trader profile

Brokie

0x1e1f17412069c0736adfaadf8ee7f46e5612c855
Open MV$406.4K42 positions
Open PnL+$89.1K28.1% on basis
Realized PnL-$11.6K74 closed
Hit rate41%Wilson lower 30%
Volume observed$922.8K206 trades · 115 markets
Current rank—last trade 10d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 885d306,10150.0¢33.6¢-32.9%$102.7K-$50.3K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 885d295,9570.4¢23.9¢+5983.3%$70.9K+$69.7K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d65,31992.4¢94.8¢+2.6%$61.9K+$1.6K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Noin 208d40,04084.7¢93.2¢+9.9%$37.3K+$3.4K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yesin 885d309,0000.4¢5.9¢+1310.3%$18.4K+$17.1K
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 885d304,0000.4¢4.0¢+928.7%$12.3K+$11.1K
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nom…Yesin 885d319,0000.4¢3.1¢+700.1%$10.0K+$8.8K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential…Yesin 885d304,0640.4¢3.3¢+725.5%$9.9K+$8.7K
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Noin 885d15,98156.0¢60.5¢+8.0%$9.7K+$719
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Noin 126d10,00092.0¢91.5¢-0.5%$9.1K-$50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 885d306,0200.4¢2.9¢+623.9%$8.7K+$7.5K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d42,03516.2¢16.1¢-0.7%$6.7K-$50
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d8,69656.0¢60.5¢+8.0%$5.3K+$391
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yesin 885d304,1130.4¢1.4¢+242.9%$4.1K+$2.9K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No13,93428.5¢27.5¢-3.4%$3.8K-$136
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential n…Yesin 885d304,0000.4¢1.3¢+217.5%$3.8K+$2.6K
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 885d304,0000.4¢1.1¢+192.1%$3.5K+$2.3K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes12,09830.9¢27.5¢-11.0%$3.3K-$412
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nom…Yesin 885d316,1410.4¢1.1¢+166.7%$3.3K+$2.1K
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential…Noin 1d3,00088.0¢98.9¢+12.3%$3.0K+$325
New pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d2,89089.0¢88.5¢-0.6%$2.6K-$14
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yesin 573d2,5754.8¢97.9¢+1922.1%$2.5K+$2.4K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Yesin 208d10,00029.3¢20.5¢-29.9%$2.0K-$875
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d4,00067.0¢43.5¢-35.1%$1.7K-$940
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 885d6,74327.4¢24.3¢-11.5%$1.6K-$212
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d2,83526.9¢42.5¢+57.8%$1.2K+$441
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 24d5,50024.5¢20.5¢-16.4%$1.1K-$220
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e…Yesin 120d3,7833.0¢27.7¢+810.3%$1.0K+$931
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Noin 208d1,75047.9¢56.5¢+17.8%$989+$150
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec…Yesin 1d1,38856.4¢70.5¢+25.1%$978+$196
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Rus…Yesin 116d1,28573.0¢58.5¢-19.9%$752-$186
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 3…Yesin 208d70742.7¢94.5¢+121.1%$668+$366
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yesin 9d3,00015.0¢13.5¢-10.0%$405-$45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by Dece…Yesin 208d70066.0¢45.5¢-31.1%$319-$144
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of…Yesin 208d5,97917.0¢4.5¢-73.5%$269-$747
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d5,0004.0¢2.9¢-28.7%$143-$58
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Noin 19d1,14724.1¢8.5¢-64.7%$97-$179
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California electi…Yesin 150d12216.0¢37.5¢+134.4%$46+$26
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or hig…Yesin 24d5053.0¢72.2¢+36.2%$36+$10
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?Noin 208d574.0¢96.5¢+30.3%$4+$1
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Noin 24d368.0¢98.6¢+45.0%$3+$1
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Noin 208d259.0¢72.5¢+22.9%$1+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No12,00023.0¢0.0¢-$2.8Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes10,00086.0¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by March 13?Yes8,5778.0¢0.0¢-$686resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme L…Yes1103.5¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolishe…Yes9,1964.0¢0.0¢-$368resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times d…No1729.4¢0.0¢-$5resolution2026-05-26 18:54 UTC
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?Yes39112.8¢0.0¢-$50resolution2026-05-26 18:54 UTC
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes14,28199.0¢100.0¢+$143resolution2026-05-26 18:54 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No1731.9¢1.3¢-$1trade2026-05-26 17:43 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes16672.9¢9.6¢-$105trade2026-05-26 16:33 UTC
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No5,00092.8¢94.7¢+$95trade2026-05-25 22:18 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes43,7669.0¢2.0¢-$3.1Ktrade2026-05-25 22:05 UTC
Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland Count…No56046.0¢100.0¢+$302resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?Yes7,2374.1¢3.5¢-$46trade2026-05-17 23:31 UTC
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No1,01698.4¢100.0¢+$16resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes3,9201.3¢0.0¢-$52resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUp1161.0¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market c…No10163.8¢100.0¢+$37resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market c…Yes1,36238.5¢0.0¢-$524resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Pierre Gasly win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No82099.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?No1,19672.5¢0.0¢-$867resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes30,00030.0¢30.0¢$0trade2026-05-04 22:26 UTC
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on…No69325.2¢0.0¢-$175resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube vi…Yes5,55199.2¢100.0¢+$46resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?Yes1,51299.9¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes6,6567.5¢0.0¢-$500resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ap…Yes13,24023.8¢0.0¢-$3.1Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by April 30?Yes12,48614.0¢0.0¢-$1.7Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after th…No20091.0¢100.0¢+$18resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp4064.9¢0.0¢-$26resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yes1,3501.7¢3.0¢+$17trade2026-04-28 12:53 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes20,00015.0¢0.0¢-$3.0Kresolution2026-04-22 00:00 UTC
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by Apr…Yes1,07423.8¢0.0¢-$255resolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No47,43999.9¢100.0¢+$55resolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes1,0000.3¢0.0¢-$3resolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No22974.0¢100.0¢+$59resolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No4,00081.0¢85.0¢+$160trade2026-04-20 14:30 UTC
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes10046.0¢77.0¢+$31trade2026-04-19 13:14 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No5,24341.8¢100.0¢+$3.0Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No2,00024.4¢0.0¢-$488resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No10,76757.6¢1.4¢-$6.0Ktrade2026-04-07 22:35 UTC
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No1,66496.8¢98.6¢+$30trade2026-04-07 17:59 UTC
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No1,44796.8¢98.7¢+$27trade2026-04-07 17:59 UTC
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No5,00096.8¢98.6¢+$90trade2026-04-07 17:43 UTC
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No3,00096.8¢98.6¢+$54trade2026-04-07 16:58 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No24,46320.4¢0.0¢-$5.0Kresolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 3…Yes4,60229.0¢16.0¢-$599trade2026-04-06 17:18 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes70,21583.0¢99.7¢+$11.7Ktrade2026-04-06 00:03 UTC
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?Yes8413.0¢0.0¢-$11resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?No9877.0¢0.0¢-$75resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-26 17:43 UTCSELL17,6071.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No
2026-05-26 16:59 UTCBUY3,31977.8¢Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-26 16:33 UTCSELL4219.6¢Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-26 15:00 UTCBUY16672.9¢Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-26 14:44 UTCBUY10,94224.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-26 03:16 UTCBUY3,00099.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?NoResolved
2026-05-25 22:20 UTCBUY18713.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?NoResolved
2026-05-25 22:18 UTCSELL5,00094.7¢Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No
2026-05-25 22:05 UTCSELL43,7662.0¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-25 01:43 UTCBUY28,85016.2¢Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-05-25 01:38 UTCBUY1,80667.6¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…NoResolved
2026-05-24 17:30 UTCBUY502.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No
2026-05-24 17:26 UTCSELL23429.6¢Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No
2026-05-24 16:59 UTCBUY1231.9¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No
2026-05-24 14:12 UTCBUY4,30125.1¢Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30,…Yes
2026-05-23 21:51 UTCSELL41062.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?No
2026-05-23 21:42 UTCBUY42926.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-05-23 21:39 UTCBUY1,16965.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:30 UTCBUY16167.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-23 21:21 UTCBUY3,00069.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-22 23:32 UTCBUY2,86614.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No
2026-05-22 22:55 UTCBUY2,16713.6¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No
2026-05-22 21:25 UTCBUY5,44828.8¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-22 20:06 UTCBUY56046.0¢Will Trump say "Israel" during events in Rockland County?NoResolved
2026-05-18 18:19 UTCBUY20,0000.4¢Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes
2026-05-18 17:44 UTCSELL433.3¢Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes
2026-05-18 17:44 UTCSELL1395.1¢Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes
2026-05-17 23:31 UTCSELL20,5333.5¢Iran closes its airspace by May 18?YesResolved
2026-05-17 19:46 UTCBUY4,8004.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 18?YesResolved
2026-05-17 19:13 UTCBUY2,4374.2¢Iran closes its airspace by May 18?YesResolved
2026-05-16 22:58 UTCBUY1,01698.4¢Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-15 21:10 UTCBUY3,9001.2¢Iran closes its airspace by May 15?YesResolved
2026-05-14 17:18 UTCBUY10163.8¢Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on…NoResolved
2026-05-14 17:01 UTCBUY85038.8¢Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on…YesResolved
2026-05-14 17:01 UTCBUY51238.0¢Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on…YesResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-14 15:46 UTCBUY261.0¢Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETUpResolved
2026-05-06 18:15 UTCBUY2,89089.0¢New pandemic in 2026?No
2026-05-06 18:07 UTCBUY45,21692.8¢Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No
2026-05-06 18:01 UTCBUY2088.2¢Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No
2026-05-05 18:03 UTCBUY2029.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 15?YesResolved
2026-05-05 01:22 UTCBUY1,03028.0¢Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No
2026-05-04 22:26 UTCSELL30,00030.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-04 21:16 UTCSELL31,56899.7¢Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No
2026-05-04 01:41 UTCBUY5,13633.7¢Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes