trader profile

aenews2

0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Open MV$321.6K70 positions
Open PnL-$9.9K-3.0% on basis
Realized PnL+$27.1K99 closed
Hit rate78%Wilson lower 69%
Volume observed$4.01M758 trades · 275 markets
Current rank#12 · 30dlast trade 21h 39m ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 208d173,36471.0¢84.5¢+19.0%$146.5K+$23.4K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Noin 208d89,22782.5¢84.5¢+2.4%$75.4K+$1.8K
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…Noin 150d33,34858.9¢61.5¢+4.4%$20.5K+$869
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d189,17014.9¢9.5¢-36.4%$18.0K-$10.3K
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yesin 208d37,33623.7¢21.5¢-9.2%$8.0K-$816
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida G…Noin 73d6,68691.0¢92.0¢+1.1%$6.2K+$67
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d8,31875.0¢73.5¢-2.0%$6.1K-$125
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d29,95034.8¢16.5¢-52.6%$4.9K-$5.5K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yesin 208d8,89644.1¢45.0¢+2.0%$4.0K+$79
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican…Yesin 10d3,88286.1¢74.3¢-13.7%$2.9K-$459
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approv…Yesin 8d8,69041.1¢30.0¢-27.0%$2.6K-$963
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yesin 24d11,29428.4¢23.0¢-18.9%$2.6K-$606
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Go…Yesin 73d2,51091.0¢91.5¢+0.6%$2.3K+$14
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yesin 73d2,39694.7¢94.8¢+0.2%$2.3K+$5
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Rep…Yesin 3d3,25793.0¢67.0¢-28.0%$2.2K-$848
Kash Patel out by June 30?Yesin 24d19,45733.8¢9.5¢-71.9%$1.8K-$4.7K
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yesin 208d6,38839.2¢28.5¢-27.4%$1.8K-$687
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes2,12674.2¢72.0¢-3.0%$1.5K-$47
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 Unit…Noin 150d1,46993.7¢95.9¢+2.3%$1.4K+$32
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yesin 208d4,35340.7¢29.5¢-27.6%$1.3K-$489
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yesin 208d2,06663.4¢54.5¢-14.0%$1.1K-$183
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d7,45810.0¢11.5¢+15.0%$858+$112
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yesin 24d3,50284.8¢19.9¢-76.6%$695-$2.3K
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yesin 208d2,30832.9¢29.5¢-10.3%$681-$78
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yesin 208d12,2088.2¢5.5¢-32.8%$671-$327
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yesin 24d8,12311.8¢6.5¢-44.9%$528-$430
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yesin 208d3,74718.4¢13.5¢-26.5%$506-$183
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yesin 24d2,28820.0¢21.5¢+7.7%$492+$35
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yesin 24d2,36032.4¢19.0¢-41.3%$448-$316
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yesin 24d3,42936.7¢11.2¢-69.5%$384-$875
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yesin 9d2,86395.6¢10.7¢-88.9%$305-$2.4K
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yesin 208d1,00041.0¢25.0¢-39.0%$250-$160
X banned in any European country by December 31?Yesin 208d77429.6¢31.0¢+4.7%$240+$11
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Yesin 208d66626.0¢35.5¢+36.5%$236+$63
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d11,49024.0¢1.6¢-93.5%$178-$2.6K
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primar…Noin 59d51446.0¢33.5¢-27.1%$172-$64
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yesin 208d27361.2¢55.5¢-9.3%$151-$15
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yesin 24d1,0229.6¢14.6¢+52.4%$149+$51
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yesin 24d18086.0¢72.0¢-16.3%$130-$25
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d12595.9¢93.0¢-3.1%$116-$4
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d36446.9¢29.0¢-38.2%$106-$65
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yesin 208d26443.1¢31.5¢-27.0%$83-$31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yesin 24d1,94128.8¢4.0¢-85.9%$79-$480
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yesin 24d51032.6¢14.5¢-55.6%$74-$93
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e…Yesin 120d23135.0¢28.2¢-19.5%$65-$16
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d21478.0¢28.5¢-63.5%$61-$106
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?Noin 24d5682.6¢97.0¢+17.4%$54+$8
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yesin 150d4494.0¢93.2¢-0.9%$41-$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yesin 55d11546.0¢34.5¢-25.0%$39-$13
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d34714.9¢10.2¢-32.1%$35-$17
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in…Noin 55d1,9897.0¢1.8¢-75.0%$35-$104
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31…Yesin 208d7591.0¢42.0¢-53.8%$32-$37
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d53010.0¢5.9¢-41.3%$31-$22
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Noin 208d3954.0¢70.5¢+30.6%$27+$6
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d9043.4¢2.9¢-16.2%$26-$5
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida G…Yesin 73d2576.0¢8.0¢+33.3%$21+$5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d4737.0¢39.5¢+6.8%$19+$1
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" befor…Yesin 208d16015.2¢11.2¢-26.5%$18-$6
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framewor…Yesin 24d18015.8¢8.5¢-46.1%$15-$13
Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?Yesin 2d1392.0¢97.5¢+6.0%$12+$1
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Noin 24d1137.1¢88.8¢+139.4%$10+$6
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yesin 24d9011.0¢10.0¢-9.1%$9-$1
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yesin 208d2031.6¢23.0¢-27.3%$5-$2
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?Noin 24d341.0¢94.5¢+130.5%$3+$2
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or hig…Yesin 24d553.0¢55.6¢+5.0%$3+$0
Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d1218.0¢17.5¢-2.8%$2-$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yesin 55d110.0¢49.5¢+393.3%$1+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Noin 208d249.9¢27.8¢-44.3%$0-$0
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yesin 24d1912.0¢1.4¢-88.3%$0-$2
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yesin 208d112.5¢15.0¢+20.1%$0+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No295,7683.5¢0.0¢-$10.3Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes365,26793.6¢100.0¢+$23.4Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?Yes2,40285.7¢100.0¢+$345resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick out as US Rep by May 31?Yes6874.0¢100.0¢+$18resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 21, 20…Yes1188.5¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??Yes50697.3¢100.0¢+$14resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 22, 20…Yes3586.9¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 23, 20…Yes1393.6¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 31, 20…Yes4090.7¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by May 24, 20…Yes1793.8¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes14,78710.3¢11.0¢+$107trade2026-05-25 21:44 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes3,87458.3¢3.3¢-$2.1Ktrade2026-05-25 02:45 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes3,03058.3¢4.1¢-$1.6Ktrade2026-05-25 02:41 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes10,36858.3¢7.2¢-$5.3Ktrade2026-05-25 00:34 UTC
Will the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?Yes1082.8¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary…No40724.0¢62.6¢+$157trade2026-05-19 23:50 UTC
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes5893.4¢4.0¢+$4trade2026-05-19 10:29 UTC
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes7623.0¢27.0¢+$3trade2026-05-19 10:21 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes28,18929.0¢13.0¢-$4.5Ktrade2026-05-19 06:56 UTC
Will Mike Collins finish first in the first round of th…Yes43996.9¢100.0¢+$14resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No15,57455.9¢100.0¢+$6.9Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes15,86557.4¢100.0¢+$6.8Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Burt Jones finish first in the first round of the…Yes5083.2¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes25712.4¢11.0¢-$4trade2026-05-17 13:23 UTC
Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes5,46312.4¢17.4¢+$275trade2026-05-17 12:10 UTC
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?Yes46390.9¢100.0¢+$42resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes1773.0¢97.0¢+$4trade2026-05-16 08:41 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No1,5583.1¢0.0¢-$49resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes100,1224.9¢0.0¢-$4.9Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes42,9436.7¢0.0¢-$2.9Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No12,47217.7¢100.0¢+$10.3Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?No3,08517.5¢0.0¢-$539resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes3,63797.0¢0.0¢-$3.5Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes15,5109.9¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes20,66263.6¢100.0¢+$7.5Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No29,60472.5¢0.0¢-$21.5Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?Yes11,79648.5¢100.0¢+$6.1Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes8,10363.6¢6.1¢-$4.7Ktrade2026-05-14 23:38 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes10863.6¢21.0¢-$46trade2026-05-14 01:00 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes1,35863.6¢21.0¢-$578trade2026-05-14 00:57 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?No3,1563.1¢14.8¢+$370trade2026-05-13 00:11 UTC
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes2,34711.8¢13.5¢+$40trade2026-05-12 10:02 UTC
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes8,91139.2¢41.0¢+$157trade2026-05-12 10:01 UTC
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?No56,83796.8¢99.9¢+$1.8Ktrade2026-05-12 00:16 UTC
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?Yes10951.8¢100.0¢+$52resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this wee…Yes56318.8¢19.0¢+$1trade2026-05-11 12:50 UTC
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this wee…Yes7418.8¢21.6¢+$2trade2026-05-11 12:49 UTC
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?Yes1,04836.9¢88.0¢+$536trade2026-05-11 03:55 UTC
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 3…Yes4258.1¢0.0¢-$24resolution2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 32m an…No17,18299.9¢100.0¢+$18resolution2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
145 total · page 1 of 3← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-05 01:57 UTCBUY7,14644.9¢Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party ca…No
2026-06-05 01:57 UTCBUY6845.0¢Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor pri…No
2026-06-05 01:57 UTCBUY6,00045.0¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…Yes
2026-06-05 01:57 UTCBUY6,04045.0¢Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Gove…Yes
2026-06-04 23:13 UTCBUY27267.7¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-06-04 23:13 UTCBUY10,39467.4¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-04 23:13 UTCBUY7,30167.2¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-04 23:13 UTCBUY1,99167.6¢Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-04 09:55 UTCBUY2,62969.8¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-04 09:55 UTCBUY10,54370.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-04 06:20 UTCBUY1,00895.9¢Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United S…No
2026-06-04 06:05 UTCBUY1,61789.3¢Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United S…No
2026-06-04 00:41 UTCBUY1,11211.4¢Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United S…Yes
2026-06-03 23:29 UTCBUY2,91221.0¢Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 23:25 UTCBUY3,88859.0¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-03 23:17 UTCBUY9,28122.0¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…Yes
2026-06-03 23:14 UTCBUY93158.3¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-03 23:14 UTCBUY15757.6¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-06-03 23:14 UTCBUY8,38659.4¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 23:14 UTCBUY1,18656.4¢Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 22:14 UTCBUY3437.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 22:14 UTCBUY5,86425.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 22:11 UTCBUY2,39694.7¢Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes
2026-06-03 20:57 UTCBUY1112.0¢Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes
2026-06-03 20:57 UTCBUY1,0119.6¢Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes
2026-06-03 20:54 UTCBUY1,22549.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 19:03 UTCBUY11099.5¢Will Toby Doeden and Dusty Johnson advance to the South Dakota…NoResolved
2026-06-03 19:03 UTCBUY10799.5¢Will Dusty Johnson and Larry Rhoden advance to the South Dakota…NoResolved
2026-06-03 19:02 UTCBUY20899.0¢Will Toby Doeden and Larry Rhoden advance to the South Dakota G…YesResolved
2026-06-03 19:02 UTCBUY1098.4¢Will Toby Doeden and Larry Rhoden advance to the South Dakota G…YesResolved
2026-06-03 17:34 UTCBUY1,05037.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 13:07 UTCBUY100,00099.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 13:07 UTCBUY100,00099.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 13:06 UTCBUY100,00099.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 13:05 UTCBUY100,00099.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 08:50 UTCBUY6049.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 08:26 UTCBUY349.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 08:25 UTCBUY1349.0¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-03 07:21 UTCBUY17498.8¢Will Marni von Wilpert advance from the CA-48 primary election?YesResolved
2026-06-03 07:08 UTCBUY11299.7¢Will Ken Calvert advance from the CA-40 primary election?Yes
2026-06-03 04:28 UTCBUY29,85894.6¢Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor…No
2026-06-03 04:28 UTCBUY2,60695.0¢Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governo…Yes
2026-06-03 03:53 UTCBUY40518.0¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-03 03:53 UTCBUY40118.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 03:52 UTCBUY41717.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 03:52 UTCBUY1,21116.9¢Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of t…Yes
2026-06-03 03:52 UTCBUY1,24815.9¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…No
2026-06-03 03:46 UTCBUY1,75915.8¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-06-03 03:45 UTCBUY1,93214.0¢Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 03:45 UTCBUY1,64410.0¢Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes