market detail
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends 2028-11-07 00:00 UTC · 0x18b1c135…0af919
Outcomes
Yes33.6¢
17 leaders·avg entry 45.3¢·MV $280.4K
No69.8¢
3 leaders·avg entry 50.0¢·MV $155.0K
Leader exposure
Every ranked wallet currently holding this market
| Trader | Side | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yungstalin | No | 220,000 | 50.0¢ | 69.8¢ | +39.7% | $153.7K | +$43.7K |
| Brokie | Yes | 306,101 | 50.0¢ | 33.6¢ | -32.9% | $102.7K | -$50.3K |
| yungstalin | Yes | 220,000 | 50.0¢ | 30.1¢ | -39.7% | $66.3K | -$43.7K |
| GCottrell93 | Yes | 146,779 | 48.7¢ | 30.1¢ | -38.1% | $44.3K | -$27.3K |
| ScottyNooo | Yes | 77,541 | 45.0¢ | 30.6¢ | -32.1% | $23.7K | -$11.2K |
| wan123 | Yes | 65,278 | 37.4¢ | 30.1¢ | -19.4% | $19.7K | -$4.7K |
| Q96s3kwozynxpau | Yes | 47,536 | 0.8¢ | 30.6¢ | +3810.7% | $14.5K | +$14.2K |
| TheMangler | Yes | 17,226 | 29.1¢ | 31.4¢ | +8.0% | $5.4K | +$402 |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Yes | 6,000 | 50.0¢ | 30.1¢ | -39.7% | $1.8K | -$1.2K |
| rdba | No | 1,905 | 50.0¢ | 69.5¢ | +39.0% | $1.3K | +$371 |
| rebotsliaf | Yes | 3,333 | 36.1¢ | 33.6¢ | -7.1% | $1.1K | -$85 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 1,419 | 39.2¢ | 30.1¢ | -23.0% | $428 | -$128 |
| HeavyP1sser | Yes | 659 | 0.8¢ | 32.4¢ | +4041.1% | $213 | +$208 |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 259 | 39.5¢ | 30.8¢ | -22.2% | $80 | -$23 |
| donthackme | Yes | 235 | 0.8¢ | 30.1¢ | +3759.4% | $71 | +$69 |
| beachboy4 | Yes | 182 | 55.0¢ | 30.1¢ | -45.2% | $55 | -$45 |
| 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 143 | 35.6¢ | 30.8¢ | -13.6% | $44 | -$7 |
| Ru386 | Yes | 103 | 38.9¢ | 33.6¢ | -13.8% | $34 | -$6 |
| mwenya | No | 11 | 57.8¢ | 68.5¢ | +18.6% | $8 | +$1 |
| mwenya | Yes | 10 | 33.6¢ | 31.4¢ | -6.4% | $3 | -$0 |
Recent trades on this market
| Time UTC | Side | Notional | Price | Trader | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 03:17 UTC | BUY | $27 | 68.6¢ | donthackme | No |
| 2026-05-26 23:33 UTC | BUY | $3 | 33.6¢ | mwenya | Yes |
| 2026-05-25 20:31 UTC | SELL | $15.4K | 34.7¢ | beenraping | Yes |
| 2026-05-25 19:49 UTC | BUY | $16.0K | 65.2¢ | ScottyNooo | No |
| 2026-05-25 19:40 UTC | BUY | $2.6K | 65.2¢ | ScottyNooo | No |
| 2026-05-22 22:03 UTC | SELL | $145 | 34.6¢ | Gucky-45 | Yes |
| 2026-05-22 05:35 UTC | SELL | $78 | 35.4¢ | Gucky-45 | Yes |
| 2026-05-20 23:11 UTC | SELL | $104 | 36.0¢ | Gucky-45 | Yes |
| 2026-05-20 05:38 UTC | SELL | $233 | 36.2¢ | Gucky-45 | Yes |
| 2026-05-15 22:57 UTC | BUY | $129 | 36.3¢ | PantheraUncia | Yes |
| 2026-05-12 18:13 UTC | SELL | $1.5K | 36.5¢ | immanuelcan | Yes |
| 2026-05-10 22:08 UTC | SELL | $18.9K | 37.0¢ | beenraping | Yes |
| 2026-05-08 01:53 UTC | BUY | $1.3K | 61.7¢ | beenraping | No |
| 2026-05-07 23:14 UTC | SELL | $40 | 38.6¢ | 11122 | Yes |
| 2026-05-03 10:12 UTC | SELL | $4 | 39.1¢ | LynxTitan | Yes |
| 2026-05-03 09:11 UTC | SELL | $258 | 60.9¢ | LynxTitan | No |
| 2026-04-28 04:57 UTC | SELL | $433 | 39.0¢ | UbuntuTrading | Yes |
| 2026-04-27 20:57 UTC | SELL | $2.9K | 39.1¢ | 11122 | Yes |
| 2026-04-27 20:56 UTC | SELL | $54 | 39.2¢ | 11122 | Yes |
| 2026-04-18 23:19 UTC | BUY | $113 | 39.1¢ | eightpenguins | Yes |
| 2026-04-18 23:09 UTC | BUY | $696 | 39.0¢ | wan123 | Yes |
| 2026-04-09 01:48 UTC | SELL | $54 | 39.3¢ | Q96s3kwozynxpau | Yes |
| 2026-04-04 10:06 UTC | SELL | $5 | 63.2¢ | J-E-R | No |
| 2026-03-24 23:06 UTC | SELL | $2.6K | 36.6¢ | J-E-R | Yes |
| 2026-03-23 13:54 UTC | SELL | $1.3K | 36.8¢ | J-E-R | Yes |
| 2026-03-16 22:42 UTC | SELL | $2 | 39.1¢ | ProfessionalPunter | Yes |
| 2026-03-16 22:41 UTC | BUY | $2 | 39.3¢ | ProfessionalPunter | Yes |
| 2026-02-27 14:41 UTC | SELL | $432 | 42.2¢ | 0x8b71010f8D18CccE16a37434778117EE2d6b8044-1735105889785 | Yes |
| 2026-02-27 01:19 UTC | BUY | $6 | 42.0¢ | TheMangler | Yes |
| 2026-02-19 14:35 UTC | BUY | $50.0K | 46.4¢ | GCottrell93 | Yes |
| 2026-02-13 00:32 UTC | BUY | $2.6K | 53.0¢ | petanimal | No |
| 2026-02-10 21:32 UTC | SELL | $2 | 47.0¢ | Q96s3kwozynxpau | Yes |
| 2026-01-30 08:53 UTC | SELL | $3.6K | 50.0¢ | noman2026 | Yes |
| 2025-11-03 07:39 UTC | BUY | $4.0K | 59.0¢ | noman2026 | Yes |
| 2025-10-29 11:17 UTC | BUY | $1.7K | 56.0¢ | GCottrell93 | Yes |
| 2025-10-29 11:16 UTC | BUY | $19 | 55.0¢ | GCottrell93 | Yes |
| 2025-10-29 11:16 UTC | BUY | $5.9K | 55.0¢ | GCottrell93 | Yes |
| 2025-10-29 11:16 UTC | BUY | $10.0K | 54.7¢ | GCottrell93 | Yes |
| 2025-10-28 00:24 UTC | BUY | $200 | 54.0¢ | noman2026 | Yes |