trader profile

J-E-R

0x612f07e76abb9d4d1804264a088a37a666ecaa53
Open MV$41.8K50 positions
Open PnL+$13.1K45.7% on basis
Realized PnL-$5412 closed
Hit rate67%Wilson lower 39%
Volume observed$47.3K200 trades · 89 markets
Current rank—last trade 10d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yesin 55d12,50048.0¢48.5¢+1.0%$6.1K+$63
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d98,2382.0¢5.3¢+167.1%$5.3K+$3.3K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 885d122,0522.7¢4.0¢+50.4%$4.9K+$1.7K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d19,2787.9¢24.3¢+207.7%$4.7K+$3.2K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d139,6851.5¢2.1¢+34.6%$2.9K+$736
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d4,03813.9¢55.1¢+297.7%$2.2K+$1.7K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Noin 885d2,50075.5¢75.3¢-0.2%$1.9K-$4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d158,8701.1¢1.1¢+8.9%$1.8K+$149
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 885d86,3031.7¢1.7¢-3.0%$1.4K-$44
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d83,6491.0¢1.7¢+65.5%$1.4K+$546
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…Noin 885d1,50089.9¢90.0¢+0.1%$1.3K+$1
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 885d71,7620.9¢1.4¢+49.9%$969+$322
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d81290.4¢94.5¢+4.6%$768+$34
Trump out as President before 2027?Noin 208d80084.0¢89.5¢+6.5%$716+$44
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢18.4¢+2249.0%$642+$615
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢16.0¢+1941.7%$558+$531
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 208d65080.2¢84.5¢+5.4%$549+$28
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d1,73945.3¢27.5¢-39.3%$478-$310
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Noin 209d50090.0¢92.5¢+2.7%$462+$12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Noin 24d45093.0¢97.5¢+4.8%$439+$20
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 885d29,0040.9¢1.3¢+39.7%$363+$103
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d2,9860.8¢6.3¢+700.1%$187+$163
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢5.1¢+559.2%$180+$153
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d5,5001.1¢2.9¢+155.1%$162+$99
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 885d7,4902.1¢2.1¢-2.9%$154-$5
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Noin 150d15078.0¢80.5¢+3.2%$121+$4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢3.3¢+316.0%$114+$86
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢2.9¢+277.6%$103+$76
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d1,7205.8¢5.7¢-2.2%$98-$2
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢2.4¢+200.8%$82+$55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Noin 209d15067.0¢50.5¢-24.6%$76-$25
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d4,7743.8¢1.6¢-59.6%$74-$109
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d9058.0¢80.5¢+38.8%$72+$20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢1.8¢+136.8%$65+$37
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d2,2642.5¢2.8¢+9.5%$62+$5
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢1.7¢+111.2%$58+$30
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yesin 183d1,14516.2¢5.0¢-69.1%$57-$128
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d20027.4¢28.5¢+4.0%$57+$2
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Noin 24d6571.3¢80.5¢+12.9%$52+$6
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢1.4¢+72.8%$47+$20
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢1.3¢+60.0%$44+$16
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d3,5000.8¢1.1¢+34.4%$37+$9
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d1,0000.8¢2.9¢+264.8%$29+$21
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d3006.0¢6.5¢+8.3%$20+$2
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d5636.5¢2.3¢-65.3%$13-$24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Noin 25d962.4¢85.7¢+37.3%$8+$2
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yesin 183d4005.9¢1.7¢-72.3%$7-$17
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d1900.7¢2.3¢+228.9%$4+$3
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic pres…Yesin 885d1900.7¢1.3¢+82.7%$2+$1
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 885d1900.7¢1.1¢+53.5%$2+$1

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours…Yes3219.0¢100.0¢+$26resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours wi…Yes54025.4¢0.0¢-$137resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran b…No15093.7¢100.0¢+$9resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential…Yes1,4782.7¢2.6¢-$2trade2026-04-28 12:43 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No1235.4¢71.0¢+$4trade2026-04-24 07:50 UTC
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes4554.0¢53.0¢-$0trade2026-04-23 05:43 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes2070.0¢59.0¢-$2trade2026-04-22 12:37 UTC
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes049.8¢50.0¢$0trade2026-04-18 22:19 UTC
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes2554.0¢54.0¢$0trade2026-04-18 15:12 UTC
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes17051.0¢54.0¢+$5trade2026-04-18 07:50 UTC
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes45049.8¢51.0¢+$5trade2026-04-15 04:04 UTC
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes15149.8¢51.0¢+$2trade2026-04-14 06:30 UTC
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No5865.0¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-04-12 00:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Electi…Yes6411.0¢1.3¢+$2trade2026-04-06 08:33 UTC
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes50049.8¢52.0¢+$11trade2026-04-06 00:28 UTC
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes491.6¢4.3¢+$1trade2026-03-30 06:48 UTC
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Electi…Yes4301.0¢1.4¢+$2trade2026-03-29 07:59 UTC
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential…Yes5630.7¢0.6¢-$1trade2026-03-28 07:53 UTC
18 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-26 11:33 UTCSELL2,5000.9¢Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-05-25 16:39 UTCBUY866.0¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,…No
2026-05-25 07:09 UTCBUY3072.0¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,…No
2026-05-23 20:59 UTCBUY3,6243.5¢Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
2026-05-23 20:22 UTCBUY3569.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-19 08:07 UTCBUY945.1¢Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
2026-05-18 22:14 UTCSELL30,0001.0¢Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yes
2026-05-18 22:13 UTCSELL1,7031.1¢Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yes
2026-05-18 15:47 UTCBUY11019.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-05-16 22:02 UTCBUY4057.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without fa…YesResolved
2026-05-16 07:01 UTCBUY3219.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 100 and 200 hours without…YesResolved
2026-05-15 14:18 UTCBUY15039.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without fa…YesResolved
2026-05-14 14:51 UTCBUY35016.0¢Will Figure's F.03 robots run for at least 200 hours without fa…YesResolved
2026-04-28 16:53 UTCBUY5,0002.0¢Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yes
2026-04-28 13:19 UTCBUY4,00098.9¢Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No
2026-04-28 13:18 UTCBUY5,0002.0¢Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yes
2026-04-28 13:11 UTCSELL2,40033.0¢Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
2026-04-28 12:43 UTCSELL3,0002.6¢Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nominati…Yes
2026-04-28 12:41 UTCSELL1894.4¢Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yes
2026-04-26 21:19 UTCBUY9058.0¢Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No
2026-04-26 20:59 UTCBUY3006.0¢Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-04-26 20:57 UTCBUY80084.0¢Trump out as President before 2027?No
2026-04-25 10:24 UTCBUY5952.5¢Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nominati…Yes
2026-04-24 19:35 UTCBUY4,1861.1¢Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-04-24 11:29 UTCSELL4,4021.2¢Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
2026-04-24 11:29 UTCBUY592.3¢Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…No
2026-04-24 07:50 UTCSELL1271.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-23 12:16 UTCSELL353.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 12:16 UTCSELL1453.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 12:15 UTCSELL2153.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 12:15 UTCSELL2553.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 12:15 UTCSELL2753.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 12:13 UTCSELL3053.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 06:28 UTCSELL64553.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-23 05:43 UTCSELL21853.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-22 12:37 UTCSELL2059.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-04-21 07:51 UTCSELL5,0001.2¢Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
2026-04-21 01:55 UTCSELL5,0001.2¢Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
2026-04-20 20:39 UTCBUY4036.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-04-19 18:17 UTCBUY5039.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-04-19 13:28 UTCBUY5,0001.8¢Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-04-19 10:42 UTCBUY3,0001.8¢Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-04-18 22:19 UTCSELL050.0¢Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 15:12 UTCSELL2554.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 09:58 UTCBUY5054.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 09:31 UTCBUY2054.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 07:54 UTCSELL554.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 07:54 UTCSELL1054.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 07:53 UTCSELL254.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
2026-04-18 07:52 UTCSELL2254.0¢Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes