trader profile

SwissMiss

0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95
Open MV$535.1K22 positions
Open PnL+$79.1K17.4% on basis
Realized PnL-$375.5K63 closed
Hit rate65%Wilson lower 53%
Volume observed$2.00M205 trades · 78 markets
Current rank—last trade 10d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d171,88368.8¢98.0¢+42.5%$168.5K+$50.3K
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential…Noin 885d125,00050.0¢98.4¢+96.7%$122.9K+$60.4K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Noin 208d63,33780.3¢84.5¢+5.2%$53.5K+$2.7K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d55,05854.4¢87.5¢+60.8%$48.2K+$18.2K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 208d30,00081.0¢84.5¢+4.3%$25.4K+$1.1K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Noin 24d23,33779.5¢90.5¢+13.9%$21.1K+$2.6K
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yesin 208d24,55341.3¢80.0¢+93.8%$19.6K+$9.5K
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Noin 24d26,18660.6¢64.5¢+6.4%$16.9K+$1.0K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Noin 208d16,41660.0¢61.5¢+2.5%$10.1K+$246
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Noin 24d12,00769.5¢76.5¢+10.1%$9.2K+$843
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Noin 24d8,00076.0¢98.5¢+29.5%$7.9K+$1.8K
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Noin 208d20,05952.5¢28.5¢-45.7%$5.7K-$4.8K
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yesin 208d6,49248.1¢72.5¢+50.8%$4.7K+$1.6K
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d4,36557.1¢84.5¢+48.1%$3.7K+$1.2K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yesin 208d22,64052.1¢15.0¢-71.2%$3.4K-$8.4K
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Noin 24d3,00087.0¢97.7¢+12.2%$2.9K+$319
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in…Yesin 55d2,79155.0¢96.9¢+76.1%$2.7K+$1.2K
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yesin 208d7,50034.0¢27.5¢-19.1%$2.1K-$488
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 885d125,00050.0¢1.7¢-96.7%$2.1K-$60.4K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d11,99416.4¢15.8¢-3.4%$1.9K-$67
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d2,00061.0¢74.5¢+22.1%$1.5K+$270
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Noin 208d1,29270.0¢84.5¢+20.7%$1.1K+$187

