trader profile
GCottrell93
0x94a428cfa4f84b264e01f70d93d02bc96cb36356
Open MV$46.5K4 positions
Open PnL-$27.7K-37.3% on basis
Realized PnL+$1.21M30 closed
Hit rate47%Wilson lower 30%
Volume observed$4.49M106 trades · 35 markets
Current rank#30 · alllast trade 35d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 885d | 146,779 | 48.7¢ | 30.1¢ | -38.1% | $44.3K | -$27.3K |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential elect…Yesin 328d | 4,241 | 29.0¢ | 25.5¢ | -12.1% | $1.1K | -$148 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the Ju…Yesin 53d | 20,477 | 3.2¢ | 5.0¢ | +55.9% | $1.0K | +$363 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the Ju…Yesin 53d | 10,000 | 8.0¢ | 1.6¢ | -80.0% | $160 | -$640 |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?No | 1,639 | 55.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$902 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | 1,226 | 36.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$448 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?Yes | 11,876 | 84.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.1K | resolution | 2026-06-05 23:08 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes | 2,445 | 72.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K | resolution | 2026-06-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by mark…Yes | 342 | 77.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$78 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | 13 | 92.1¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1 | resolution | 2026-05-05 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "Melania" or "First Lady" at The Village…Yes | 107 | 38.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$66 | resolution | 2026-05-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May…Yes | 117 | 49.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$58 | resolution | 2026-05-01 00:00 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes | 5,635 | 79.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.2K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes | 1,936 | 58.6¢ | 0.4¢ | -$1.1K | trade | 2026-04-28 15:35 UTC |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes | 2,332 | 44.5¢ | 1.2¢ | -$1.0K | trade | 2026-04-28 15:24 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes | 133 | 71.3¢ | 54.9¢ | -$22 | trade | 2026-04-28 15:24 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | 182 | 59.4¢ | 46.0¢ | -$24 | trade | 2026-04-28 15:24 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes | 122,997 | 18.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$100.2K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No | 57,656 | 68.0¢ | 99.3¢ | +$18.0K | trade | 2026-04-13 01:04 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | 166,539 | 68.2¢ | 97.8¢ | +$49.3K | trade | 2026-04-13 01:04 UTC |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the…Yes | 12,609 | 74.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.2K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungari…Yes | 1,696 | 37.0¢ | 27.0¢ | -$169 | trade | 2026-04-08 17:14 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No | 19,123 | 32.6¢ | 21.9¢ | -$2.0K | trade | 2026-04-07 14:55 UTC |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württembe…Yes | 637 | 94.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$38 | resolution | 2026-03-08 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | 559,457 | 80.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$450.4K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | 50,256 | 94.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.5K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | 8,232 | 78.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.8K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?No | 48,182 | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$10.6K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney Gener…Yes | 15,995 | 62.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.0K | resolution | 2025-11-04 00:00 UTC |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general ma…No | 17 | 43.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 | resolution | 2025-11-03 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?Yes | 101,902 | 98.1¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.9K | resolution | 2025-10-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 6 and 10 seco…Yes | 747 | 45.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$336 | resolution | 2025-10-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies…Yes | 12,879 | 77.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.0K | resolution | 2025-10-26 00:00 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | 4,658,616 | 67.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.51M | resolution | 2024-11-05 00:00 UTC |
30 total
Recent trades
Last 50 ingested fills