trader profile

Logan.

0x510904c9a58f5c5ad799a1b44947077564175e9c
Open MV$36.0K61 positions
Open PnL+$7.5K26.5% on basis
Realized PnL+$4.5K83 closed
Hit rate41%Wilson lower 31%
Volume observed$292.2K420 trades · 111 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d15,00035.0¢38.5¢+10.0%$5.8K+$525
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 208d4,29646.7¢71.4¢+52.7%$3.1K+$1.1K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…Noin 150d4,64357.7¢60.5¢+4.8%$2.8K+$128
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 202…Noin 150d2,35955.6¢83.7¢+50.5%$2.0K+$662
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d25,0007.8¢7.5¢-3.8%$1.9K-$75
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United St…Noin 24d2,16548.5¢85.5¢+76.3%$1.9K+$801
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in…Yesin 150d2,30943.0¢73.9¢+71.7%$1.7K+$712
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Noin 208d2,09170.9¢81.5¢+15.0%$1.7K+$222
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d11,46715.0¢14.5¢-3.3%$1.7K-$57
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June…Yesin 24d2,9805.1¢45.4¢+780.6%$1.4K+$1.2K
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d1,84721.1¢69.0¢+226.2%$1.3K+$883
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Noin 24d1,00085.0¢98.7¢+16.1%$986+$136
Netanyahu out by June 30?Noin 24d1,00085.0¢98.6¢+15.9%$986+$136
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 885d3,3095.7¢26.6¢+364.1%$879+$689
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?Noin 208d79387.0¢97.0¢+11.5%$769+$79
Iran leadership change by December 31?Noin 208d1,04847.1¢72.0¢+52.8%$755+$261
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Noin 24d76541.6¢83.4¢+100.3%$638+$319
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yesin 208d79064.9¢69.0¢+6.4%$545+$33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢26.4¢+3828.7%$527+$514
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d18,1152.4¢2.6¢+10.6%$480+$46
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nom…Yesin 885d15,5850.8¢3.0¢+293.1%$475+$354
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d50064.0¢84.5¢+32.0%$423+$103
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yesin 573d3332.3¢97.2¢+4079.9%$323+$315
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yesin 208d1,5828.5¢17.5¢+107.0%$277+$143
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,01131.5¢26.0¢-17.4%$263-$55
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d4,9942.4¢4.5¢+88.0%$222+$104
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 885d6,0490.3¢3.5¢+960.2%$209+$189
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d4,0002.3¢5.1¢+116.2%$202+$109
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d2,3566.6¢8.0¢+20.3%$187+$32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d3,0002.0¢5.8¢+180.9%$172+$111
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yesin 208d4,71234.0¢3.3¢-90.4%$153-$1.4K
Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yesin 24d3,00014.0¢4.7¢-66.4%$141-$279
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yesin 885d9,8350.3¢1.4¢+338.7%$133+$103
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential n…Yesin 885d10,5850.3¢1.3¢+268.3%$132+$96
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nom…Yesin 885d10,5850.3¢1.3¢+268.3%$132+$96
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Rus…Yesin 116d20070.0¢55.5¢-20.7%$111-$29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d12568.8¢83.5¢+21.3%$104+$18
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United…Noin 24d10971.0¢85.5¢+20.4%$93+$16
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31,…Yesin 208d66018.3¢13.0¢-29.0%$86-$35
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d9059.3¢87.5¢+47.5%$79+$25
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e…Noin 120d8066.3¢71.5¢+7.8%$57+$4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢2.4¢+250.4%$47+$34
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential…Yesin 15d20038.0¢19.5¢-48.7%$39-$37
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢1.9¢+190.7%$39+$26
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 885d3,0000.9¢1.3¢+32.0%$37+$9
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢1.7¢+146.0%$33+$20
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢1.7¢+146.0%$33+$20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e…Yesin 120d10433.3¢28.5¢-14.2%$30-$5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d1844.3¢14.1¢+228.2%$26+$18
Epstein client list released by June 30?Yesin 24d61950.6¢3.8¢-92.6%$23-$290
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d1,0000.7¢2.1¢+200.0%$21+$14
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢1.1¢+56.6%$21+$8
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d2,0000.7¢1.1¢+56.6%$21+$8
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 20…Noin 208d1,27143.8¢1.5¢-96.6%$19-$537
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Noin 208d1874.0¢93.5¢+26.4%$17+$3
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin…Yesin 885d1,0000.7¢1.7¢+131.3%$16+$9
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yesin 208d1667.2¢5.3¢-25.7%$9-$3
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d3870.7¢1.4¢+88.5%$5+$2
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d826.5¢2.9¢-54.4%$2-$3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Noin 55d286.8¢51.5¢-40.7%$1-$1
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d86.5¢1.3¢-80.7%$0-$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No29,57310.1¢0.0¢-$3.0Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes2,07937.1¢100.0¢+$1.3Kresolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes25,56026.5¢100.0¢+$18.8Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes2,00017.0¢0.0¢-$340resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?Yes10,1467.2¢0.0¢-$730resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes25,17513.2¢0.0¢-$3.3Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO"…Yes2,96220.8¢0.0¢-$617resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes54,40427.5¢0.0¢-$14.9Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Kash Patel out by May 31?Yes25340.0¢0.0¢-$101resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 11, 20…Yes28097.3¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes8,9388.1¢0.0¢-$721resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes12,45713.8¢0.0¢-$1.7Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes2,00020.0¢0.0¢-$400resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?No14237.0¢100.0¢+$89resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?Yes3,32920.8¢0.0¢-$691resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes65639.0¢0.0¢-$256resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes3,6922.6¢0.0¢-$96resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes2,00044.6¢50.4¢+$116trade2026-05-16 21:18 UTC
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes2,57813.1¢100.0¢+$2.2Kresolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes12,86029.3¢0.0¢-$3.8Kresolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Yes7982.3¢0.0¢-$18resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No195.8¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No1,15576.1¢100.0¢+$276resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No72039.6¢19.9¢-$142trade2026-05-15 21:47 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No2,9005.3¢99.9¢+$2.7Ktrade2026-05-15 17:12 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No5,7064.4¢99.9¢+$5.4Ktrade2026-05-15 17:02 UTC
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…No3,14610.1¢95.0¢+$2.7Ktrade2026-05-15 17:00 UTC
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?No994.0¢10.0¢+$6trade2026-05-15 03:40 UTC
Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?No8704.0¢0.0¢-$35resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will "Kawhi" or "Leonard" be said on ICEMAN?Yes841.8¢0.0¢-$3resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi J…No8427.0¢0.0¢-$23resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes64629.0¢0.0¢-$187resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes1,00042.0¢100.0¢+$580resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes48316.0¢0.0¢-$77resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during…No856.0¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No2,8325.3¢100.0¢+$2.7Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?No1788.0¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No7261.0¢0.0¢-$44resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will 'ICEMAN' be less than 30 minutes long?Yes3,6831.1¢0.0¢-$42resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes11,3829.3¢0.0¢-$1.1Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes42,05513.0¢0.0¢-$5.5Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?No11819.0¢0.0¢-$22resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi…Yes78318.1¢0.0¢-$142resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes80,7230.9¢0.0¢-$707resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No5,00098.5¢100.0¢+$77resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with X…No12064.0¢92.0¢+$34trade2026-05-14 09:24 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?No3,0122.7¢0.0¢-$80resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Temple" during Chinese State Banquet?No13038.0¢100.0¢+$80resolution2026-05-13 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No75370.5¢94.9¢+$184trade2026-05-12 23:17 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?Yes2,5889.0¢0.0¢-$233resolution2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
119 total · page 1 of 3← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 17:35 UTCBUY20,0008.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:32 UTCBUY11,46715.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:31 UTCBUY2,3566.6¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:27 UTCBUY3,00025.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:55 UTCBUY10,00035.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:55 UTCBUY1,04424.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:54 UTCBUY5,00035.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:53 UTCBUY8,47524.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:53 UTCBUY2,36123.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:16 UTCBUY28458.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:56 UTCBUY2,00048.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:20 UTCBUY1,24753.8¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:17 UTCBUY10,00016.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:17 UTCBUY1,96416.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 06:45 UTCBUY1469.0¢Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?NoResolved
2026-06-01 03:24 UTCBUY8,1691.2¢Iran closes its airspace by May 31?YesResolved
2026-06-01 00:56 UTCBUY5,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:50 UTCBUY3,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:50 UTCBUY3,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:48 UTCBUY3,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:45 UTCBUY5,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:30 UTCBUY3,0000.7¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:29 UTCBUY2,7200.6¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 00:28 UTCBUY5,0000.6¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-05-31 22:38 UTCBUY3833.0¢Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No
2026-05-31 18:59 UTCBUY2130.0¢Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No
2026-05-29 16:33 UTCBUY5,00016.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-19 20:51 UTCBUY65639.0¢Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?YesResolved
2026-05-19 20:11 UTCBUY1,30023.0¢Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during…YesResolved
2026-05-19 20:07 UTCBUY66219.8¢Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during…YesResolved
2026-05-19 20:06 UTCBUY1,00018.7¢Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during…YesResolved
2026-05-19 03:15 UTCBUY5,00098.5¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-16 22:41 UTCBUY1,78314.0¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:40 UTCBUY1,10076.2¢Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-16 22:40 UTCBUY5573.5¢Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-16 22:16 UTCBUY5,00032.0¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:15 UTCBUY3730.5¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:15 UTCBUY5,00028.0¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:13 UTCBUY7982.3¢Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:13 UTCBUY75013.5¢Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:12 UTCBUY60313.0¢Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:11 UTCBUY22512.8¢Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:10 UTCBUY1,00013.0¢Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:06 UTCBUY1,00049.2¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-16 21:18 UTCSELL2,00050.4¢Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-15 21:47 UTCSELL72019.9¢Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-15 21:33 UTCBUY1,00042.0¢Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-15 21:28 UTCBUY72039.6¢Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-15 21:23 UTCBUY3,0122.7¢Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-15 21:22 UTCBUY7261.0¢Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?NoResolved