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No77,46028.8¢0.0¢-$22.3Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes12,50058.2¢100.0¢+$5.2Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes118,63894.1¢100.0¢+$7.0Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes6,24597.4¢100.0¢+$164resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No4,50024.0¢0.0¢-$1.1Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No64,09147.0¢0.0¢-$30.1Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No10,00015.0¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No21,96345.8¢0.0¢-$10.1Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?No72,65764.9¢0.0¢-$47.1Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?No1,53788.0¢100.0¢+$184resolution2026-06-01 13:08 UTC
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?Yes200,00099.8¢100.0¢+$400resolution2026-06-01 13:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No60,00059.0¢0.0¢-$35.4Kresolution2026-06-01 13:08 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No2,50095.0¢0.0¢-$2.4Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No40,00085.2¢100.0¢+$5.9Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No61,33751.6¢0.0¢-$31.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes19,62469.9¢0.0¢-$13.7Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No1,33735.0¢0.0¢-$468resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight,…Sean Brady1060.0¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes TormoDaria Kasatkina8,29268.0¢100.0¢+$2.7Kresolution2026-05-09 00:00 UTC
Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026No20035.0¢100.0¢+$130resolution2026-05-01 00:00 UTC
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 3…No3,00079.0¢100.0¢+$630resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes305,00099.8¢100.0¢+$615resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…No2,45696.9¢100.0¢+$76resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No55,72561.8¢100.0¢+$21.3Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the United States send warships through the Strait…No1,00075.0¢0.0¢-$750resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No2,50084.0¢100.0¢+$400resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strai…No50085.0¢100.0¢+$75resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?No26583.0¢100.0¢+$45resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ap…No9,93871.5¢100.0¢+$2.8Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No25,00089.0¢0.0¢-$22.3Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?No15,33791.9¢100.0¢+$1.2Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No14,15680.1¢100.0¢+$2.8Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No22,82196.7¢0.4¢-$22.0Ktrade2026-04-08 04:55 UTC
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?No2,50090.0¢100.0¢+$250resolution2026-04-05 00:00 UTC
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women'…Alice Pereira66,21454.0¢100.0¢+$30.5Kresolution2026-04-05 00:00 UTC
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No20,00083.5¢100.0¢+$3.3Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No10,00092.0¢100.0¢+$800resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Military action against Iran continues through March 31…Yes30,69071.0¢100.0¢+$8.9Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Clavicular be the top ranked Chad by March 31?No10052.0¢0.0¢-$52resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No11,38163.5¢100.0¢+$4.2Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No6,65654.5¢100.0¢+$3.0Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 3…No15,37199.5¢100.0¢+$77resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No128,89592.5¢100.0¢+$9.7Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No175,00099.9¢100.0¢+$200resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Netanyahu out by March 31?No28,02898.0¢100.0¢+$561resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No68,00092.3¢100.0¢+$5.2Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No6,43195.0¢100.0¢+$322resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump visit China by May 31?No2,50023.0¢0.0¢-$575resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga BulldogsGonzaga Bulldogs2,29894.0¢100.0¢+$138resolution2026-03-19 00:00 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes3,53299.4¢100.0¢+$21resolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-26 19:39 UTCBUY1,41459.0¢Roland Garros WTA: Jil Teichmann vs Magdalena FrechMagdalena FrechResolved
2026-05-26 19:35 UTCBUY1,69349.0¢Roland Garros WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Xinyu WangTamara KorpatschResolved
2026-05-16 22:29 UTCSELL740.1¢UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Stra…Polyana VianaResolved
2026-05-16 22:29 UTCSELL520.1¢UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Stra…Polyana VianaResolved
2026-05-14 18:55 UTCBUY1869.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-09 17:01 UTCBUY1060.0¢UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Car…Sean BradyResolved
2026-05-08 11:43 UTCBUY1361.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-06 12:29 UTCBUY5567.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-04 14:05 UTCBUY6261.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-04 11:36 UTCBUY5461.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-03 09:50 UTCBUY4152.8¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-02 21:05 UTCBUY11258.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-05-02 08:20 UTCBUY8,29268.0¢La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes TormoDaria KasatkinaResolved
2026-04-28 19:22 UTCBUY41756.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-28 18:40 UTCBUY20554.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-28 14:14 UTCBUY23946.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-28 14:14 UTCBUY47945.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-27 14:02 UTCBUY5053.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-26 07:53 UTCBUY12151.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-25 13:59 UTCBUY5049.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-25 08:15 UTCBUY6346.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-24 22:14 UTCBUY6348.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-24 08:40 UTCBUY5050.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-23 19:07 UTCBUY10150.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-23 07:38 UTCBUY6951.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-23 07:38 UTCBUY11851.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-22 08:17 UTCBUY5748.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-22 07:44 UTCBUY5048.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-21 21:47 UTCBUY14048.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-20 07:54 UTCBUY48568.3¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-19 21:32 UTCBUY27561.8¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-19 21:32 UTCBUY6459.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-19 12:58 UTCBUY48363.5¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-18 23:21 UTCBUY43962.5¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-18 18:21 UTCBUY35459.9¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-18 14:07 UTCBUY1,15455.7¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-17 10:44 UTCBUY8534.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-16 19:05 UTCBUY10635.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-16 15:23 UTCBUY1,50033.0¢SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-04-16 08:45 UTCBUY30033.3¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-15 21:41 UTCBUY7533.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-15 12:12 UTCBUY10030.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-15 12:12 UTCBUY75033.5¢SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-04-14 09:34 UTCBUY25030.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-13 19:18 UTCBUY3,00035.0¢SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-04-13 14:20 UTCBUY10126.0¢Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year?Yes
2026-04-11 12:13 UTCBUY10,74531.9¢SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-04-08 04:55 UTCSELL79,9880.4¢US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?NoResolved
2026-04-07 14:44 UTCBUY7,50096.2¢US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?NoResolved
2026-04-07 14:41 UTCBUY5,00099.7¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved