$9.5K	-$683
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d	13,600	40.2¢	65.5¢	+62.8%	$8.9K	+$3.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d	152,791	6.4¢	5.5¢	-13.8%	$8.4K	-$1.3K
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Noin 24d	8,865	75.4¢	82.5¢	+9.4%	$7.3K	+$627
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Noin 24d	13,240	30.5¢	51.0¢	+67.4%	$6.8K	+$2.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d	49,836	14.3¢	12.5¢	-12.5%	$6.2K	-$893
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yesin 24d	13,705	56.5¢	32.1¢	-43.2%	$4.4K	-$3.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d	14,000	29.2¢	30.5¢	+4.6%	$4.3K	+$186
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Noin 208d	12,278	28.2¢	30.0¢	+6.3%	$3.7K	+$218
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Noin 24d	4,810	51.6¢	68.5¢	+32.7%	$3.3K	+$812
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June…No	3,575	44.1¢	80.5¢	+82.4%	$2.9K	+$1.3K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Noin 24d	3,106	80.7¢	91.5¢	+13.4%	$2.8K	+$335
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Noin 9d	3,892	54.8¢	72.5¢	+32.3%	$2.8K	+$689
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yesin 9d	22,000	14.0¢	12.5¢	-10.7%	$2.8K	-$330
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Noin 24d	3,347	74.0¢	74.7¢	+0.9%	$2.5K	+$22
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yesin 24d	6,772	27.7¢	28.0¢	+1.0%	$1.9K	+$18
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meet…Yesin 24d	21,061	5.5¢	6.9¢	+23.8%	$1.4K	+$277
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Noin 24d	1,953	77.3¢	70.0¢	-9.4%	$1.4K	-$142
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yesin 24d	13,944	15.0¢	6.5¢	-56.6%	$906	-$1.2K
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yesin 24d	5,400	20.1¢	16.0¢	-20.6%	$864	-$224
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Noin 24d	553	81.0¢	95.3¢	+17.5%	$526	+$78
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Noin 1d	496	75.0¢	90.5¢	+20.7%	$449	+$77
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Noin 208d	728	56.5¢	61.5¢	+8.8%	$448	+$36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Noin 24d	484	68.7¢	92.0¢	+33.9%	$445	+$113
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d	12,109	20.5¢	3.5¢	-82.7%	$429	-$2.0K
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yesin 55d	990	42.0¢	43.0¢	+2.4%	$426	+$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d	425	70.5¢	98.3¢	+39.4%	$418	+$118
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Yesin 24d	1,000	61.2¢	40.3¢	-34.2%	$403	-$209
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yesin 24d	1,693	18.3¢	23.0¢	+26.0%	$389	+$80
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d	324	42.8¢	87.5¢	+104.6%	$283	+$145
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Yesin 24d	768	48.3¢	31.5¢	-34.8%	$242	-$129
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Yesin 24d	1,181	25.4¢	16.7¢	-34.5%	$197	-$103
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d	3,621	10.7¢	5.3¢	-49.8%	$194	-$192
Iran leadership change by June 30?Noin 24d	200	88.5¢	95.0¢	+7.3%	$190	+$13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Noin 24d	204	89.5¢	85.5¢	-4.5%	$175	-$8
Iran leadership change by December 31?Noin 208d	216	55.4¢	72.0¢	+30.0%	$156	+$36
Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeti…Yesin 24d	1,173	17.2¢	12.3¢	-28.3%	$145	-$57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d	747	38.0¢	17.5¢	-53.9%	$131	-$153
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d	151	62.2¢	84.5¢	+35.9%	$128	+$34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Noin 24d	224	70.0¢	54.0¢	-22.9%	$121	-$36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Noin 24d	123	86.0¢	96.7¢	+12.4%	$119	+$13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Noin 24d	142	30.3¢	73.3¢	+141.6%	$104	+$61
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Noin 24d	102	70.0¢	98.7¢	+40.9%	$101	+$29
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d	1,100	10.7¢	9.0¢	-16.1%	$99	-$19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Noin 208d	200	50.0¢	49.0¢	-2.0%	$98	-$2
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d	600	15.0¢	15.0¢	0.0%	$90	$0
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?Noin 24d	131	29.0¢	42.5¢	+46.6%	$56	+$18
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Noin 208d	161	63.5¢	28.1¢	-55.9%	$45	-$57
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of…Yesin 24d	91	82.7¢	38.0¢	-54.1%	$35	-$41
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?Noin 24d	50	45.0¢	42.0¢	-6.7%	$21	-$2
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yesin 208d	116	34.0¢	17.0¢	-50.0%	$20	-$20
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?Yesin 24d	300	19.8¢	6.5¢	-67.2%	$20	-$40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July…Yesin 55d	100	34.0¢	19.5¢	-42.6%	$19	-$14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Noin 208d	21	60.0¢	89.5¢	+49.2%	$19	+$6
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yesin 9d	120	21.8¢	7.5¢	-65.6%	$9	-$17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?Yesin 25d	10	65.0¢	43.5¢	-33.1%	$4	-$2
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d	100	13.0¢	3.1¢	-75.8%	$3	-$10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yesin 24d	50	2.6¢	2.5¢	-3.8%	$1	-$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yesin 24d	50	4.3¢	1.3¢	-69.8%	$1	-$2

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching

Market · Outcome	Qty	Avg cost	Avg exit	Realized	Via	Closed
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	1,199	41.2¢	81.0¢	+$477	trade	2026-06-01 16:57 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	500	30.1¢	51.0¢	+$104	trade	2026-06-01 16:57 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No	1,000	52.3¢	73.2¢	+$209	trade	2026-06-01 16:55 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	2,000	30.1¢	51.1¢	+$420	trade	2026-06-01 16:54 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No	2,000	46.7¢	81.0¢	+$686	trade	2026-06-01 16:54 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No	900	25.6¢	51.0¢	+$229	trade	2026-06-01 16:38 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	3,000	41.2¢	85.0¢	+$1.3K	trade	2026-06-01 16:11 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No	4,000	25.6¢	53.0¢	+$1.1K	trade	2026-06-01 16:07 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No	2,000	52.3¢	77.0¢	+$495	trade	2026-06-01 16:00 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No	543	28.7¢	42.0¢	+$72	trade	2026-06-01 15:59 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No	3,000	25.6¢	52.0¢	+$793	trade	2026-06-01 15:59 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	752	41.2¢	86.0¢	+$337	trade	2026-06-01 15:58 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	318	30.1¢	54.0¢	+$76	trade	2026-06-01 15:02 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	512	41.2¢	89.0¢	+$245	trade	2026-06-01 14:50 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes	10,746	13.5¢	12.0¢	-$160	trade	2026-06-01 13:40 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes	13,000	39.3¢	35.0¢	-$564	trade	2026-06-01 13:36 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?No	1,000	60.0¢	100.0¢	+$400	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes	7,090	16.9¢	0.0¢	-$1.2K	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No	100	2.4¢	0.0¢	-$2	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No	9,158	37.4¢	0.0¢	-$3.4K	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No	7,509	87.8¢	100.0¢	+$913	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?No	10	90.0¢	100.0¢	+$1	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes	1,200	14.5¢	0.0¢	-$174	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?No	85	67.8¢	100.0¢	+$27	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?No	54	74.9¢	100.0¢	+$14	resolution	2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	300	41.2¢	75.0¢	+$101	trade	2026-05-31 23:59 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No	1,000	88.0¢	89.0¢	+$10	trade	2026-05-31 20:36 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No	443	84.4¢	84.7¢	+$1	trade	2026-05-31 20:36 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No	900	75.5¢	77.0¢	+$13	trade	2026-05-31 20:36 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No	4,000	88.0¢	89.0¢	+$40	trade	2026-05-31 20:36 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No	450	84.4¢	85.4¢	+$5	trade	2026-05-31 20:36 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No	11	25.6¢	44.0¢	+$2	trade	2026-05-31 20:12 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No	800	75.5¢	79.0¢	+$28	trade	2026-05-31 17:57 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No	1,000	46.7¢	71.0¢	+$243	trade	2026-05-31 17:45 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No	25	60.9¢	75.0¢	+$4	trade	2026-05-31 17:07 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes	3,927	10.9¢	1.1¢	-$386	trade	2026-05-31 16:31 UTC
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes	150	56.1¢	41.1¢	-$23	trade	2026-05-31 16:27 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No	1,200	46.7¢	71.0¢	+$292	trade	2026-05-31 16:21 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	3,000	41.2¢	66.0¢	+$744	trade	2026-05-31 14:31 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes	841	39.3¢	36.0¢	-$28	trade	2026-05-31 14:17 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No	4,000	84.4¢	85.0¢	+$25	trade	2026-05-31 05:01 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No	1,300	25.6¢	39.0¢	+$175	trade	2026-05-31 04:12 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	2,800	41.2¢	66.0¢	+$695	trade	2026-05-31 04:06 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No	1,500	52.5¢	55.0¢	+$37	trade	2026-05-31 02:30 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	3,000	41.2¢	61.0¢	+$594	trade	2026-05-31 02:29 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No	1,600	73.9¢	78.0¢	+$65	trade	2026-05-31 02:18 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No	2,400	70.0¢	70.0¢	-$1	trade	2026-05-31 02:17 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes	10,000	10.9¢	2.0¢	-$891	trade	2026-05-31 02:15 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No	39	41.2¢	63.0¢	+$9	trade	2026-05-31 02:14 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes	5,761	28.5¢	17.0¢	-$662	trade	2026-05-31 02:12 UTC

