trader profile

Erasmus.

0xc6587b11a2209e46dfe3928b31c5514a8e33b784
Open MV$756.1K14 positions
Open PnL-$93.8K-11.0% on basis
Realized PnL$00 closed
Hit rate—Wilson lower 0%
Volume observed$3.81M480 trades · 75 markets
Current rank—last trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d264,13985.9¢97.9¢+13.9%$258.5K+$31.5K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d285,17174.2¢86.5¢+16.6%$246.7K+$35.1K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d74,14190.5¢94.0¢+3.8%$69.7K+$2.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d393,38049.8¢17.5¢-64.8%$68.8K-$126.9K
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d52,00772.9¢84.5¢+15.8%$43.9K+$6.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d180,68020.1¢13.5¢-32.8%$24.4K-$11.9K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Noin 208d27,15882.7¢77.5¢-6.3%$21.0K-$1.4K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d573,6946.6¢2.1¢-68.8%$11.8K-$26.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d10,30946.7¢37.5¢-19.7%$3.9K-$950
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yesin 55d8,96245.8¢34.5¢-24.6%$3.1K-$1.0K
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5,11748.4¢40.5¢-16.4%$2.1K-$407
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 24d2,76664.3¢44.5¢-30.8%$1.2K-$548
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Noin 208d1,16191.0¢93.5¢+2.8%$1.1K+$29
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 150d1015.0¢19.5¢+30.0%$2+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
No closed positions yet.
0 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 20:28 UTCBUY5,36139.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes
2026-06-03 20:28 UTCBUY21,07418.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-03 20:28 UTCBUY5,46617.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-03 20:19 UTCBUY23,61614.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 19:19 UTCBUY2,80437.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 19:19 UTCBUY79,09213.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 19:19 UTCBUY14,46423.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 19:19 UTCBUY47,3113.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 14:39 UTCBUY40,6713.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY19,82126.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY2,73639.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY4,97514.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY1,6626.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 14:28 UTCBUY342,2566.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 17:37 UTCBUY9,80327.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 16:56 UTCBUY69,6946.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:23 UTCBUY26,3946.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 18:15 UTCBUY33,7912.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-30 18:07 UTCBUY4,40519.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 18:07 UTCBUY23,46512.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 15:07 UTCBUY2,04527.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-29 14:51 UTCBUY25,26240.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 14:51 UTCBUY124,3449.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 14:13 UTCBUY18,92220.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 14:13 UTCBUY4,51045.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 14:13 UTCBUY54,48930.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 14:13 UTCBUY71,7148.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 14:13 UTCBUY428,2869.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 17:11 UTCBUY2,98942.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-27 16:25 UTCBUY7,31449.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 16:22 UTCBUY11,01232.8¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-26 15:59 UTCBUY15,49825.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-26 15:53 UTCBUY3,32040.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 17:30 UTCBUY83647.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 14:49 UTCBUY2,50036.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:49 UTCSELL69,72916.8¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:20 UTCBUY3,48424.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:15 UTCBUY108,78857.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-24 12:13 UTCBUY1,19658.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:13 UTCBUY6,59442.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 03:52 UTCBUY25858.9¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-24 03:52 UTCBUY2,41030.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:57 UTCBUY1,24419.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:57 UTCBUY1,48065.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-23 21:57 UTCBUY2,55768.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:57 UTCBUY1,08362.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:54 UTCBUY2,20066.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:54 UTCBUY3,50676.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-23 21:54 UTCBUY2,21219.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:54 UTCBUY1,40064.7¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes