trader profile

yungstalin

0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8
Open MV$389.7K27 positions
Open PnL+$2.4K0.6% on basis
Realized PnL-$90.7K56 closed
Hit rate64%Wilson lower 51%
Volume observed$3.11M683 trades · 102 markets
Current rank#37 · 30dlast trade 7h 10m ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Noin 885d220,00050.0¢69.8¢+39.7%$153.7K+$43.7K
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No93,44995.1¢97.2¢+2.2%$90.8K+$1.9K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 885d220,00050.0¢30.1¢-39.7%$66.3K-$43.7K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 208d29,15645.5¢72.2¢+58.8%$21.1K+$7.8K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2…Noin 208d14,98761.0¢73.0¢+19.6%$10.9K+$1.8K
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appoin…Yesin 208d29,15314.5¢24.5¢+69.0%$7.1K+$2.9K
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yesin 208d25,80233.8¢25.0¢-25.9%$6.5K-$2.3K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 9d239,5123.3¢2.1¢-37.7%$4.9K-$3.0K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Noin 573d17,03212.5¢21.5¢+72.4%$3.7K+$1.5K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No6,00072.0¢59.0¢-18.1%$3.5K-$780
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d13,09313.4¢26.5¢+98.2%$3.5K+$1.7K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Noin 24d3,06736.9¢80.2¢+117.2%$2.5K+$1.3K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Noin 573d29,9675.0¢7.9¢+56.6%$2.4K+$856
Kash Patel out by December 31?Noin 208d4,94323.8¢45.5¢+91.1%$2.2K+$1.1K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 24d17,44118.4¢11.5¢-37.4%$2.0K-$1.2K
Kash Patel out by June 30?Noin 24d1,98946.0¢90.5¢+96.7%$1.8K+$885
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yesin 24d42,23914.7¢4.1¢-72.1%$1.7K-$4.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d14,34435.2¢9.5¢-73.0%$1.4K-$3.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d2,09738.0¢39.5¢+3.9%$828+$31
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026…Yesin 150d1,40047.0¢45.5¢-3.2%$637-$21
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yesin 208d4,33520.3¢14.5¢-28.7%$629-$253
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Noin 573d15,0583.0¢3.9¢+29.3%$580+$131
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d29,28815.2¢1.6¢-89.8%$454-$4.0K
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Noin 208d1,01529.0¢43.5¢+50.0%$442+$147
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 24d44843.0¢40.5¢-5.8%$181-$11
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Noin 57d1,4419.7¢2.5¢-74.8%$35-$105
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another coun…Yesin 24d5072.1¢1.4¢-32.6%$7-$3

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No14,72213.4¢26.6¢+$1.9Ktrade2026-06-05 08:58 UTC
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No3,62313.4¢27.0¢+$492trade2026-06-04 17:21 UTC
Chirayu Rana divorced?No31778.0¢98.9¢+$66trade2026-06-03 21:52 UTC
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No5,29513.4¢28.0¢+$772trade2026-06-03 21:49 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No6,93633.8¢99.0¢+$4.5Ktrade2026-06-02 22:18 UTC
Chirayu Rana divorced?No18378.0¢98.9¢+$38trade2026-06-02 22:17 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No59,63533.8¢99.0¢+$38.9Ktrade2026-06-02 22:13 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes31,3313.6¢3.5¢-$20trade2026-06-02 16:55 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No3,41639.5¢82.0¢+$1.5Ktrade2026-06-02 07:15 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No82539.5¢83.0¢+$359trade2026-06-02 07:04 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,04126.0¢78.5¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-06-01 12:50 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes4,92522.5¢9.0¢-$667trade2026-05-31 22:33 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…Yes284,42121.7¢0.2¢-$61.2Ktrade2026-05-31 10:07 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes237,34628.5¢0.0¢-$67.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes4,0348.0¢0.0¢-$323resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No90,17859.4¢100.0¢+$36.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No140,98267.1¢0.0¢-$94.7Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No33,69964.3¢100.0¢+$12.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No27,88365.6¢100.0¢+$9.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes13,24331.1¢100.0¢+$9.1Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No75582.0¢100.0¢+$136resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes73,12138.3¢0.0¢-$28.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes8,90431.0¢0.0¢-$2.8Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes71,02480.5¢100.0¢+$13.8Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?No5,10140.9¢100.0¢+$3.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No196,26464.2¢100.0¢+$70.3Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No19,49883.4¢100.0¢+$3.2Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No18,71327.3¢0.0¢-$5.1Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes3,45257.8¢0.0¢-$2.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…Yes21,5479.7¢0.0¢-$2.1Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No2162.4¢74.0¢+$2trade2026-05-29 10:40 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes7,62028.5¢11.0¢-$1.3Ktrade2026-05-28 15:51 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes4,91522.5¢23.0¢+$23trade2026-05-28 15:51 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes44447.0¢21.0¢-$115trade2026-05-28 15:03 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes3,30447.0¢28.0¢-$628trade2026-05-27 18:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No12,5693.0¢100.0¢+$12.2Kresolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes4,13862.0¢0.0¢-$2.6Kresolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes18,2258.0¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes85,12625.3¢0.0¢-$21.5Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No34,48139.5¢100.0¢+$20.9Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes2,79992.0¢0.0¢-$2.6Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes14,49728.2¢29.0¢+$122trade2026-05-25 21:46 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes2,30531.5¢50.0¢+$426trade2026-05-25 20:14 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes8,75928.2¢37.0¢+$775trade2026-05-25 19:16 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes18,01148.0¢14.0¢-$6.1Ktrade2026-05-25 19:16 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,39623.2¢38.0¢+$503trade2026-05-25 00:23 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes18,39570.3¢0.0¢-$12.9Kresolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No68,7835.9¢1.7¢-$2.9Ktrade2026-05-24 22:52 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No867.0¢89.0¢+$2trade2026-05-24 22:28 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No5,4515.9¢2.0¢-$210trade2026-05-24 20:10 UTC
176 total · page 1 of 4← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-05 16:29 UTCBUY31,4062.8¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-05 16:21 UTCBUY1,54339.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 16:21 UTCBUY13,54939.3¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 08:58 UTCBUY1,53424.0¢Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed…Yes
2026-06-05 08:58 UTCSELL14,72226.6¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-05 07:01 UTCBUY14,37538.4¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 06:48 UTCBUY5,0455.2¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No
2026-06-04 19:48 UTCBUY1,97012.0¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY14,6693.0¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY16,9224.9¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY15,06212.5¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No
2026-06-04 17:21 UTCSELL3,62327.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-04 16:54 UTCBUY32,1963.3¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-04 12:33 UTCBUY24,1863.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-03 21:55 UTCBUY2,6653.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-03 21:52 UTCSELL31798.9¢Chirayu Rana divorced?No
2026-06-03 21:50 UTCSELL17491.0¢Kash Patel out by June 30?No
2026-06-03 21:49 UTCSELL5,29528.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 14:34 UTCBUY60936.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-06-03 10:10 UTCBUY7,5043.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 09:41 UTCBUY32,71312.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-02 22:18 UTCBUY6,32377.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 22:18 UTCSELL20,00099.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 22:17 UTCSELL18398.9¢Chirayu Rana divorced?No
2026-06-02 22:13 UTCBUY85,00077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 22:13 UTCSELL59,63599.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 21:38 UTCBUY60,00077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 16:55 UTCSELL31,3313.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-02 11:31 UTCBUY62,53077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 07:15 UTCSELL3,41682.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-02 07:04 UTCSELL82583.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-02 07:00 UTCSELL350,0000.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 06:58 UTCBUY12,3123.9¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 16:43 UTCBUY8,3463.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 14:52 UTCBUY22,13540.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:38 UTCBUY20,0443.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 14:27 UTCBUY10,01736.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:32 UTCBUY19,60815.9¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-06-01 13:28 UTCBUY2,62728.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:26 UTCBUY2,06329.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:24 UTCBUY18,27529.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:22 UTCBUY8,61028.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:20 UTCBUY2,84427.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:51 UTCSELL2,24878.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:50 UTCSELL2,14578.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 22:33 UTCSELL39,0199.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 10:07 UTCSELL404,0350.2¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-29 10:40 UTCSELL2174.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-28 15:51 UTCSELL7,62011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 15:51 UTCSELL4,91523.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes