trader profile

AnonymousUsername

0x9703676286b93c2eca71ca96e8757104519a69c2
Open MV$200.9K79 positions
Open PnL+$108.3K116.8% on basis
Realized PnL+$12839 closed
Hit rate69%Wilson lower 54%
Volume observed$233.4K201 trades · 100 markets
Current rank#41 · 30dlast trade 102d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 809d64,89417.5¢23.3¢+32.9%$15.1K+$3.7K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin…Yesin 809d67,4935.3¢22.3¢+319.4%$15.0K+$11.4K
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d93,7180.8¢14.5¢+1762.5%$13.6K+$12.9K
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d42,95118.8¢29.0¢+54.4%$12.5K+$4.4K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d46,4930.8¢20.6¢+2439.4%$9.6K+$9.2K
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d60,4590.8¢15.4¢+1877.7%$9.3K+$8.9K
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d13,70757.6¢58.5¢+1.5%$8.0K+$119
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 809d83,5540.8¢9.4¢+1109.7%$7.9K+$7.2K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 809d20,01525.1¢37.5¢+49.7%$7.5K+$2.5K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026…Yesin 74d29,03711.9¢19.5¢+63.6%$5.7K+$2.2K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d95,0230.8¢5.9¢+661.6%$5.7K+$4.9K
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d34,8778.3¢14.5¢+75.0%$5.1K+$2.2K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 809d70,4510.8¢7.1¢+814.0%$5.0K+$4.5K
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presi…Yesin 809d50,9483.9¢9.2¢+132.1%$4.7K+$2.7K
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYesin 74d23,16820.2¢18.5¢-8.3%$4.3K-$390
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 809d82,2600.8¢5.0¢+532.2%$4.1K+$3.4K
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Champion…Yesin 72d11,10713.3¢33.5¢+151.9%$3.7K+$2.2K
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 809d83,8360.9¢4.3¢+355.4%$3.6K+$2.8K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYesin 74d6,99140.0¢41.5¢+3.7%$2.9K+$104
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 809d50,6750.8¢5.5¢+564.3%$2.8K+$2.3K
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 809d114,8670.9¢2.4¢+147.8%$2.7K+$1.6K
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yesin 809d41,1390.8¢6.6¢+736.7%$2.7K+$2.4K
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 809d101,7930.8¢2.3¢+188.0%$2.3K+$1.5K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d49,5950.8¢4.5¢+482.4%$2.3K+$1.9K
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d34,8294.9¢6.5¢+30.7%$2.2K+$528
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 809d133,9290.8¢1.7¢+111.2%$2.2K+$1.2K
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d62,3850.8¢2.9¢+257.1%$1.8K+$1.3K
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d36,5943.3¢4.7¢+41.8%$1.7K+$507
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d76,1200.8¢2.3¢+174.5%$1.7K+$1.1K
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 809d117,2110.8¢1.5¢+85.6%$1.7K+$784
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Champ…Yesin 72d3,98014.6¢40.5¢+177.6%$1.6K+$1.0K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026…Yesin 74d2,82234.7¢56.5¢+62.9%$1.6K+$615
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d3,84639.1¢40.5¢+3.6%$1.6K+$54
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin…Yesin 809d58,2160.8¢2.6¢+239.2%$1.5K+$1.1K
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d15,5845.0¢9.8¢+96.9%$1.5K+$755
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 809d116,7340.8¢1.3¢+60.0%$1.5K+$547
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Champion…Yesin 72d7,1859.9¢19.5¢+96.4%$1.4K+$688
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d19,7723.4¢6.8¢+100.2%$1.3K+$668
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 809d45,2530.8¢2.5¢+219.3%$1.1K+$789
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYesin 74d3,12233.5¢36.5¢+8.9%$1.1K+$93
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomina…Yesin 809d71,8500.8¢1.6¢+98.4%$1.1K+$552
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d67,3080.8¢1.7¢+105.0%$1.1K+$569
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nom…Yesin 809d86,3930.8¢1.3¢+60.0%$1.1K+$405
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d63,0240.8¢1.7¢+117.6%$1.1K+$579
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential no…Yesin 809d73,7741.0¢1.4¢+29.2%$996+$225
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 809d59,1910.8¢1.7¢+111.2%$977+$514
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 809d46,1221.0¢1.9¢+95.1%$899+$438
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential…Yesin 809d43,4420.9¢2.1¢+135.5%$891+$512
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championsh…Yesin 72d10,2056.6¢8.1¢+21.9%$822+$148
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nom…Yesin 809d64,5390.8¢1.3¢+60.0%$807+$303
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d50,7260.8¢1.5¢+85.4%$736+$339
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential…Yesin 809d47,1170.8¢1.5¢+85.6%$683+$315
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d59,0040.8¢1.1¢+47.2%$679+$218
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Champio…Yesin 72d4,5156.5¢14.0¢+116.3%$632+$340
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential…Yesin 809d55,0050.8¢1.1¢+34.4%$578+$148
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d23,1143.5¢2.3¢-36.1%$520-$294
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d24,9252.9¢1.9¢-33.1%$486-$240
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d18,9483.0¢2.5¢-15.3%$481-$87
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential no…Yesin 809d39,5370.8¢1.1¢+47.2%$455+$146
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d37,2120.8¢1.1¢+47.2%$428+$137
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d29,5382.8¢1.2¢-57.5%$354-$479
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d11,1183.4¢3.0¢-9.3%$339-$35
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Champio…Yesin 72d9,7005.5¢3.0¢-45.8%$291-$246
Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Cha…Yesin 72d3,3946.5¢8.5¢+31.3%$288+$69
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championsh…Yesin 72d9,2235.9¢3.1¢-47.7%$286-$261
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d15,5920.8¢1.8¢+124.0%$273+$151
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d9,7402.6¢2.8¢+6.4%$273+$16
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d18,6762.6¢1.5¢-45.3%$271-$224
Will Chicago Cubs win the 2026 National League Championship…Yesin 72d3,7666.7¢6.5¢-2.6%$245-$6
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championsh…Yesin 72d10,3226.2¢2.3¢-62.8%$237-$400
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYesin 74d9,21920.0¢2.1¢-89.3%$197-$1.6K
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d18,7240.8¢1.1¢+34.4%$197+$50
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomi…Yesin 809d15,7010.8¢1.1¢+34.4%$165+$42
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomi…Yesin 809d14,0300.8¢1.1¢+34.4%$147+$38
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Champio…Yesin 72d7,0585.4¢1.9¢-64.0%$138-$245
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Champion…Yesin 72d2,5575.7¢2.4¢-59.1%$60-$87
Will New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championshi…Yesin 72d3,1746.4¢1.5¢-76.7%$48-$157
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential n…Yesin 809d2,6710.8¢1.3¢+60.0%$33+$13
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?Yesin 71d9063.2¢1.4¢-58.1%$12-$17

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No50,00099.9¢100.0¢+$50resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes21,01697.8¢100.0¢+$472resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?No35,00098.5¢100.0¢+$540resolution2026-07-01 00:00 UTC
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes2,5534.8¢0.0¢-$123resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No20,00099.9¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?No10,00099.9¢100.0¢+$10resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?No32599.7¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?No10,00099.7¢100.0¢+$30resolution2026-06-21 06:58 UTC
Will the Utah Jazz win the NBA Western Conference Final…No94499.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Confere…Yes982.4¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the NBA Western Conferen…No10,00099.7¢100.0¢+$30resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Confere…No33695.1¢100.0¢+$16resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conf…Yes38446.8¢0.0¢-$180resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conferenc…No10,09099.9¢100.0¢+$10resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Western Conferenc…No4,00899.7¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Confe…No3,29099.8¢100.0¢+$7resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
Will the Indiana Pacers win the NBA Eastern Conference…No1,27099.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-06-13 00:00 UTC
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Confere…No5,66699.8¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-06-13 00:00 UTC
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference…Yes32118.1¢0.0¢-$58resolution2026-06-13 00:00 UTC
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference…No2,30895.1¢100.0¢+$114resolution2026-06-13 00:00 UTC
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Confer…Yes12010.0¢0.0¢-$12resolution2026-06-13 00:00 UTC
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes104.2¢0.0¢-$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes914.8¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes56939.0¢0.0¢-$222resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?No28844.1¢0.0¢-$127resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Netanyahu out by March 31?No1,32294.5¢100.0¢+$73resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Pri…Yes29524.0¢100.0¢+$224resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Sen…No50482.0¢100.0¢+$91resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Pri…No7279.2¢100.0¢+$15resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Sen…Yes3,20731.0¢0.0¢-$994resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate P…No1,31087.8¢100.0¢+$160resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate P…No1,09291.5¢100.0¢+$93resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senat…Yes43681.7¢100.0¢+$80resolution2026-03-03 00:00 UTC
Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton…No76186.8¢100.0¢+$100resolution2026-02-26 00:00 UTC
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes6,9765.2¢16.0¢+$756trade2026-02-25 05:53 UTC
Nets vs. ThunderThunder20,00089.0¢100.0¢+$2.2Kresolution2026-02-21 00:00 UTC