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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills

Time UTC	Side	Size	Price	Market
2026-06-01 17:03 UTC	BUY	3,000	31.0¢	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 16:57 UTC	BUY	8,000	13.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:57 UTC	SELL	1,199	81.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-06-01 16:57 UTC	SELL	500	51.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No
2026-06-01 16:55 UTC	SELL	1,000	73.2¢	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…No
2026-06-01 16:55 UTC	BUY	18,000	6.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:54 UTC	BUY	18,000	13.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:54 UTC	SELL	2,000	51.1¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No
2026-06-01 16:54 UTC	BUY	383	21.0¢	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes
2026-06-01 16:54 UTC	SELL	2,000	81.0¢	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:42 UTC	BUY	400	22.0¢	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 16:38 UTC	SELL	900	51.0¢	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:38 UTC	BUY	9,000	13.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:33 UTC	BUY	18,000	5.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:23 UTC	BUY	4,000	12.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:13 UTC	BUY	15,000	5.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:12 UTC	BUY	4,000	31.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:11 UTC	SELL	3,000	85.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-06-01 16:07 UTC	SELL	4,000	53.0¢	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:00 UTC	SELL	2,000	77.0¢	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…No
2026-06-01 15:59 UTC	SELL	543	42.0¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No
2026-06-01 15:59 UTC	SELL	3,000	52.0¢	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-01 15:58 UTC	SELL	752	86.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-06-01 15:56 UTC	BUY	309	21.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:56 UTC	BUY	20,156	5.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:47 UTC	BUY	5,000	20.0¢	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 15:47 UTC	BUY	12,000	14.0¢	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 15:46 UTC	BUY	10,000	14.0¢	Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 15:11 UTC	BUY	3,000	31.0¢	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 15:02 UTC	SELL	318	54.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No
2026-06-01 15:00 UTC	BUY	2,073	30.0¢	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 14:50 UTC	SELL	512	89.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-06-01 14:38 UTC	BUY	8	17.0¢	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes
2026-06-01 13:40 UTC	SELL	22,000	12.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 13:36 UTC	BUY	4,000	38.0¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No
2026-06-01 13:36 UTC	SELL	13,000	35.0¢	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-01 03:34 UTC	BUY	9,000	13.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 03:16 UTC	BUY	12,000	8.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 23:59 UTC	SELL	300	75.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-05-31 23:58 UTC	BUY	3,000	65.0¢	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…No
2026-05-31 23:57 UTC	BUY	600	31.0¢	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No
2026-05-31 23:57 UTC	BUY	900	76.0¢	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-05-31 23:57 UTC	BUY	500	37.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No
2026-05-31 21:38 UTC	BUY	1,746	16.0¢	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 20:36 UTC	SELL	1,300	89.0¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No
2026-05-31 20:36 UTC	SELL	443	84.7¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No
2026-05-31 20:36 UTC	SELL	900	77.0¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No
2026-05-31 20:36 UTC	SELL	4,000	89.0¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No
2026-05-31 20:36 UTC	SELL	450	85.4¢	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No
2026-05-31 20:12 UTC	BUY	1,500	34.0¢	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No