trader profile

TheQuietRisk

0x0a854897a06d4999e5b2dde5693609f1428ffe9d
Open MV$247.1K5 positions
Open PnL-$267.0K-51.9% on basis
Realized PnL$00 closed
Hit rateWilson lower 0%
Volume observed$1.49M269 trades · 14 markets
Current ranklast trade 5d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yesin 208d1,006,37923.9¢17.5¢-26.7%$176.1K-$64.1K
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yesin 24d2,200,08710.4¢2.6¢-74.6%$58.3K-$171.5K
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yesin 24d450,1247.7¢2.1¢-72.3%$9.6K-$25.1K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yesin 24d99,7447.7¢2.7¢-65.1%$2.7K-$5.0K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d12,50014.0¢3.1¢-77.5%$394-$1.4K

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
No closed positions yet.
0 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-31 16:46 UTCBUY30,06117.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-29 04:19 UTCBUY6,00017.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-29 04:17 UTCSELL128,5930.4¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-29 04:17 UTCSELL196,4070.2¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-27 10:09 UTCBUY2,09119.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-27 10:08 UTCBUY11,99419.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-26 18:57 UTCSELL491.1¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-26 18:55 UTCSELL85,0001.1¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-26 18:50 UTCBUY1482.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-26 18:49 UTCBUY15,0002.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-25 09:05 UTCBUY4,26619.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-24 16:20 UTCBUY13,0008.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes
2026-05-24 12:39 UTCBUY34,18618.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-24 12:39 UTCBUY3,70018.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-24 11:48 UTCBUY4,52217.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-22 12:25 UTCBUY4,0003.7¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 12:25 UTCBUY6,0008.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 10:54 UTCBUY22,3458.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 10:53 UTCBUY12,50014.0¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 10:51 UTCBUY25,0008.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 10:50 UTCBUY1,0002.9¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-22 10:49 UTCBUY25,0004.4¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-22 10:49 UTCSELL112,9830.2¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-22 10:47 UTCBUY20,1232.7¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-22 10:47 UTCBUY25,7437.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:23 UTCBUY8,0003.8¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-21 21:21 UTCBUY6,0006.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:20 UTCBUY20,0006.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:19 UTCBUY50,0006.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:18 UTCBUY10,0003.5¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:18 UTCBUY5,0003.0¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:18 UTCBUY5,0002.9¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 21:17 UTCBUY128,4005.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-20 10:26 UTCBUY3,5006.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-20 08:08 UTCBUY105,2886.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-20 08:08 UTCBUY36,2966.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-17 14:19 UTCBUY15,0002.3¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-17 14:19 UTCBUY9,0002.2¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-17 14:12 UTCBUY1,8004.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-17 14:12 UTCBUY1,5453.9¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-17 14:12 UTCBUY2,7003.8¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-16 12:25 UTCBUY15,2365.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:46 UTCBUY23,0006.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:46 UTCBUY50,0006.0¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-16 05:44 UTCBUY4475.0¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-16 05:43 UTCBUY4,2003.6¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:43 UTCBUY2,0003.2¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:43 UTCBUY3,8003.1¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:42 UTCBUY5,0003.1¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
2026-05-16 05:42 UTCBUY4,0003.1¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes