trader profile

Clicker1

0xc8849a93e05a2ae1b49bb07787a9e0059bb4e17e
Open MV$302.8K12 positions
Open PnL+$15.5K5.4% on basis
Realized PnL+$6.7K4 closed
Hit rate50%Wilson lower 15%
Volume observed$1.00M63 trades · 18 markets
Current rank—last trade 11d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d106,64295.7¢97.3¢+1.6%$103.7K+$1.6K
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d100,00090.1¢94.8¢+5.2%$94.7K+$4.6K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Noin 208d64,96784.5¢87.5¢+3.5%$56.8K+$1.9K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…Yes35,08034.1¢45.0¢+31.9%$15.8K+$3.8K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June…Yes17,21355.6¢67.5¢+21.3%$11.6K+$2.0K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d12,54140.6¢47.0¢+15.7%$5.9K+$800
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d10,16150.2¢51.5¢+2.6%$5.2K+$135
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yesin 55d4,30666.7¢69.5¢+4.1%$3.0K+$119
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d5,79243.5¢49.5¢+13.7%$2.9K+$346
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yesin 55d2,14667.0¢67.0¢0.0%$1.4K$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d1,27780.2¢81.5¢+1.6%$1.0K+$16
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…Yes3,61817.0¢18.0¢+5.9%$651+$36

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes32,90516.5¢10.8¢-$1.9Ktrade2026-05-25 17:59 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No17,47068.9¢77.2¢+$1.5Ktrade2026-05-10 17:56 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No108,21268.9¢78.7¢+$10.6Ktrade2026-05-10 17:56 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes54,53410.0¢0.0¢-$5.5Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No500,00099.6¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
5 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-25 17:59 UTCSELL34,92510.8¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 16:29 UTCBUY5,35635.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 13:58 UTCBUY75,70230.4¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 13:49 UTCBUY12,67429.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 02:10 UTCBUY19,25729.7¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-25 02:07 UTCBUY13,11853.8¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes
2026-05-24 21:54 UTCBUY3,47537.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 21:51 UTCBUY1,58262.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 21:51 UTCBUY1,10746.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 21:48 UTCBUY2,29461.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes
2026-05-24 20:59 UTCBUY3,61817.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?Yes
2026-05-24 20:55 UTCBUY1,80062.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes
2026-05-24 20:51 UTCBUY2,14667.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes
2026-05-24 20:50 UTCBUY6,66750.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-24 19:47 UTCBUY15,74439.6¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-24 19:23 UTCBUY41551.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 19:14 UTCBUY6,06237.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 18:14 UTCBUY4,79452.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 18:13 UTCBUY13,30728.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 18:13 UTCBUY26,58312.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 15:34 UTCBUY4,52741.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 15:18 UTCBUY4,89450.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 15:07 UTCBUY3,48950.6¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-24 14:53 UTCBUY8,25635.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:52 UTCBUY1,05952.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 14:24 UTCBUY78951.5¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 14:21 UTCBUY1,28939.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:17 UTCBUY4,04731.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 13:13 UTCBUY24,33445.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 13:08 UTCBUY21052.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:08 UTCBUY80869.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:08 UTCBUY51351.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:07 UTCBUY1,89244.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 13:02 UTCBUY55369.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:02 UTCBUY39651.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:02 UTCBUY6,18244.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:53 UTCBUY835.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:46 UTCBUY25,27946.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:38 UTCBUY2,93446.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:30 UTCBUY1,49748.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:27 UTCBUY1,67649.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 12:22 UTCBUY1,27780.2¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:21 UTCBUY3,19660.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:21 UTCBUY1,36370.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:20 UTCBUY851.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:20 UTCBUY2,08153.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 12:19 UTCBUY6,31435.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 14:57 UTCBUY55,01096.4¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
2026-05-10 17:56 UTCSELL17,47077.2¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
2026-05-10 17:56 UTCSELL108,21278.7¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No