trader profile

0x59253f9a0Cdf254fa4518FD3aAe2541f9e0AB194-1730780830728

0x59253f9a0cdf254fa4518fd3aae2541f9e0ab194
Open MV$43.8K4 positions
Open PnL+$4.8K12.3% on basis
Realized PnL+$72.3K39 closed
Hit rate28%Wilson lower 17%
Volume observed$303.2K164 trades · 43 markets
Current ranklast trade 7d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 24d41,42372.3¢78.5¢+8.5%$32.5K+$2.6K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d10,00070.0¢82.5¢+17.9%$8.3K+$1.3K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 9d3,99747.3¢68.5¢+45.0%$2.7K+$849
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yesin 25d1,00018.4¢31.9¢+73.6%$320+$136

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?Yes90922.0¢100.0¢+$709resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes058.1¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes050.8¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes1,00010.0¢0.0¢-$100resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes272,2474.4¢0.0¢-$12.0Kresolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?Yes59950.1¢0.0¢-$300resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes2,81524.9¢0.0¢-$700resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes035.5¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes1,90910.5¢0.0¢-$200resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes1,70917.6¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes35157.0¢100.0¢+$151resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes1,04048.1¢0.0¢-$500resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes1,00829.8¢100.0¢+$708resolution2026-05-29 21:08 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes65637.8¢20.3¢-$115trade2026-05-28 21:05 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes11,5066.0¢0.0¢-$690resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes31,74321.8¢0.0¢-$6.9Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes11,0641.8¢0.0¢-$196resolution2026-05-08 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes37,6899.1¢0.0¢-$3.4Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes1,74930.4¢0.0¢-$531resolution2026-04-23 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?Yes12076.8¢74.6¢-$3trade2026-04-19 20:51 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No2,81996.0¢91.3¢-$134trade2026-04-19 14:05 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes017.1¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes33273.7¢73.9¢+$1trade2026-04-14 12:07 UTC
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes1,00035.0¢99.9¢+$649trade2026-04-13 00:44 UTC
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes08.4¢0.0¢$0resolution2026-04-13 00:00 UTC
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes1,69711.8¢0.0¢-$200resolution2026-04-13 00:00 UTC
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes027.4¢0.0¢$0resolution2026-04-13 00:00 UTC
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes2338.4¢6.6¢-$4trade2026-04-12 21:57 UTC
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes2,7438.4¢5.7¢-$74trade2026-04-12 21:56 UTC
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes36527.4¢20.4¢-$26trade2026-04-12 21:09 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil settle at $90–$100 on April 8?No91418.0¢0.0¢-$165resolution2026-04-08 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes12,89958.1¢90.7¢+$4.2Ktrade2026-04-07 23:05 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes3,93750.8¢96.8¢+$1.8Ktrade2026-04-07 23:05 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes26,79335.5¢94.5¢+$15.8Ktrade2026-04-07 23:01 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes41,53317.1¢93.2¢+$31.6Ktrade2026-04-07 22:58 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes13,4627.7¢90.0¢+$11.1Ktrade2026-04-07 22:53 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes63,4627.7¢58.3¢+$32.1Ktrade2026-04-07 22:50 UTC
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan WolverinesConnecticut Huskies36227.0¢0.0¢-$98resolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026?Yes92421.7¢0.0¢-$200resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes2,15014.0¢0.0¢-$301resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes3233.1¢0.0¢-$10resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026?Yes1,23440.5¢0.0¢-$500resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes44533.7¢0.0¢-$150resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026?Yes5,9363.4¢0.0¢-$200resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?Yes68222.0¢0.0¢-$150resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after th…Yes2504.0¢0.0¢-$10resolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes22722.0¢0.0¢-$50resolution2026-01-31 00:00 UTC
47 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-29 17:31 UTCBUY5,00075.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 17:31 UTCBUY3,00074.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 10:40 UTCBUY1,00048.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-29 10:39 UTCBUY2,99747.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-28 21:05 UTCSELL65620.3¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 19:46 UTCBUY2,50034.8¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 17:28 UTCBUY10838.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 15:44 UTCBUY33648.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:18 UTCBUY2743.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 06:05 UTCBUY1,44762.8¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 00:17 UTCBUY1,24370.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-24 00:16 UTCBUY84268.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 23:45 UTCBUY1,00069.4¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 22:49 UTCBUY1,19382.9¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-23 21:27 UTCBUY1,35473.6¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:26 UTCBUY1,50070.8¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:25 UTCBUY1,58086.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-23 19:17 UTCBUY64353.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 18:42 UTCBUY1,00053.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 15:05 UTCBUY1,00018.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-23 01:32 UTCBUY2,93449.4¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-23 00:36 UTCBUY89815.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 00:31 UTCBUY3,41850.5¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-23 00:29 UTCBUY3,50017.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-23 00:28 UTCBUY73414.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-21 22:55 UTCBUY2,17026.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-21 22:54 UTCBUY7,50025.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-21 22:54 UTCBUY2,15624.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-21 19:57 UTCBUY75.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-21 19:52 UTCBUY2,30026.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-20 03:07 UTCBUY3,00018.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-20 03:06 UTCBUY1,1044.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-19 18:42 UTCBUY5,00020.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-19 18:41 UTCBUY8,2006.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-19 11:55 UTCBUY1,36421.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-19 11:52 UTCBUY2,1967.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-18 11:00 UTCBUY2,28816.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-14 12:26 UTCBUY1,06726.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-10 10:26 UTCBUY13,50016.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-09 19:08 UTCBUY13,24740.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-09 19:08 UTCBUY3,65339.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-09 19:07 UTCBUY5,41738.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-09 19:07 UTCBUY74115.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 23:39 UTCBUY52142.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 23:39 UTCBUY50041.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:37 UTCBUY7,5991.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:17 UTCBUY3,32021.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 16:48 UTCBUY1,3801.6¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 16:47 UTCBUY1,1271.5¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-08 15:27 UTCBUY83421.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved