trader profile

SaylorMoon

0xecb14ac6e9ca447ce2f2912e6217b43d7b655da3
Open MV$65.1K6 positions
Open PnL+$11.2K20.7% on basis
Realized PnL+$33.3K130 closed
Hit rate59%Wilson lower 51%
Volume observed$725.0K362 trades · 154 markets
Current ranklast trade 3d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d54,38667.2¢83.5¢+24.2%$45.4K+$8.8K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d10,00052.0¢87.5¢+68.3%$8.7K+$3.5K
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yesin 142d6,79076.9¢84.0¢+9.2%$5.7K+$480
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d37,05215.4¢13.5¢-12.4%$5.0K-$706
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yesin 24d1,88462.7¢10.4¢-83.4%$196-$985
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approv…Yesin 8d25033.0¢32.5¢-1.5%$81-$1

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes12,37732.7¢100.0¢+$8.3Kresolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Beckett Sennecke win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memo…No1,90099.9¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?Yes4,61290.7¢100.0¢+$428resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will Matthew Schaefer win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memo…Yes14,79699.8¢100.0¢+$29resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes2,84421.0¢0.0¢-$597resolution2026-06-02 19:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No11,90889.9¢100.0¢+$1.2Kresolution2026-06-02 19:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes21,6151.4¢0.0¢-$292resolution2026-06-02 19:08 UTC
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No3,24645.0¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes10,78257.0¢100.0¢+$4.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No35,46659.3¢0.0¢-$21.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?Yes3,91363.1¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes25,75870.1¢100.0¢+$7.7Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes45,94214.7¢0.0¢-$6.8Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump kiss by May 31?No4,34148.4¢0.0¢-$2.1Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canad…Yes40077.1¢100.0¢+$92resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadia…Yes1,80720.9¢0.0¢-$377resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of B…No54164.3¢100.0¢+$193resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the 2026 Conservative Part…No1,03266.8¢0.0¢-$689resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party o…Yes4,52551.4¢0.0¢-$2.3Kresolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadia…No1,27877.0¢100.0¢+$294resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of Brit…Yes2138.3¢0.0¢-$18resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?Yes2,49098.2¢100.0¢+$44resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canad…No1624.0¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes7,2597.4¢0.0¢-$539resolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes27,35114.7¢34.0¢+$5.3Ktrade2026-05-25 22:59 UTC
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?Yes2,15553.2¢100.0¢+$1.0Kresolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?No2,63029.6¢0.0¢-$779resolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers8,20538.4¢0.0¢-$3.2Kresolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between…Yes6,25420.1¢0.1¢-$1.2Ktrade2026-05-22 18:49 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less t…Yes46.7¢0.1¢-$0trade2026-05-22 18:46 UTC
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between…Yes1,73620.1¢0.3¢-$344trade2026-05-22 18:45 UTC
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between…Yes15,6358.2¢0.2¢-$1.3Ktrade2026-05-22 18:44 UTC
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…No8,01798.6¢99.9¢+$108trade2026-05-22 18:04 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be betwee…Yes20635.6¢45.7¢+$21trade2026-05-22 14:05 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be betwee…Yes1,77335.3¢0.0¢-$626resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less t…Yes156.7¢0.0¢-$1resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be…No55193.2¢100.0¢+$38resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes9,1389.0¢0.0¢-$822resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pist…Cavs38,64842.8¢100.0¢+$22.1Kresolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be betwee…Yes2,58835.6¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be betwee…No53958.3¢100.0¢+$224resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be betwee…No73831.9¢0.0¢-$236resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be…No44353.8¢100.0¢+$205resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be…No43512.7¢0.0¢-$55resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be at lea…No49898.9¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be…Yes2,29416.5¢0.0¢-$378resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?No5,25398.5¢99.8¢+$69trade2026-05-21 15:48 UTC
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between…Yes25059.3¢75.3¢+$40trade2026-05-21 14:55 UTC
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between…Yes28559.3¢75.5¢+$46trade2026-05-21 14:55 UTC
Golden Knights vs. AvalancheAvalanche6,36350.9¢0.0¢-$3.2Kresolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY32,05215.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:18 UTCBUY35032.0¢Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro TabiloAlejandro Tabilo
2026-06-01 12:16 UTCBUY5015.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-30 23:11 UTCBUY23,49817.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 17:29 UTCBUY10,78257.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?YesResolved
2026-05-30 17:27 UTCBUY3,24645.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-29 21:20 UTCBUY5,69377.1¢Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes
2026-05-27 22:33 UTCBUY2,2597.5¢Iran closes its airspace by May 27?YesResolved
2026-05-27 22:33 UTCBUY5,0007.4¢Iran closes its airspace by May 27?YesResolved
2026-05-25 22:59 UTCSELL27,35134.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 20:41 UTCBUY3,73863.0¢Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?YesResolved
2026-05-24 20:39 UTCBUY17565.9¢Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?YesResolved
2026-05-24 00:40 UTCBUY8,20538.4¢Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliersResolved
2026-05-23 21:24 UTCBUY2,49098.2¢Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?YesResolved
2026-05-23 16:24 UTCBUY32012.1¢Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand…YesResolved
2026-05-23 16:21 UTCBUY1,27877.0¢Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand…NoResolved
2026-05-23 16:17 UTCBUY1,03324.0¢Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand…YesResolved
2026-05-23 16:17 UTCBUY1624.0¢Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Gran…NoResolved
2026-05-23 16:15 UTCBUY45420.0¢Will Lando Norris win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand…YesResolved
2026-05-23 16:10 UTCBUY40077.1¢Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Gran…YesResolved
2026-05-23 13:43 UTCBUY28,43219.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-22 18:49 UTCSELL19,4340.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:49 UTCSELL5,4440.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:46 UTCSELL40.1¢Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 80k?YesResolved
2026-05-22 18:45 UTCSELL19,4340.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:45 UTCSELL4,2650.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?Yes
2026-05-22 18:45 UTCSELL19,4340.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:45 UTCSELL13,1230.1¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:45 UTCSELL1,7360.3¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:44 UTCBUY42998.9¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:44 UTCSELL24,7230.2¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k an…Yes
2026-05-22 18:04 UTCSELL10,06199.9¢Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinpi…NoResolved
2026-05-22 17:05 UTCBUY1,0167.3¢Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between…YesResolved
2026-05-22 14:05 UTCSELL20645.7¢Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k a…YesResolved
2026-05-22 13:53 UTCBUY1,77787.9¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k an…Yes
2026-05-22 13:53 UTCBUY46988.7¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k an…No
2026-05-22 13:53 UTCBUY5,97280.8¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k an…Yes
2026-05-22 13:18 UTCBUY9,1389.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:48 UTCBUY2,16632.5¢Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k a…YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:48 UTCSELL5,25399.8¢Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-21 15:24 UTCBUY13112.1¢Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between…YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:24 UTCBUY43512.7¢Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between…NoResolved
2026-05-21 14:55 UTCSELL25075.3¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k an…Yes
2026-05-21 14:55 UTCSELL28575.5¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k an…Yes
2026-05-21 14:46 UTCBUY2,2058.3¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k an…Yes
2026-05-21 03:38 UTCSELL1643.4¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k an…Yes
2026-05-21 03:37 UTCSELL7700.3¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k an…Yes
2026-05-21 03:37 UTCSELL1,9540.2¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k an…Yes
2026-05-21 03:37 UTCSELL2,7990.2¢Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?Yes
2026-05-21 02:50 UTCBUY5112.7¢Golden Knights vs. AvalancheAvalancheResolved