trader profile

ocean322

0xdf17f4a8dd01a4cfa6fc3da323a2baee5f8697d1
Open MV$231.3K38 positions
Open PnL+$17.5K8.2% on basis
Realized PnL+$307.7K157 closed
Hit rate64%Wilson lower 57%
Volume observed$4.50M1,704 trades · 254 markets
Current rank#38 · 30dlast trade 60d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Noin 132d68,65572.2¢87.5¢+21.2%$60.1K+$10.5K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Noin 132d68,55576.8¢85.5¢+11.4%$58.6K+$6.0K
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Noin 132d29,47384.5¢87.5¢+3.6%$25.8K+$892
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Noin 74d20,08781.0¢80.5¢-0.6%$16.2K-$99
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Noin 132d20,80676.9¢77.0¢+0.1%$16.0K+$16
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Noin 50d16,88191.2¢92.5¢+1.5%$15.6K+$223
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 74d15,12084.4¢80.5¢-4.6%$12.2K-$583
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Noin 132d11,70586.8¢93.5¢+7.8%$10.9K+$787
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Noin 132d6,08090.9¢91.5¢+0.7%$5.6K+$37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No4,38671.0¢62.0¢-12.7%$2.7K-$396
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 132d2,49779.0¢90.5¢+14.5%$2.3K+$287
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Noin 132d1,62367.4¢72.0¢+6.8%$1.2K+$74
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yesin 132d1,27068.0¢74.2¢+9.0%$942+$78
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yesin 132d1,50058.3¢53.0¢-9.1%$795-$80
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes1,01071.0¢62.5¢-12.0%$631-$86
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Noin 133d1,00039.0¢49.5¢+26.9%$495+$105
Kash Patel out by December 31?Yesin 132d70077.0¢51.0¢-33.8%$357-$182
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Noin 132d40288.8¢84.5¢-4.9%$340-$17
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yesin 132d60047.0¢36.5¢-22.3%$219-$63
Iran Nuke before 2027?Noin 132d16084.5¢93.2¢+10.2%$149+$14
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 132d7293.6¢95.9¢+2.4%$69+$2
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Noin 132d6092.6¢93.8¢+1.2%$56+$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Noin 132d5089.0¢98.0¢+10.1%$49+$4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 132d3060.1¢82.8¢+37.6%$25+$7
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 132d2379.6¢90.5¢+13.7%$21+$3
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Noin 133d2189.9¢92.8¢+3.3%$20+$1
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Noin 132d2083.5¢90.5¢+8.4%$18+$1
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yesin 132d3027.0¢28.0¢+3.7%$8+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yesin 132d3921.0¢21.5¢+2.4%$8+$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Noin 132d1071.0¢78.5¢+10.6%$8+$1
Trump out as President before 2027?Yesin 132d8011.9¢9.5¢-20.0%$8-$2
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yesin 132d406.0¢8.5¢+41.7%$3+$1
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?Yesin 61d3013.0¢6.2¢-52.4%$2-$2
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?Yesin 132d257.6¢5.5¢-27.6%$1-$1
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Noin 132d188.0¢91.5¢+4.0%$1+$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Noin 132d195.6¢96.7¢+1.1%$1+$0
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yesin 132d716.0¢9.5¢-40.6%$1-$0
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?Noin 132d330.0¢4.0¢-86.8%$0-$1

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes15,52197.9¢100.0¢+$322resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?No9,12599.7¢100.0¢+$31resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No71,4491.2¢0.0¢-$855resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No2,4040.2¢0.0¢-$5resolution2026-06-21 06:59 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes5,24299.8¢100.0¢+$10resolution2026-06-21 06:59 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1,39110.3¢3.2¢-$99trade2026-06-21 03:54 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes7,50027.5¢3.3¢-$1.8Ktrade2026-06-21 03:51 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes21,92427.5¢4.0¢-$5.1Ktrade2026-06-20 21:07 UTC
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal b…No1,23586.9¢53.1¢-$418trade2026-06-20 20:31 UTC
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by Ju…No47998.0¢99.7¢+$8trade2026-06-20 02:28 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes3,86584.5¢100.0¢+$598resolution2026-06-20 00:00 UTC
NBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5?No13596.0¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-06-20 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes24143.2¢8.0¢-$85trade2026-06-19 21:07 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes1,25843.2¢42.0¢-$15trade2026-06-19 14:54 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…No11,53878.1¢100.0¢+$2.5Kresolution2026-06-18 00:00 UTC
ITF Curtea de Arges: Anas Mazdrashki vs David Eichenseh…Anas Mazdrashki10083.0¢100.0¢+$17resolution2026-06-18 00:00 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes1,44821.0¢0.0¢-$305resolution2026-06-18 00:00 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes5,93465.7¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-06-18 00:00 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…Yes5,40916.5¢9.5¢-$380trade2026-06-17 18:22 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…Yes2,37816.5¢11.1¢-$129trade2026-06-17 18:21 UTC
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian re…Yes1,55757.1¢64.0¢+$107trade2026-06-17 18:19 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,81510.7¢10.1¢-$16trade2026-06-17 18:10 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes47810.7¢11.8¢+$5trade2026-06-17 18:10 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes1684.5¢94.0¢+$1trade2026-06-17 06:51 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes20684.5¢94.1¢+$20trade2026-06-17 06:51 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes2,17995.8¢93.3¢-$56trade2026-06-17 02:39 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes85556.1¢31.0¢-$215trade2026-06-17 02:09 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes5,26821.0¢7.0¢-$740trade2026-06-17 02:08 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes2021.0¢8.0¢-$3trade2026-06-17 01:22 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes10,00064.2¢99.7¢+$3.5Ktrade2026-06-17 00:53 UTC
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran…No11954.9¢82.5¢+$33trade2026-06-16 23:23 UTC
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by J…Yes3,83821.0¢13.0¢-$309trade2026-06-16 22:21 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…Yes8547.6¢5.3¢-$19trade2026-06-16 20:55 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No11,63095.9¢99.5¢+$420trade2026-06-16 17:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2,06164.2¢99.4¢+$725trade2026-06-16 16:47 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes10,00064.2¢99.3¢+$3.5Ktrade2026-06-16 16:32 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes10,00064.2¢99.3¢+$3.5Ktrade2026-06-16 16:29 UTC
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…Yes16,74894.0¢98.3¢+$724trade2026-06-16 13:06 UTC
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…Yes1,43494.0¢98.5¢+$65trade2026-06-16 13:05 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes4,98137.3¢39.4¢+$100trade2026-06-15 23:40 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…Yes6047.6¢15.0¢+$45trade2026-06-15 23:35 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,75679.5¢88.0¢+$318trade2026-06-15 19:49 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No16,98496.9¢99.0¢+$360trade2026-06-15 19:28 UTC
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes86080.5¢99.8¢+$166trade2026-06-15 19:27 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…Yes1,5007.6¢24.0¢+$247trade2026-06-15 15:24 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No41896.9¢98.9¢+$8trade2026-06-15 08:14 UTC
Netanyahu out by June 30?No5,00098.3¢98.7¢+$20trade2026-06-15 07:27 UTC
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No79098.5¢98.7¢+$2trade2026-06-15 07:24 UTC
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No5,25098.5¢99.0¢+$28trade2026-06-15 07:24 UTC
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…Yes1,53025.5¢3.3¢-$339trade2026-06-15 07:08 UTC
398 total · page 1 of 8← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-21 03:54 UTCSELL1,3913.2¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-21 03:51 UTCSELL7,5003.3¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-20 22:10 UTCSELL10,0000.2¢Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?Yes
2026-06-20 21:07 UTCSELL21,9244.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-20 21:05 UTCBUY83698.1¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 20:31 UTCSELL1,23553.1¢Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 3…No
2026-06-20 13:45 UTCBUY10,56999.3¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 13:41 UTCBUY10,00099.6¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No
2026-06-20 13:41 UTCBUY10,00099.6¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No
2026-06-20 13:41 UTCBUY1,33999.7¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No
2026-06-20 13:27 UTCSELL3,91398.9¢Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-20 11:00 UTCBUY2,08199.1¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:56 UTCBUY8,46699.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:56 UTCBUY1,32598.9¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:55 UTCBUY5,01298.9¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:55 UTCBUY35698.4¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:52 UTCBUY19698.3¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 10:51 UTCBUY32398.1¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 08:41 UTCBUY3,00098.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 08:40 UTCBUY92397.9¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 08:34 UTCBUY2,01998.6¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,…No
2026-06-20 08:27 UTCBUY9097.7¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 08:27 UTCBUY13197.7¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 08:25 UTCBUY80097.7¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 04:21 UTCBUY1,30094.9¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-20 02:28 UTCSELL47999.7¢Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-20 02:15 UTCBUY1,64697.5¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-20 00:00 UTCBUY92097.3¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-19 23:42 UTCSELL899.6¢Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No
2026-06-19 23:42 UTCSELL7899.6¢Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?No
2026-06-19 23:31 UTCBUY1,24295.8¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31,…No
2026-06-19 23:29 UTCBUY2597.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-19 23:27 UTCBUY2,27697.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-19 21:43 UTCBUY20,0005.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-19 21:07 UTCSELL2418.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-19 19:34 UTCBUY15,69872.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-19 16:43 UTCBUY3,08996.1¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31,…No
2026-06-19 14:54 UTCSELL1,25842.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-19 14:50 UTCBUY39896.9¢Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-19 14:49 UTCBUY1,00095.0¢Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-19 14:49 UTCBUY1,00093.0¢Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal…No
2026-06-19 14:49 UTCBUY1,20093.0¢Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by…No
2026-06-19 14:48 UTCBUY1,56488.8¢Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 3…No
2026-06-19 13:00 UTCBUY2,22298.6¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-19 02:45 UTCBUY27,50298.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-19 00:33 UTCBUY1573.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-18 21:02 UTCBUY1,33697.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-18 20:04 UTCBUY4,55099.7¢Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by…Yes
2026-06-18 19:07 UTCBUY31,41197.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No
2026-06-18 18:53 UTCBUY58,27396.0¢Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No