trader profile
alwaysfade
0xe5b70fd855af9258d9463992e4f1ed7987905ee3
Open MV$53.2K8 positions
Open PnL+$17.4K48.6% on basis
Realized PnL-$30.6K24 closed
Hit rate42%Wilson lower 24%
Volume observed$363.6K35 trades · 24 markets
Current rank—last trade 6d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yesin 25d | 61,585 | 15.0¢ | 41.9¢ | +179.7% | $25.8K | +$16.6K |
| Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Noin 11d | 20,100 | 95.3¢ | 94.5¢ | -0.9% | $19.0K | -$171 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 208d | 5,001 | 85.0¢ | 85.5¢ | +0.6% | $4.3K | +$25 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yesin 11d | 3,700 | 24.0¢ | 48.0¢ | +100.0% | $1.8K | +$888 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat…Yesin 885d | 100,000 | 1.2¢ | 1.3¢ | +4.2% | $1.3K | +$50 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Noin 24d | 1,100 | 97.3¢ | 98.4¢ | +1.1% | $1.1K | +$12 |
| Will De'Aaron Fox win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yesin 11d | 3,166 | 0.9¢ | 1.1¢ | +16.7% | $33 | +$5 |
| Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yesin 11d | 2 | 1.7¢ | 2.4¢ | +38.1% | $0 | +$0 |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | 1,100 | 43.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$627 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder | 2,827 | 22.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.2K | resolution | 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Spurs | 682 | 32.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$224 | resolution | 2026-05-23 00:00 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. PistonsPistons | 44,869 | 62.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27.8K | resolution | 2026-05-17 00:00 UTC |
| Pistons vs. CavaliersPistons | 1,298 | 42.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$753 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. PistonsCavaliers | 10,000 | 22.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K | resolution | 2026-05-05 00:00 UTC |
| Will Houston Rockets advance to the Conference Semifina…Yes | 446 | 7.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$32 | resolution | 2026-05-03 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers | 33,843 | 52.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17.6K | resolution | 2026-05-01 00:00 UTC |
| Rockets vs. LakersRockets | 61,386 | 38.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$38.1K | resolution | 2026-04-29 00:00 UTC |
| Timberwolves vs. NuggetsTimberwolves | 214,351 | 20.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$42.9K | resolution | 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC |
| 76ers vs. Celtics76ers | 45,512 | 18.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$37.3K | resolution | 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC |
| Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks | 100,000 | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$31.0K | resolution | 2026-04-28 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5)Rockets | 2,837 | 44.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.6K | resolution | 2026-04-27 00:00 UTC |
| Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | 11,409 | 46.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.1K | resolution | 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC |
| Pistons vs. MagicMagic | 98,320 | 44.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$55.1K | resolution | 2026-04-25 00:00 UTC |
| Thunder vs. SunsSuns | 321,866 | 22.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$70.8K | resolution | 2026-04-25 00:00 UTC |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Hawks | 5 | 47.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2 | resolution | 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC |
| Hawks vs. KnicksHawks | 5,440 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$544 | resolution | 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC |
| Grizzlies vs. SunsSuns | 25,563 | 46.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$12.0K | resolution | 2025-10-30 00:00 UTC |
| Kings vs. BullsKings | 1,890 | 36.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$680 | resolution | 2025-10-30 00:00 UTC |
| Pacers vs. MavericksPacers | 7,632 | 32.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.4K | resolution | 2025-10-30 00:00 UTC |
| Cavaliers vs. CelticsCeltics | 8,333 | 39.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$5.1K | resolution | 2025-10-29 00:00 UTC |
| Kings vs. ThunderKings | 20,000 | 21.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K | resolution | 2025-10-29 00:00 UTC |
| 76ers vs. WizardsWizards | 74,924 | 36.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$27.0K | resolution | 2025-10-28 00:00 UTC |
24 total
Recent trades
Last 50 ingested fills