| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d | 161,118 | 35.2¢ | 38.5¢ | +9.3% | $62.0K | +$5.3K |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Noin 885d | 75,000 | 50.0¢ | 74.5¢ | +48.9% | $55.8K | +$18.3K |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Noin 208d | 55,000 | 82.0¢ | 93.0¢ | +13.5% | $51.2K | +$6.1K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d | 32,204 | 69.0¢ | 97.5¢ | +41.3% | $31.4K | +$9.2K |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 885d | 75,000 | 50.0¢ | 25.6¢ | -48.9% | $19.2K | -$18.3K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d | 244,448 | 3.8¢ | 4.5¢ | +15.7% | $10.9K | +$1.5K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Noin 208d | 13,232 | 69.1¢ | 71.5¢ | +3.5% | $9.5K | +$318 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…Yes | 35,000 | 37.8¢ | 25.5¢ | -32.5% | $8.9K | -$4.3K |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Yesin 208d | 17,813 | 54.3¢ | 47.5¢ | -12.5% | $8.5K | -$1.2K |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 40,078 | 17.9¢ | 18.4¢ | +2.4% | $7.4K | +$173 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 9d | 70,000 | 12.9¢ | 10.5¢ | -18.6% | $7.3K | -$1.7K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yesin 55d | 10,437 | 58.9¢ | 61.0¢ | +3.5% | $6.4K | +$216 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…Yesin 885d | 55,000 | 8.1¢ | 9.3¢ | +15.6% | $5.1K | +$693 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d | 12,735 | 36.4¢ | 30.5¢ | -16.2% | $3.9K | -$751 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d | 101,724 | 2.0¢ | 2.9¢ | +44.9% | $3.0K | +$930 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Noin 24d | 2,808 | 67.5¢ | 96.8¢ | +43.4% | $2.7K | +$823 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 50,332 | 5.1¢ | 5.1¢ | +1.0% | $2.6K | +$25 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | 3,683 | 10.2¢ | 70.0¢ | +585.9% | $2.6K | +$2.2K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d | 11,399 | 23.9¢ | 19.5¢ | -18.4% | $2.2K | -$502 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Noin 208d | 3,957 | 31.2¢ | 55.0¢ | +76.3% | $2.2K | +$942 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 19,957 | 7.0¢ | 10.3¢ | +46.4% | $2.0K | +$649 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 24d | 8,291 | 23.5¢ | 23.5¢ | +0.1% | $1.9K | +$3 |
| Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midte…Noin 150d | 1,963 | 91.4¢ | 96.4¢ | +5.4% | $1.9K | +$98 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in…Yesin 150d | 2,799 | 5.2¢ | 66.5¢ | +1175.3% | $1.9K | +$1.7K |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d | 4,519 | 33.5¢ | 39.5¢ | +18.0% | $1.8K | +$273 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 10,001 | 14.0¢ | 17.0¢ | +21.1% | $1.7K | +$295 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Noin 208d | 5,169 | 52.5¢ | 32.8¢ | -37.7% | $1.7K | -$1.0K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d | 31,025 | 6.3¢ | 5.5¢ | -12.8% | $1.7K | -$248 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d | 150,000 | 1.3¢ | 1.1¢ | -20.4% | $1.6K | -$405 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Noin 24d | 2,299 | 19.5¢ | 67.8¢ | +248.0% | $1.6K | +$1.1K |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats afte…Yes | 10,158 | 1.0¢ | 14.5¢ | +1350.0% | $1.5K | +$1.4K |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d | 18,281 | 18.2¢ | 7.5¢ | -58.8% | $1.4K | -$2.0K |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 1,391 | 60.3¢ | 95.2¢ | +57.7% | $1.3K | +$484 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by Jun…Noin 24d | 1,337 | 77.6¢ | 98.0¢ | +26.2% | $1.3K | +$272 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yesin 24d | 2,213 | 46.8¢ | 57.7¢ | +23.3% | $1.3K | +$241 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yesin 208d | 2,221 | 58.3¢ | 55.5¢ | -4.8% | $1.2K | -$62 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?Yesin 208d | 6,051 | 19.9¢ | 19.5¢ | -1.9% | $1.2K | -$22 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?Noin 208d | 1,386 | 66.1¢ | 78.5¢ | +18.7% | $1.1K | +$171 |
| Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meetin…Yesin 24d | 3,368 | 61.9¢ | 32.3¢ | -47.9% | $1.1K | -$998 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yesin 208d | 5,786 | 15.8¢ | 18.5¢ | +16.9% | $1.1K | +$155 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yesin 208d | 1,262 | 48.9¢ | 81.0¢ | +65.5% | $1.0K | +$405 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAIin 573d | 1,171 | 34.6¢ | 75.5¢ | +118.2% | $884 | +$479 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYesin 208d | 5,436 | 18.3¢ | 15.5¢ | -15.4% | $843 | -$153 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yesin 116d | 830 | 85.0¢ | 97.5¢ | +14.7% | $810 | +$104 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yesin 24d | 2,590 | 42.4¢ | 31.0¢ | -27.0% | $803 | -$297 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d | 41,093 | 1.9¢ | 1.9¢ | +1.9% | $801 | +$15 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d | 3,106 | 21.0¢ | 25.5¢ | +21.5% | $792 | +$140 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2…Noin 208d | 1,425 | 57.1¢ | 53.5¢ | -6.3% | $762 | -$51 |
| Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Demo…Yesin 94d | 821 | 73.5¢ | 85.5¢ | +16.4% | $702 | +$99 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d | 5,153 | 26.0¢ | 13.5¢ | -48.1% | $696 | -$644 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d | 62,088 | 0.6¢ | 1.1¢ | +63.8% | $652 | +$254 |
| Will Jackson Lahmeyer be the Republican nominee for OK-01?Yesin 10d | 878 | 50.0¢ | 71.0¢ | +42.1% | $624 | +$185 |
| Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democrati…Yesin 66d | 665 | 82.1¢ | 89.5¢ | +9.0% | $596 | +$49 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Noin 24d | 818 | 39.0¢ | 69.0¢ | +76.9% | $564 | +$245 |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republic…Yesin 17d | 588 | 87.8¢ | 94.5¢ | +7.6% | $556 | +$39 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yesin 208d | 3,000 | 31.0¢ | 18.5¢ | -40.3% | $555 | -$375 |
| Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meet…Noin 24d | 599 | 84.9¢ | 92.5¢ | +8.8% | $554 | +$45 |
| Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | 20,000 | 1.4¢ | 2.8¢ | +96.4% | $550 | +$270 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d | 9,575 | 4.3¢ | 5.3¢ | +24.2% | $512 | +$100 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 26,980 | 1.1¢ | 1.8¢ | +68.2% | $499 | +$202 |
| Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 202…Noin 24d | 495 | 89.4¢ | 95.7¢ | +7.0% | $473 | +$31 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Noin 55d | 980 | 26.0¢ | 45.0¢ | +73.1% | $441 | +$186 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 885d | 33,333 | 1.2¢ | 1.3¢ | +4.2% | $417 | +$17 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United St…Noin 24d | 463 | 56.0¢ | 85.5¢ | +52.7% | $396 | +$136 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at mark…Yes | 825 | 25.5¢ | 45.0¢ | +76.2% | $371 | +$161 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 885d | 9,262 | 2.2¢ | 4.0¢ | +79.5% | $366 | +$162 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at mark…Yes | 1,629 | 6.6¢ | 20.5¢ | +212.5% | $334 | +$227 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yesin 208d | 1,044 | 29.8¢ | 28.5¢ | -4.3% | $297 | -$13 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | 296 | 83.0¢ | 99.0¢ | +19.2% | $293 | +$47 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?Yesin 208d | 1,484 | 17.9¢ | 17.5¢ | -2.1% | $260 | -$6 |
| Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party…Noin 208d | 452 | 53.8¢ | 52.5¢ | -2.5% | $237 | -$6 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market clos…Yesin 24d | 830 | 2.1¢ | 28.4¢ | +1246.8% | $236 | +$218 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 10,000 | 2.2¢ | 2.4¢ | +6.8% | $235 | +$15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1,476 | 14.6¢ | 14.5¢ | -1.1% | $214 | -$2 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates s…Yesin 208d | 221 | 64.9¢ | 87.5¢ | +34.8% | $193 | +$50 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30…Yesin 24d | 1,323 | 57.3¢ | 13.5¢ | -76.4% | $179 | -$580 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yesin 24d | 186 | 32.1¢ | 93.8¢ | +192.2% | $174 | +$115 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?Noin 24d | 197 | 39.0¢ | 85.5¢ | +119.2% | $169 | +$92 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Noin 24d | 202 | 49.8¢ | 76.0¢ | +52.7% | $154 | +$53 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 7,833 | 0.6¢ | 1.1¢ | +91.7% | $90 | +$43 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (E…Yesin 208d | 97 | 71.9¢ | 92.4¢ | +28.5% | $89 | +$20 |
| Megaquake by June 30?Yesin 24d | 921 | 18.4¢ | 9.5¢ | -48.3% | $87 | -$82 |
| Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican p…Yesin 59d | 90 | 69.9¢ | 89.5¢ | +28.1% | $81 | +$18 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?Yes | 7,533 | 3.4¢ | 1.1¢ | -68.9% | $79 | -$175 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1,111 | 35.0¢ | 6.5¢ | -81.4% | $72 | -$317 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026?Noin 208d | 72 | 84.5¢ | 91.8¢ | +8.7% | $66 | +$5 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d | 2,704 | 1.8¢ | 1.8¢ | -2.8% | $47 | -$1 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d | 3,479 | 8.3¢ | 1.4¢ | -83.8% | $47 | -$242 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d | 1,215 | 24.9¢ | 3.1¢ | -87.4% | $38 | -$265 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Noin 208d | 38 | 42.0¢ | 87.5¢ | +108.3% | $33 | +$17 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yesin 208d | 733 | 1.8¢ | 3.5¢ | +89.4% | $26 | +$12 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another coun…Yesin 24d | 1,333 | 2.4¢ | 1.7¢ | -31.1% | $22 | -$10 |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (E…Noin 208d | 282 | 31.6¢ | 7.6¢ | -76.0% | $21 | -$68 |
| Will Ivar Stenberg be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL D…Yesin 21d | 140 | 0.6¢ | 13.8¢ | +2049.5% | $19 | +$18 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 20…Yesin 208d | 376 | 2.6¢ | 4.5¢ | +73.1% | $17 | +$7 |
| Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United St…Yesin 24d | 116 | 24.0¢ | 14.5¢ | -39.6% | $17 | -$11 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yesin 24d | 299 | 20.0¢ | 5.5¢ | -72.5% | $16 | -$43 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yesin 208d | 197 | 3.6¢ | 2.8¢ | -23.7% | $5 | -$2 |
| Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL D…Yesin 21d | 5 | 40.0¢ | 86.0¢ | +115.0% | $5 | +$2 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by Jun…Yesin 24d | 211 | 25.6¢ | 2.1¢ | -92.0% | $4 | -$50 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (M…Yesin 11d | 87 | 22.0¢ | 1.8¢ | -91.8% | $2 | -$18 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d | 1 | 42.6¢ | 55.0¢ | +29.0% | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Noin 24d | 1 | 39.2¢ | 50.0¢ | +27.5% | $1 | +$0 |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic mee…Noin 24d | 1 | 39.2¢ | 34.4¢ | -12.2% | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yesin 208d | 1 | 31.0¢ | 17.5¢ | -43.5% | $0 | -$0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d | 1 | 10.9¢ | 13.9¢ | +27.0% | $0 | +$0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 885d | 1 | 3.8¢ | 8.1¢ | +111.5% | $0 | +$0 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1 | 12.7¢ | 7.0¢ | -45.0% | $0 | -$0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yesin 24d | 1 | 29.0¢ | 2.5¢ | -91.3% | $0 | -$0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Jun…Noin 11d | 1 | 14.0¢ | 2.3¢ | -84.0% | $0 | -$0 |