trader profile

UnderperformingForALiving

0xdbf16bcffa41bd95faec2640daa2c95ab2bd86b5
Open MV$3.0K1 positions
Open PnL-$98-3.2% on basis
Realized PnL-$70.7K11 closed
Hit rate73%Wilson lower 43%
Volume observed$3.10M200 trades · 83 markets
Current ranklast trade 6d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yesin 44d3,91478.0¢75.5¢-3.2%$3.0K-$98

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?No149,04245.5¢0.0¢-$67.8Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes870.0¢73.0¢+$0trade2026-05-22 13:33 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes142.8¢48.0¢+$0trade2026-05-21 19:17 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes124.0¢25.0¢+$0trade2026-05-21 19:16 UTC
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz b…Yes11,45580.3¢0.0¢-$9.2Kresolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No884.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between M…No1,99798.2¢0.0¢-$2.0Kresolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No1,177,17299.8¢100.0¢+$2.9Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No1,97399.9¢99.9¢+$1trade2026-05-11 18:20 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No284,28199.9¢100.0¢+$354resolution2026-05-11 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No6,46694.0¢99.0¢+$326trade2026-05-10 21:45 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No43,16394.0¢99.2¢+$2.2Ktrade2026-05-10 21:38 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No18694.0¢96.0¢+$4trade2026-05-10 14:10 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No210,97299.5¢100.0¢+$963resolution2026-05-08 00:00 UTC
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under3,08253.9¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-05-01 00:00 UTC
15 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-30 15:15 UTCSELL23,82952.0¢Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-30 14:51 UTCBUY1,41647.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-30 14:48 UTCBUY71,57847.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-30 14:18 UTCSELL362,02854.0¢Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-30 12:27 UTCBUY76,04844.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-29 17:43 UTCSELL205,78357.0¢Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?NoResolved
2026-05-29 17:08 UTCSELL39714.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 16:02 UTCSELL6011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:07 UTCSELL1012.5¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 14:23 UTCSELL2227.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 17:30 UTCBUY323,12799.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?NoResolved
2026-05-27 17:19 UTCSELL61,84415.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 16:39 UTCSELL1717.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 15:30 UTCBUY18,80399.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?NoResolved
2026-05-27 07:47 UTCSELL421.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-27 06:26 UTCSELL6,79822.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 14:31 UTCSELL231.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 03:21 UTCSELL445.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 22:07 UTCSELL2,21053.1¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 22:06 UTCSELL8055.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 21:29 UTCSELL6055.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-22 13:33 UTCSELL873.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-21 20:55 UTCBUY870.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-21 20:40 UTCSELL498.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 21?NoResolved
2026-05-21 20:39 UTCSELL026.0¢Israel closes its airspace by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-21 19:17 UTCSELL148.0¢Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 19:17 UTCSELL372.0¢Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?NoResolved
2026-05-21 19:16 UTCSELL236.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-21 19:16 UTCSELL125.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-21 18:44 UTCSELL581.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes
2026-05-21 18:43 UTCSELL365.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes
2026-05-21 18:43 UTCSELL185.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-21 18:43 UTCSELL146.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-21 18:43 UTCSELL17.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-21 18:43 UTCSELL06.7¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-21 17:58 UTCSELL2584.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-21 17:56 UTCSELL17536.0¢Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?UpResolved
2026-05-21 17:53 UTCBUY1542.0¢Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 17:53 UTCBUY8342.3¢Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 17:29 UTCBUY1,32624.0¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes
2026-05-21 17:23 UTCSELL540.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-21 16:52 UTCSELL6856.5¢Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?UpResolved
2026-05-21 16:44 UTCBUY23443.0¢Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-05-21 16:41 UTCSELL31220.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:23 UTCSELL298.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 21?NoResolved
2026-05-21 15:23 UTCSELL452.0¢Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?NoResolved
2026-05-21 15:23 UTCSELL284.0¢Israel closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-21 15:23 UTCSELL416.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:15 UTCSELL6027.0¢Israel closes its airspace by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-21 15:05 UTCBUY12991.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes