trader profile

ozpreezy

0xdc26d7776929e9c84a3d9651e13260dece6f7e7d
Open MV$11.2K5 positions
Open PnL-$5.6K-33.5% on basis
Realized PnL+$23.8K75 closed
Hit rate61%Wilson lower 50%
Volume observed$484.4K260 trades · 86 markets
Current ranklast trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yesin 209d9,06268.0¢48.5¢-28.7%$4.4K-$1.8K
Fed rate hike in 2026?Noin 186d5,50077.8¢65.0¢-16.5%$3.6K-$705
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Noin 208d10,00060.7¢31.1¢-48.8%$3.1K-$3.0K
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yesin 208d1,66818.0¢6.5¢-63.9%$108-$192
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by Decemb…Yesin 209d130.0¢28.5¢-5.0%$0-$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes18,75677.7¢100.0¢+$4.2Kresolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes29366.0¢100.0¢+$100resolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?Yes1,00096.0¢100.0¢+$40resolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes10,7052.5¢0.0¢-$267resolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No17,60322.9¢0.0¢-$4.0Kresolution2027-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No15,75196.2¢100.0¢+$591resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump…Yes23897.8¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes6,12795.7¢100.0¢+$264resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes774.7¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Ira…Yes49782.3¢100.0¢+$88resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet b…Yes3917.2¢100.0¢+$33resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No7521.0¢0.0¢-$16resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes564.0¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No1,1671.7¢0.0¢-$20resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No537.0¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US strike on Cuba by March 31?Yes1,6595.0¢0.0¢-$83resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by April 15?Yes6,18590.0¢100.0¢+$621resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will Tether be accused of insider trading?No2,40099.5¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?No4699.4¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?No3,97999.0¢100.0¢+$40resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?No996.3¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Binance be accused of insider trading?Yes15,0007.3¢0.0¢-$1.1Kresolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes4,25376.0¢100.0¢+$1.0Kresolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?Yes6,02199.3¢100.0¢+$42resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?No20197.6¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes12,5938.3¢100.0¢+$11.5Kresolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?Yes1,2992.0¢0.0¢-$26resolution2026-06-01 18:08 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes36,69926.4¢100.0¢+$27.0Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes20052.2¢89.0¢+$74trade2026-05-29 14:13 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes58.0¢25.4¢+$1trade2026-05-29 14:12 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes1,77952.2¢89.0¢+$654trade2026-05-29 14:01 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No6,28447.4¢91.0¢+$2.7Ktrade2026-05-25 13:18 UTC
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No1,62796.0¢100.0¢+$65resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes2,68931.2¢78.8¢+$1.3Ktrade2026-05-15 15:11 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes3,55852.2¢92.0¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-05-15 15:01 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes43731.2¢79.1¢+$210trade2026-05-15 14:51 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes1,36752.2¢93.0¢+$557trade2026-05-15 14:21 UTC
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?Yes1,0008.7¢0.0¢-$87resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?Yes9,8651.9¢0.0¢-$183resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes14,10221.3¢29.5¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-05-12 12:32 UTC
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?No2,3151.8¢0.0¢-$42resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 5-11?No30128.0¢100.0¢+$217resolution2026-05-12 00:00 UTC
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes1006.9¢6.8¢-$0trade2026-05-11 17:02 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes14,37021.3¢46.0¢+$3.5Ktrade2026-05-11 12:02 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?Yes8,80631.0¢0.0¢-$2.7Kresolution2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No5,00072.0¢95.0¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-05-08 19:04 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,00016.3¢13.0¢-$67trade2026-05-07 21:56 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,00016.3¢13.9¢-$50trade2026-05-07 21:55 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?Yes40,0654.6¢0.0¢-$1.9Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes1,50017.0¢0.0¢-$255resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 16:26 UTCBUY17455.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:24 UTCBUY96253.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 15:16 UTCBUY22542.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:59 UTCBUY645.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 14:58 UTCBUY654.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:51 UTCBUY1,87760.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 14:50 UTCBUY1,00061.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:22 UTCBUY2,00018.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 11:56 UTCBUY91280.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 11:56 UTCBUY62378.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 15:46 UTCSELL7268.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No
2026-05-29 14:13 UTCSELL20089.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 14:12 UTCSELL525.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 14:01 UTCSELL1,77989.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-26 11:44 UTCBUY535.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-26 11:44 UTCBUY58.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-25 13:18 UTCSELL6,28491.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-15 15:51 UTCBUY88138.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-15 15:41 UTCBUY50066.0¢Fed rate hike in 2026?No
2026-05-15 15:30 UTCBUY98242.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-15 15:11 UTCSELL2,68978.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-15 15:01 UTCSELL3,55892.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-15 14:51 UTCSELL43779.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-15 14:50 UTCBUY28979.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-15 14:21 UTCSELL1,36793.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-15 14:08 UTCBUY4,00032.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-14 18:10 UTCBUY2,00069.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-13 21:27 UTCBUY7,03858.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-12 12:32 UTCSELL14,37029.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:02 UTCSELL1006.8¢Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 17:01 UTCBUY1006.9¢Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes
2026-05-11 12:02 UTCSELL14,37046.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 22:30 UTCBUY3,01370.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 21:30 UTCBUY1,82570.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 20:22 UTCBUY2,3151.8¢Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?NoResolved
2026-05-10 20:15 UTCBUY3,50065.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 20:13 UTCBUY3565.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 19:33 UTCBUY3,52486.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 19:30 UTCBUY2,46637.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 19:07 UTCBUY59263.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-10 19:05 UTCBUY4,63936.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-08 19:26 UTCBUY12,39928.0¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:21 UTCBUY5,26824.8¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:20 UTCBUY1,46724.7¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:17 UTCBUY78818.5¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:15 UTCBUY5,43318.7¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:15 UTCBUY49919.0¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-08 19:04 UTCSELL5,00095.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
2026-05-08 18:58 UTCSELL15,00077.2¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
2026-05-08 18:40 UTCBUY5,33246.8¢Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?YesResolved