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?Yes44424.1¢0.0¢-$107resolution2026-02-08 00:00 UTC
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?Yes517.8¢100.0¢+$47resolution2026-02-08 00:00 UTC
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Con…Yes3222.6¢15.5¢+$42trade2026-02-04 06:12 UTC
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?Yes2170.9¢0.2¢-$2trade2026-01-31 17:25 UTC
Avalanche vs. CanadiensAvalanche6,24952.0¢0.0¢-$3.2Kresolution2026-01-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Confere…Yes52.1¢6.8¢+$0trade2026-01-27 23:31 UTC
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Confere…Yes212.1¢7.2¢+$1trade2026-01-27 23:30 UTC
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes154.8¢6.9¢+$0trade2026-01-22 16:04 UTC
44 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-10 19:38 UTCSELL4640.1¢Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?YesResolved
2026-04-17 15:10 UTCBUY2,07245.0¢Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-04-13 04:05 UTCSELL5,4711.0¢Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-04-13 03:37 UTCBUY956.0¢Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference F…YesResolved
2026-04-13 03:23 UTCBUY9,84441.0¢Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-04-12 14:46 UTCBUY32599.7¢Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?NoResolved
2026-04-12 14:44 UTCBUY9,00099.9¢Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NoResolved
2026-04-12 14:44 UTCBUY1,00099.9¢Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NoResolved
2026-04-12 14:44 UTCBUY20,00099.9¢Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?NoResolved
2026-03-15 03:52 UTCBUY1,32294.5¢Netanyahu out by March 31?NoResolved
2026-03-12 10:33 UTCBUY28844.1¢Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?NoResolved
2026-03-12 09:23 UTCBUY56939.0¢Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?YesResolved
2026-03-12 06:54 UTCSELL2100.1¢Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by…YesResolved
2026-03-12 06:08 UTCSELL3,3740.3¢Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the Eastern Conference?YesResolved
2026-03-12 06:05 UTCSELL270.1¢Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?YesResolved
2026-03-10 20:54 UTCBUY10,00099.7¢Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?NoResolved
2026-03-10 09:17 UTCBUY11,15597.1¢Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-09 21:17 UTCSELL585.4¢Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?YesResolved
2026-03-09 16:58 UTCSELL2,2190.1¢Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?YesResolved
2026-03-09 16:33 UTCBUY42412.7¢Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-03-09 16:30 UTCBUY9,86198.5¢Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-08 23:41 UTCBUY16090.0¢Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?No
2026-03-08 23:41 UTCBUY35488.5¢Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series?No
2026-03-08 03:09 UTCSELL12,5630.2¢Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?YesResolved
2026-03-06 21:02 UTCSELL250.8¢Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?YesResolved
2026-03-06 21:02 UTCSELL3,0250.8¢Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?YesResolved
2026-03-06 16:18 UTCBUY3,5468.6¢Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-03-06 04:38 UTCBUY4,2058.6¢Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-03-05 05:36 UTCBUY33695.1¢Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Fina…NoResolved
2026-03-04 19:01 UTCBUY50,00099.9¢Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?NoResolved
2026-03-04 06:22 UTCBUY3778.3¢Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-03-03 23:19 UTCBUY3025.0¢Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by…YesResolved
2026-03-03 23:19 UTCBUY21424.2¢Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by…YesResolved
2026-03-03 06:39 UTCBUY1,97621.7¢Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes
2026-03-03 00:06 UTCBUY1,11188.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-03 00:06 UTCBUY8987.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-03 00:06 UTCBUY44493.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-02 23:51 UTCBUY11086.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-02 23:50 UTCBUY22592.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-02 23:45 UTCBUY40082.0¢Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tex…YesResolved
2026-03-02 23:44 UTCBUY50482.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in T…NoResolved
2026-03-02 23:39 UTCBUY681.0¢Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tex…YesResolved
2026-03-02 23:16 UTCBUY3078.0¢Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tex…YesResolved
2026-03-02 20:38 UTCBUY32591.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved
2026-03-02 20:18 UTCBUY5223.0¢Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by…YesResolved
2026-03-02 17:37 UTCSELL260.2¢Will the Chicago Blackhawks win the Western Conference?YesResolved
2026-03-02 17:37 UTCSELL120.2¢Will the Calgary Flames win the Western Conference?YesResolved
2026-03-02 17:34 UTCSELL1160.1¢Will the New York Rangers win the Eastern Conference?YesResolved
2026-03-02 17:32 UTCSELL9041.9¢Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Fi…YesResolved
2026-03-02 03:08 UTCBUY9885.0¢Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary b…NoResolved