trader profile

yungstalin

0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8
Open MV$388.9K27 positions
Open PnL+$1.3K0.3% on basis
Realized PnL-$90.7K56 closed
Hit rate64%Wilson lower 51%
Volume observed$3.11M684 trades · 102 markets
Current rank#41 · 30dlast trade 23m ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Noin 884d220,00050.0¢70.0¢+40.1%$154.1K+$44.1K
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No93,44995.1¢97.2¢+2.2%$90.8K+$2.0K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina…Yesin 884d220,00050.0¢29.9¢-40.1%$65.9K-$44.1K
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yesin 207d29,15645.5¢72.7¢+59.9%$21.2K+$7.9K
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2…Noin 207d14,98761.0¢72.5¢+18.8%$10.9K+$1.7K
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appoin…Yesin 207d29,15314.5¢24.5¢+69.0%$7.1K+$2.9K
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yesin 207d25,80233.8¢25.5¢-24.5%$6.6K-$2.1K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Noin 572d17,03212.5¢22.0¢+76.4%$3.7K+$1.6K
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No6,00072.0¢60.5¢-16.0%$3.6K-$690
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 8d239,5123.3¢1.5¢-54.4%$3.6K-$4.3K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Noin 207d13,09313.4¢26.5¢+98.2%$3.5K+$1.7K
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Noin 572d32,5655.4¢9.6¢+78.3%$3.1K+$1.4K
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Noin 23d3,06736.9¢81.0¢+119.3%$2.5K+$1.4K
Kash Patel out by December 31?Noin 207d4,94323.8¢46.0¢+93.2%$2.3K+$1.1K
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June…Yesin 23d17,44118.4¢10.5¢-42.8%$1.8K-$1.4K
Kash Patel out by June 30?Noin 23d1,98946.0¢91.5¢+98.9%$1.8K+$905
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yesin 23d42,23914.7¢4.0¢-73.1%$1.7K-$4.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 8d14,34435.2¢7.5¢-78.7%$1.1K-$4.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 54d2,09738.0¢34.5¢-9.2%$723-$74
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yesin 207d4,33520.3¢15.5¢-23.8%$672-$210
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026…Yesin 149d1,40047.0¢45.5¢-3.2%$637-$21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Noin 572d15,0583.0¢3.8¢+26.0%$565+$116
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Noin 207d1,01529.0¢43.0¢+48.3%$437+$142
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 8h29,28815.2¢1.1¢-92.4%$337-$4.1K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 23d44843.0¢37.5¢-12.8%$168-$25
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Noin 56d1,4419.7¢3.3¢-66.1%$48-$93
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another coun…Yesin 23d5072.1¢1.3¢-39.8%$6-$4

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes10,80248.0¢30.0¢-$1.9Ktrade2026-05-24 03:30 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes1,00048.0¢38.0¢-$100trade2026-05-24 03:23 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No7956.3¢36.0¢-$16trade2026-05-24 01:44 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes9,72323.2¢69.0¢+$4.5Ktrade2026-05-24 01:42 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes1,52559.0¢98.0¢+$595trade2026-05-24 01:32 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…Yes17,98321.9¢15.0¢-$1.2Ktrade2026-05-24 00:42 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes50823.2¢70.0¢+$238trade2026-05-24 00:41 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes1,36523.2¢70.0¢+$639trade2026-05-24 00:40 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes72,14771.7¢0.0¢-$51.7Kresolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No53,57469.2¢100.0¢+$16.5Kresolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No2,80671.9¢100.0¢+$790resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No2758.3¢30.0¢-$8trade2026-05-23 23:58 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No7,43058.3¢31.0¢-$2.0Ktrade2026-05-23 23:57 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No10,81358.3¢32.0¢-$2.8Ktrade2026-05-23 23:56 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes7,44031.7¢65.0¢+$2.5Ktrade2026-05-23 22:59 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes8,04131.7¢65.0¢+$2.7Ktrade2026-05-23 22:07 UTC
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No59,57290.5¢94.8¢+$2.5Ktrade2026-05-23 21:04 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No3,07130.2¢47.0¢+$517trade2026-05-23 01:23 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No76,9773.0¢0.0¢-$2.3Kresolution2026-05-23 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes31,93720.8¢12.0¢-$2.8Ktrade2026-05-22 23:10 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes5,03123.2¢24.0¢+$41trade2026-05-22 23:10 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes1,79941.0¢42.7¢+$30trade2026-05-22 22:12 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes8,91743.4¢31.8¢-$1.0Ktrade2026-05-22 22:12 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No100,89169.2¢4.0¢-$65.7Ktrade2026-05-22 22:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes2,10143.8¢90.0¢+$971trade2026-05-22 21:44 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No38,76178.6¢100.0¢+$8.3Kresolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes40,70817.8¢0.0¢-$7.3Kresolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes13,57243.8¢28.4¢-$2.1Ktrade2026-05-21 17:24 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…No24,80557.6¢67.7¢+$2.5Ktrade2026-05-20 14:25 UTC
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be above 3%?Yes1756.1¢100.0¢+$164resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Will Target Q1 comparable sales growth be below -1%?No2137.0¢100.0¢+$13resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…Yes10,16323.4¢4.5¢-$1.9Ktrade2026-05-19 19:33 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No2,84865.4¢88.0¢+$644trade2026-05-17 11:39 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No106,44468.2¢100.0¢+$33.8Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes38,67022.7¢0.0¢-$8.8Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No28,34174.7¢100.0¢+$7.2Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes29,74611.5¢0.0¢-$3.4Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes12,11811.5¢0.0¢-$1.4Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes229,6264.2¢0.0¢-$9.7Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes11,15320.8¢0.0¢-$2.3Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?No13,74975.8¢100.0¢+$3.3Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No113,98376.2¢100.0¢+$27.1Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes35,96215.2¢0.0¢-$5.4Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?No7,22077.0¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes218.0¢7.0¢-$0trade2026-05-14 11:47 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No15,94846.4¢67.0¢+$3.3Ktrade2026-05-14 11:43 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?Yes2,59013.4¢0.0¢-$347resolution2026-05-13 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No2,57686.0¢100.0¢+$361resolution2026-05-13 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…Yes28,07115.4¢18.0¢+$723trade2026-05-12 12:54 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes2,85717.8¢15.9¢-$54trade2026-05-11 00:18 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-06 15:22 UTCBUY529.3¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No
2026-06-05 16:29 UTCBUY31,4062.8¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-05 16:21 UTCBUY1,54339.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 16:21 UTCBUY13,54939.3¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 08:58 UTCBUY1,53424.0¢Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed…Yes
2026-06-05 08:58 UTCSELL14,72226.6¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-05 07:01 UTCBUY14,37538.4¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 06:48 UTCBUY5,0455.2¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No
2026-06-04 19:48 UTCBUY1,97012.0¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY14,6693.0¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY16,9224.9¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No
2026-06-04 18:46 UTCBUY15,06212.5¢SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No
2026-06-04 17:21 UTCSELL3,62327.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-04 16:54 UTCBUY32,1963.3¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-04 12:33 UTCBUY24,1863.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-03 21:55 UTCBUY2,6653.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-03 21:52 UTCSELL31798.9¢Chirayu Rana divorced?No
2026-06-03 21:50 UTCSELL17491.0¢Kash Patel out by June 30?No
2026-06-03 21:49 UTCSELL5,29528.0¢Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-03 14:34 UTCBUY60936.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…No
2026-06-03 10:10 UTCBUY7,5043.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 09:41 UTCBUY32,71312.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-02 22:18 UTCBUY6,32377.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 22:18 UTCSELL20,00099.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 22:17 UTCSELL18398.9¢Chirayu Rana divorced?No
2026-06-02 22:13 UTCBUY85,00077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 22:13 UTCSELL59,63599.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 21:38 UTCBUY60,00077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 16:55 UTCSELL31,3313.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-02 11:31 UTCBUY62,53077.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-06-02 07:15 UTCSELL3,41682.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-02 07:04 UTCSELL82583.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No
2026-06-02 07:00 UTCSELL350,0000.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 06:58 UTCBUY12,3123.9¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 16:43 UTCBUY8,3463.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 14:52 UTCBUY22,13540.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:38 UTCBUY20,0443.4¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-06-01 14:27 UTCBUY10,01736.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:32 UTCBUY19,60815.9¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-06-01 13:28 UTCBUY2,62728.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:26 UTCBUY2,06329.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:24 UTCBUY18,27529.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:22 UTCBUY8,61028.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 13:20 UTCBUY2,84427.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:51 UTCSELL2,24878.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:50 UTCSELL2,14578.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 22:33 UTCSELL39,0199.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 10:07 UTCSELL404,0350.2¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?YesResolved
2026-05-29 10:40 UTCSELL2174.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-28 15:51 UTCSELL7,62011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved