| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d | 126,470 | 85.3¢ | 97.5¢ | +14.4% | $123.4K | +$15.5K |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presi…Yesin 120d | 147,394 | 44.1¢ | 40.5¢ | -8.2% | $59.7K | -$5.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d | 65,412 | 72.7¢ | 86.5¢ | +19.0% | $56.6K | +$9.0K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Noin 150d | 53,251 | 79.7¢ | 80.5¢ | +1.0% | $42.9K | +$405 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 885d | 350,801 | 4.4¢ | 7.8¢ | +77.6% | $27.2K | +$11.9K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 458,867 | 2.8¢ | 5.5¢ | +94.7% | $25.0K | +$12.2K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 885d | 77,541 | 45.0¢ | 30.6¢ | -32.1% | $23.7K | -$11.2K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d | 174,113 | 13.8¢ | 13.5¢ | -2.0% | $23.5K | -$491 |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 318,107 | 14.4¢ | 7.3¢ | -49.4% | $23.2K | -$22.7K |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e…Yesin 120d | 72,478 | 33.4¢ | 30.0¢ | -10.1% | $21.8K | -$2.4K |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?Noin 151d | 20,081 | 98.4¢ | 96.8¢ | -1.6% | $19.4K | -$325 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d | 61,616 | 42.5¢ | 30.5¢ | -28.2% | $18.8K | -$7.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 150d | 21,810 | 80.1¢ | 81.5¢ | +1.7% | $17.8K | +$301 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 98,920 | 23.2¢ | 16.4¢ | -29.7% | $16.2K | -$6.8K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d | 17,371 | 80.9¢ | 83.5¢ | +3.3% | $14.5K | +$459 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYesin 150d | 22,961 | 35.7¢ | 44.5¢ | +24.5% | $10.2K | +$2.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNoin 150d | 12,081 | 84.7¢ | 82.5¢ | -2.6% | $10.0K | -$264 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYesin 150d | 27,114 | 37.4¢ | 36.5¢ | -2.3% | $9.9K | -$235 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yesin 208d | 13,446 | 59.8¢ | 66.5¢ | +11.2% | $8.9K | +$901 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d | 55,435 | 31.4¢ | 15.5¢ | -50.6% | $8.6K | -$8.8K |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Noin 885d | 9,079 | 95.7¢ | 93.3¢ | -2.4% | $8.5K | -$212 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Noin 208d | 9,116 | 73.3¢ | 80.5¢ | +9.8% | $7.3K | +$655 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026…Yesin 150d | 14,758 | 39.2¢ | 46.5¢ | +18.6% | $6.9K | +$1.1K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d | 127,958 | 13.6¢ | 4.5¢ | -66.6% | $5.8K | -$11.6K |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Noin 24d | 5,674 | 92.5¢ | 97.3¢ | +5.1% | $5.5K | +$269 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec…Yesin 1d | 7,455 | 58.4¢ | 71.5¢ | +22.5% | $5.3K | +$979 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 885d | 19,781 | 17.9¢ | 25.3¢ | +41.1% | $5.0K | +$1.5K |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 3…Noin 24d | 5,148 | 92.4¢ | 96.7¢ | +4.6% | $5.0K | +$217 |
| Trump out as President by June 30?Noin 24d | 4,844 | 94.6¢ | 98.7¢ | +4.3% | $4.8K | +$197 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yesin 24d | 14,386 | 70.4¢ | 32.8¢ | -53.4% | $4.7K | -$5.4K |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June…Yes | 39,502 | 10.6¢ | 11.5¢ | +8.2% | $4.5K | +$346 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d | 41,008 | 10.8¢ | 11.0¢ | +2.0% | $4.5K | +$88 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yesin 25d | 10,654 | 34.8¢ | 41.9¢ | +20.4% | $4.5K | +$759 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Noin 885d | 4,453 | 95.5¢ | 98.0¢ | +2.6% | $4.4K | +$109 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yesin 24d | 4,423 | 90.2¢ | 98.0¢ | +8.6% | $4.3K | +$343 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 27,228 | 16.6¢ | 15.7¢ | -5.9% | $4.3K | -$269 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yesin 208d | 23,394 | 30.2¢ | 17.5¢ | -42.0% | $4.1K | -$3.0K |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 24d | 6,723 | 70.8¢ | 54.5¢ | -23.0% | $3.7K | -$1.1K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yesin 208d | 7,514 | 56.7¢ | 48.0¢ | -15.3% | $3.6K | -$651 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yesin 208d | 24,857 | 16.5¢ | 14.5¢ | -12.1% | $3.6K | -$496 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Noin 208d | 4,795 | 60.2¢ | 72.5¢ | +20.5% | $3.5K | +$592 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026…Noin 150d | 7,221 | 38.5¢ | 46.5¢ | +20.7% | $3.4K | +$575 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Jun…Yesin 11d | 3,326 | 97.5¢ | 98.3¢ | +0.8% | $3.3K | +$25 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framewor…Noin 24d | 3,518 | 86.7¢ | 92.5¢ | +6.7% | $3.3K | +$206 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yesin 9d | 51,377 | 11.1¢ | 5.5¢ | -50.5% | $2.8K | -$2.9K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d | 62,922 | 5.1¢ | 4.5¢ | -13.6% | $2.8K | -$440 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats afte…No | 2,444 | 97.6¢ | 98.0¢ | +0.4% | $2.4K | +$9 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Noin 208d | 2,296 | 97.2¢ | 94.4¢ | -2.9% | $2.2K | -$64 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Noin 208d | 2,203 | 83.3¢ | 93.5¢ | +12.3% | $2.1K | +$226 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d | 111,111 | 0.8¢ | 1.4¢ | +68.7% | $1.5K | +$611 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats afte…Yes | 9,578 | 9.0¢ | 14.5¢ | +60.7% | $1.4K | +$525 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential…Yesin 885d | 54,481 | 1.1¢ | 2.5¢ | +123.7% | $1.4K | +$765 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 14,401 | 58.0¢ | 9.5¢ | -83.6% | $1.4K | -$7.0K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yesin 208d | 2,012 | 54.2¢ | 67.5¢ | +24.4% | $1.4K | +$266 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 42,941 | 1.9¢ | 2.9¢ | +55.7% | $1.3K | +$453 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 8,850 | 10.0¢ | 14.2¢ | +42.4% | $1.3K | +$375 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d | 4,310 | 26.1¢ | 28.5¢ | +9.2% | $1.2K | +$104 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 18,175 | 12.1¢ | 6.5¢ | -46.2% | $1.2K | -$1.0K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 24d | 10,985 | 31.2¢ | 10.5¢ | -66.3% | $1.2K | -$2.3K |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats aft…No | 1,456 | 79.3¢ | 74.5¢ | -6.0% | $1.1K | -$70 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 885d | 21,760 | 5.6¢ | 4.8¢ | -14.6% | $1.0K | -$177 |
| Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?Noin 208d | 1,040 | 98.4¢ | 98.8¢ | +0.4% | $1.0K | +$4 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Yesin 24d | 3,365 | 59.7¢ | 30.0¢ | -49.7% | $1.0K | -$999 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yesin 24d | 7,096 | 16.0¢ | 13.5¢ | -15.8% | $958 | -$179 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yesin 208d | 5,234 | 39.0¢ | 18.0¢ | -53.9% | $942 | -$1.1K |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d | 47,732 | 1.8¢ | 1.9¢ | +6.6% | $931 | +$58 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 950 | 69.6¢ | 97.0¢ | +39.4% | $922 | +$261 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30?Noin 24d | 951 | 95.5¢ | 96.8¢ | +1.3% | $920 | +$12 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of…Yesin 208d | 13,427 | 13.3¢ | 6.6¢ | -50.3% | $886 | -$896 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 1d | 11,541 | 23.9¢ | 7.5¢ | -68.6% | $866 | -$1.9K |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yesin 24d | 2,629 | 47.3¢ | 32.5¢ | -31.3% | $855 | -$389 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d | 5,368 | 54.2¢ | 15.5¢ | -71.4% | $832 | -$2.1K |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Yesin 24d | 6,375 | 55.4¢ | 12.5¢ | -77.4% | $797 | -$2.7K |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presi…Yesin 15d | 955 | 65.7¢ | 82.5¢ | +25.5% | $788 | +$160 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ma…Noin 55d | 796 | 80.5¢ | 96.5¢ | +20.0% | $769 | +$128 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in…Yesin 55d | 793 | 73.4¢ | 96.5¢ | +31.5% | $765 | +$183 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?Yesin 55d | 1,709 | 57.5¢ | 41.0¢ | -28.7% | $701 | -$282 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Noin 208d | 723 | 90.9¢ | 94.5¢ | +4.0% | $683 | +$26 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 1,111 | 54.0¢ | 59.5¢ | +10.2% | $661 | +$61 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d | 1,048 | 33.1¢ | 61.5¢ | +85.7% | $645 | +$297 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Noin 9d | 666 | 45.0¢ | 96.5¢ | +114.6% | $643 | +$343 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats afte…No | 644 | 98.2¢ | 98.7¢ | +0.5% | $635 | +$3 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30?Noin 24d | 660 | 78.1¢ | 96.0¢ | +23.0% | $633 | +$118 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential…Noin 885d | 600 | 97.0¢ | 98.5¢ | +1.5% | $591 | +$9 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNoin 150d | 577 | 98.4¢ | 98.2¢ | -0.2% | $566 | -$1 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 208d | 622 | 81.3¢ | 85.5¢ | +5.1% | $532 | +$26 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential…Yesin 15d | 2,866 | 17.6¢ | 18.5¢ | +5.0% | $530 | +$25 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d | 1,821 | 17.8¢ | 28.5¢ | +59.9% | $519 | +$194 |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 3,117 | 17.8¢ | 16.5¢ | -7.1% | $514 | -$40 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Noin 24d | 522 | 69.5¢ | 96.6¢ | +39.1% | $504 | +$142 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Noin 208d | 505 | 92.6¢ | 99.0¢ | +6.9% | $500 | +$32 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYesin 208d | 2,743 | 21.3¢ | 17.0¢ | -20.1% | $466 | -$117 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June…Noin 24d | 1,116 | 25.8¢ | 39.5¢ | +53.0% | $441 | +$153 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yesin 208d | 673 | 44.9¢ | 62.0¢ | +38.0% | $417 | +$115 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Noin 885d | 442 | 94.1¢ | 94.0¢ | -0.2% | $415 | -$1 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yesin 24d | 16,091 | 7.3¢ | 2.5¢ | -65.2% | $409 | -$765 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yesin 208d | 1,341 | 40.4¢ | 30.0¢ | -25.8% | $402 | -$140 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yesin 9d | 3,527 | 16.8¢ | 11.2¢ | -33.5% | $395 | -$199 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yesin 208d | 4,103 | 13.9¢ | 9.5¢ | -31.8% | $390 | -$182 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 16,717 | 1.6¢ | 2.3¢ | +40.6% | $376 | +$109 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yesin 24d | 1,453 | 82.3¢ | 25.5¢ | -69.0% | $371 | -$826 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Yesin 208d | 985 | 49.0¢ | 37.5¢ | -23.4% | $369 | -$113 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d | 400 | 88.2¢ | 91.5¢ | +3.8% | $366 | +$13 |
| Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeti…Noin 24d | 390 | 91.7¢ | 92.0¢ | +0.4% | $359 | +$1 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d | 6,833 | 3.9¢ | 5.1¢ | +30.2% | $345 | +$80 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Noin 885d | 419 | 72.7¢ | 74.9¢ | +3.0% | $314 | +$9 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Yesin 24d | 929 | 77.5¢ | 33.5¢ | -56.8% | $311 | -$409 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1,489 | 24.1¢ | 20.3¢ | -16.1% | $301 | -$58 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Noin 885d | 300 | 96.3¢ | 96.7¢ | +0.4% | $290 | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 9d | 950 | 45.8¢ | 26.5¢ | -42.2% | $252 | -$184 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Noin 208d | 298 | 49.7¢ | 82.0¢ | +64.9% | $245 | +$96 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d | 261 | 71.6¢ | 90.5¢ | +26.3% | $236 | +$49 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | 400 | 59.2¢ | 57.5¢ | -3.0% | $230 | -$7 |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential run…Yesin 120d | 364 | 69.9¢ | 62.5¢ | -10.6% | $227 | -$27 |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yesin 208d | 400 | 72.5¢ | 56.5¢ | -22.1% | $226 | -$64 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | 371 | 55.5¢ | 60.5¢ | +9.0% | $225 | +$18 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats afte…No | 222 | 98.5¢ | 98.9¢ | +0.4% | $219 | +$1 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee…Yesin 24d | 15,605 | 28.9¢ | 1.4¢ | -95.2% | $218 | -$4.3K |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yesin 24d | 6,692 | 17.4¢ | 3.3¢ | -81.3% | $217 | -$949 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?Noin 574d | 244 | 90.1¢ | 85.6¢ | -5.0% | $209 | -$11 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d | 220 | 84.8¢ | 88.8¢ | +4.7% | $195 | +$9 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Noin 885d | 200 | 96.0¢ | 96.4¢ | +0.4% | $193 | +$1 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d | 200 | 93.0¢ | 94.5¢ | +1.6% | $189 | +$3 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yesin 126d | 2,200 | 18.7¢ | 8.5¢ | -54.6% | $187 | -$225 |
| Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Noin 208d | 235 | 82.1¢ | 79.5¢ | -3.1% | $187 | -$6 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…Noin 150d | 300 | 65.0¢ | 62.0¢ | -4.6% | $186 | -$9 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by Jun…Yesin 24d | 889 | 37.2¢ | 20.5¢ | -44.8% | $182 | -$148 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Noin 208d | 619 | 31.3¢ | 29.4¢ | -6.0% | $182 | -$12 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Noin 24d | 200 | 67.0¢ | 90.0¢ | +34.3% | $180 | +$46 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yesin 150d | 444 | 45.5¢ | 40.5¢ | -11.0% | $180 | -$22 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yesin 55d | 703 | 34.0¢ | 25.5¢ | -25.1% | $179 | -$60 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Noin 574d | 222 | 84.9¢ | 75.6¢ | -10.9% | $168 | -$21 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yesin 24d | 4,769 | 2.7¢ | 3.5¢ | +29.7% | $167 | +$38 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yesin 208d | 797 | 33.6¢ | 20.5¢ | -38.9% | $163 | -$104 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yesin 208d | 349 | 46.7¢ | 46.5¢ | -0.4% | $162 | -$1 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of H…Yesin 24d | 5,603 | 5.8¢ | 2.9¢ | -51.2% | $160 | -$168 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Noin 573d | 222 | 79.0¢ | 71.5¢ | -9.5% | $159 | -$17 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Noin 574d | 322 | 71.7¢ | 47.0¢ | -34.4% | $151 | -$79 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…Yesin 885d | 1,459 | 8.9¢ | 9.4¢ | +6.4% | $138 | +$8 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yesin 150d | 222 | 65.0¢ | 59.5¢ | -8.5% | $132 | -$12 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yesin 25d | 222 | 11.7¢ | 55.5¢ | +373.9% | $123 | +$97 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30?Yesin 24d | 3,445 | 8.0¢ | 3.4¢ | -58.2% | $115 | -$160 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yesin 208d | 500 | 20.2¢ | 21.5¢ | +6.4% | $108 | +$7 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats afte…Yes | 915 | 10.6¢ | 11.0¢ | +3.9% | $101 | +$4 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 5,555 | 0.3¢ | 1.8¢ | +483.3% | $97 | +$81 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yesin 208d | 549 | 50.3¢ | 17.5¢ | -65.2% | $96 | -$180 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 3…Yesin 208d | 111 | 14.1¢ | 86.0¢ | +509.9% | $95 | +$80 |
| Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 57d | 100 | 87.5¢ | 95.1¢ | +8.7% | $95 | +$8 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31,…Noin 208d | 100 | 91.0¢ | 94.0¢ | +3.3% | $94 | +$3 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Noin 209d | 222 | 30.0¢ | 42.0¢ | +40.0% | $93 | +$27 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June…Yesin 24d | 189 | 29.3¢ | 48.1¢ | +64.0% | $91 | +$35 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July…Yesin 55d | 529 | 26.7¢ | 17.0¢ | -36.4% | $90 | -$52 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…Noin 885d | 97 | 89.4¢ | 90.5¢ | +1.3% | $88 | +$1 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yesin 24d | 304 | 44.2¢ | 28.5¢ | -35.5% | $87 | -$48 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d | 222 | 38.0¢ | 38.5¢ | +1.3% | $85 | +$1 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?Yesin 208d | 585 | 24.3¢ | 14.5¢ | -40.4% | $85 | -$57 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Noin 208d | 252 | 47.6¢ | 32.0¢ | -32.8% | $81 | -$39 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yesin 24d | 843 | 23.5¢ | 9.5¢ | -59.6% | $80 | -$118 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1,800 | 4.0¢ | 4.3¢ | +8.5% | $78 | +$6 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yesin 11d | 162 | 26.0¢ | 48.0¢ | +84.6% | $78 | +$36 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 202…Yesin 208d | 969 | 17.3¢ | 8.0¢ | -53.7% | $78 | -$90 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yesin 208d | 496 | 36.7¢ | 15.5¢ | -57.8% | $77 | -$105 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?Yesin 208d | 6,151 | 25.3¢ | 1.2¢ | -95.3% | $74 | -$1.5K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in pr…Yesin 573d | 300 | 29.3¢ | 24.5¢ | -16.5% | $73 | -$15 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31,…Yesin 208d | 661 | 29.7¢ | 11.0¢ | -63.0% | $73 | -$124 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?Noin 24d | 100 | 31.0¢ | 70.5¢ | +127.4% | $71 | +$40 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 20…Noin 208d | 5,198 | 25.5¢ | 1.4¢ | -94.7% | $70 | -$1.3K |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d | 74 | 28.0¢ | 91.8¢ | +227.7% | $68 | +$47 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first r…Yesin 120d | 100 | 61.0¢ | 59.5¢ | -2.5% | $60 | -$2 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats afte…Yes | 1,507 | 7.8¢ | 3.5¢ | -54.9% | $53 | -$64 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes | 92 | 48.3¢ | 54.5¢ | +12.9% | $50 | +$6 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israe…Yesin 208d | 150 | 40.0¢ | 33.0¢ | -17.5% | $50 | -$11 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Noin 208d | 56 | 82.0¢ | 85.5¢ | +4.3% | $48 | +$2 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yesin 208d | 200 | 25.0¢ | 19.0¢ | -24.0% | $38 | -$12 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 202…Yesin 208d | 496 | 49.7¢ | 7.0¢ | -85.9% | $35 | -$212 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Yesin 24d | 354 | 24.3¢ | 9.5¢ | -60.9% | $34 | -$52 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d | 222 | 21.0¢ | 15.0¢ | -28.6% | $33 | -$13 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 202…Yesin 208d | 100 | 31.0¢ | 30.5¢ | -1.6% | $31 | -$0 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yesin 24d | 30 | 2.0¢ | 97.2¢ | +4760.0% | $29 | +$29 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian preside…Yesin 1d | 100 | 31.1¢ | 28.5¢ | -8.4% | $28 | -$3 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yesin 25d | 1,800 | 67.3¢ | 1.6¢ | -97.7% | $28 | -$1.2K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Noin 24d | 29 | 84.0¢ | 84.5¢ | +0.6% | $24 | +$0 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Noin 24d | 22 | 74.1¢ | 87.1¢ | +17.5% | $19 | +$3 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in…Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | 16.0¢ | +60.0% | $16 | +$6 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yesin 126d | 368 | 3.6¢ | 4.2¢ | +15.2% | $15 | +$2 |
| Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yesin 99d | 94 | 10.3¢ | 15.5¢ | +50.2% | $15 | +$5 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or hig…Yesin 24d | 20 | 64.0¢ | 68.5¢ | +7.0% | $14 | +$1 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30…Yesin 24d | 222 | 13.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -57.7% | $12 | -$17 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yesin 24d | 345 | 1.1¢ | 3.3¢ | +184.6% | $11 | +$7 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yesin 24d | 920 | 1.0¢ | 1.1¢ | +15.0% | $11 | +$1 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in…Yesin 126d | 222 | 10.3¢ | 4.3¢ | -58.3% | $10 | -$13 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years…Yesin 573d | 342 | 10.6¢ | 2.5¢ | -76.4% | $9 | -$28 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 100 | 85.0¢ | 8.5¢ | -90.0% | $9 | -$76 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 720 | 0.5¢ | 1.1¢ | +130.0% | $8 | +$5 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d | 200 | 2.5¢ | 2.8¢ | +10.0% | $6 | +$0 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d | 200 | 21.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -89.0% | $5 | -$37 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | 6 | 45.0¢ | 60.0¢ | +33.3% | $4 | +$1 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meet…Yesin 24d | 61 | 7.6¢ | 5.5¢ | -28.1% | $3 | -$1 |
| New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?Noin 150d | 3 | 75.8¢ | 96.0¢ | +26.6% | $3 | +$1 |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 202…Yesin 150d | 20 | 51.1¢ | 14.9¢ | -70.8% | $3 | -$7 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United S…Yesin 24d | 200 | 1.7¢ | 1.5¢ | -14.7% | $3 | -$1 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?Yesin 24d | 50 | 21.0¢ | 5.0¢ | -76.2% | $2 | -$8 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yesin 24d | 36 | 0.6¢ | 1.3¢ | +116.6% | $0 | +$0 |