trader profile

noman2026

0x825a96fbae9189ea41bb2aa70e7572970f408835
Open MV$123.3K9 positions
Open PnL+$38.8K46.0% on basis
Realized PnL+$18.5K37 closed
Hit rate68%Wilson lower 51%
Volume observed$255.2K155 trades · 46 markets
Current rank—last trade 28d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d143,61031.1¢48.0¢+54.4%$68.9K+$24.3K
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d65,44027.6¢34.0¢+23.3%$22.2K+$4.2K
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d35,27616.8¢28.0¢+66.7%$9.9K+$4.0K
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Noin 209d10,53748.0¢73.5¢+53.0%$7.7K+$2.7K
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d10,64945.1¢65.5¢+45.1%$7.0K+$2.2K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d6,51646.0¢76.5¢+66.2%$5.0K+$2.0K
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d15,47318.5¢15.5¢-16.4%$2.4K-$471
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?Noin 209d13474.7¢93.5¢+25.2%$125+$25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 150d368.0¢81.5¢+19.8%$2+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k063.4¢100.0¢$0resolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k013.8¢0.0¢$0resolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes3,69454.1¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?No073.9¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-04-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,38254.0¢49.4¢-$250trade2026-03-11 05:54 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes1,20333.3¢100.0¢+$803resolution2026-03-01 00:00 UTC
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yes26,38737.9¢33.0¢-$1.3Ktrade2026-01-31 15:12 UTC
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yes7,15058.7¢50.0¢-$625trade2026-01-30 08:53 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No087.5¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?100k4,72963.5¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?No095.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No032.4¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes044.0¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No076.2¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?No049.0¢0.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No092.6¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?No043.8¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No076.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No094.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No095.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No095.8¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes27,01057.0¢100.0¢+$11.6Kresolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes034.0¢100.0¢+$0resolution2025-12-10 00:00 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…No60633.0¢0.0¢-$200resolution2025-12-10 00:00 UTC
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No3,82952.2¢47.9¢-$167trade2025-12-03 01:52 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No088.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?Yes1,90436.8¢100.0¢+$1.2Kresolution2025-12-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes019.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?No091.0¢0.0¢$0resolution2025-12-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?150k2,89313.8¢8.9¢-$143trade2025-11-24 15:18 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No1,85232.4¢39.4¢+$130trade2025-11-24 15:18 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k15863.4¢91.0¢+$44trade2025-11-21 13:24 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes1,47234.0¢62.0¢+$412trade2025-11-21 13:24 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?No65876.0¢97.9¢+$144trade2025-11-21 05:08 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?No2,10695.0¢97.8¢+$60trade2025-11-18 14:15 UTC
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?No10,62594.0¢97.4¢+$366trade2025-11-18 14:15 UTC
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No052.9¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-11-15 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?No56888.0¢97.2¢+$52trade2025-11-14 04:47 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?No94773.9¢74.1¢+$2trade2025-11-14 04:47 UTC
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?No1,14387.5¢95.0¢+$86trade2025-11-14 04:47 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?Yes1,05319.0¢68.0¢+$516trade2025-11-14 04:46 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes4,54944.0¢50.8¢+$310trade2025-11-14 04:45 UTC
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?Yes63379.0¢74.1¢-$31trade2025-11-13 01:44 UTC
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?No10595.0¢96.2¢+$1trade2025-11-10 11:14 UTC
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in…No40050.0¢50.5¢+$2trade2025-11-10 11:14 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?No54991.0¢78.1¢-$71trade2025-11-09 13:54 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?No10495.8¢96.1¢+$0trade2025-11-07 06:36 UTC
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,17523.0¢20.0¢-$65trade2025-11-04 00:48 UTC
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?No37852.9¢47.2¢-$22trade2025-11-03 08:54 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes75866.0¢66.0¢$0trade2025-11-02 09:17 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-08 07:03 UTCBUY9,00028.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-07 11:56 UTCBUY9,00021.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-07 11:55 UTCBUY1,91933.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-07 11:54 UTCBUY22,61126.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-02 06:13 UTCBUY7,00014.8¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-01 09:44 UTCBUY16,00325.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-01 09:42 UTCBUY9,08533.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-22 00:57 UTCBUY70036.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-22 00:56 UTCBUY3,00036.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-21 00:45 UTCBUY2,50037.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-19 09:40 UTCBUY8035.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-18 23:31 UTCBUY3,00024.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-18 12:11 UTCBUY1,78146.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-18 08:17 UTCBUY1,00034.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-17 05:26 UTCBUY1243.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-15 00:42 UTCBUY1,27747.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-15 00:39 UTCBUY2,20018.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-15 00:37 UTCBUY40046.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-13 14:54 UTCBUY50045.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 22:37 UTCBUY1,30038.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 14:51 UTCBUY4,52919.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 14:37 UTCBUY3,20051.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 13:43 UTCBUY68049.9¢Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-03-11 13:26 UTCBUY5,50051.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 12:27 UTCBUY3,90018.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 12:27 UTCBUY2,60023.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 12:26 UTCBUY1,67650.4¢Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-03-11 12:23 UTCBUY2,50049.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-03-11 05:54 UTCSELL5,40849.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-03-11 05:52 UTCBUY5,38254.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-03-11 05:47 UTCBUY2,62549.0¢Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-03-04 23:17 UTCBUY1,68323.8¢Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-02-26 02:14 UTCBUY3,64418.8¢Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-26 02:10 UTCBUY53649.8¢Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-02-08 23:00 UTCBUY98739.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-04 14:18 UTCBUY5917.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-04 14:14 UTCBUY77617.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-04 14:13 UTCBUY1,81616.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-04 14:13 UTCBUY2,50016.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-04 14:10 UTCBUY1,00016.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-02-02 03:49 UTCBUY5,55718.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-31 15:14 UTCBUY6,51646.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-31 15:12 UTCSELL26,38733.0¢Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati…Yes
2026-01-31 15:11 UTCBUY3,21731.1¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-31 15:10 UTCBUY3029.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-31 15:09 UTCBUY93329.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-31 05:59 UTCBUY1,20333.3¢Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?YesResolved
2026-01-30 08:56 UTCBUY3,70427.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-30 08:55 UTCBUY3,77926.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-01-30 08:53 UTCSELL7,15050.0¢Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes