trader profile

0x4E20f8E9fED43dE49cb5EB92c3913d852AB6d6dd-1763117481321

0x4e20f8e9fed43de49cb5eb92c3913d852ab6d6dd
Open MV$136.7K3 positions
Open PnL+$67.8K98.4% on basis
Realized PnL-$18.2K20 closed
Hit rate45%Wilson lower 26%
Volume observed$248.8K93 trades · 24 markets
Current ranklast trade 1d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yesin 23d161,22835.1¢78.1¢+122.9%$126.0K+$69.5K
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yesin 207d15,99860.7¢50.5¢-16.8%$8.1K-$1.6K
Spurs vs. KnicksKnicksin 1d4,83155.0¢54.5¢-0.9%$2.6K-$24

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes062.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Knicks vs. SpursKnicks2,70035.0¢100.0¢+$1.8Kresolution2026-06-06 00:00 UTC
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes79360.9¢50.0¢-$87trade2026-06-02 06:04 UTC
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes69360.9¢56.0¢-$34trade2026-06-01 08:13 UTC
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes1,26860.9¢54.6¢-$80trade2026-05-31 08:46 UTC
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference…Yes2,60079.0¢99.9¢+$543trade2026-05-26 05:10 UTC
Spurs vs. ThunderThunder4,62469.0¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes8,53622.4¢37.8¢+$1.3Ktrade2026-05-20 22:51 UTC
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes3,01322.4¢32.4¢+$300trade2026-05-19 03:33 UTC
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes28,74726.6¢4.6¢-$6.3Ktrade2026-01-30 04:38 UTC
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meet…Yes074.1¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-01-28 00:00 UTC
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presiden…Yes071.8¢0.0¢$0resolution2026-01-25 00:00 UTC
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes25,01862.0¢46.7¢-$3.8Ktrade2026-01-21 01:29 UTC
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes56,15317.0¢10.0¢-$4.0Ktrade2026-01-18 14:11 UTC
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes29,84940.8¢14.0¢-$8.0Ktrade2026-01-17 02:39 UTC
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meet…Yes22,70674.1¢89.0¢+$3.4Ktrade2026-01-05 07:26 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No046.7¢100.0¢$0resolution2026-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No026.0¢0.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes083.6¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presiden…Yes2,78771.8¢61.9¢-$274trade2025-12-16 04:30 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes054.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-12-10 00:00 UTC
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 mee…Yes056.7¢0.0¢$0resolution2025-12-10 00:00 UTC
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras pre…Yes84269.0¢89.9¢+$176trade2025-12-05 10:49 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No7,98446.7¢67.6¢+$1.7Ktrade2025-12-05 10:04 UTC
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?Yes21565.0¢64.0¢-$2trade2025-12-04 09:43 UTC
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes1,19683.6¢96.0¢+$149trade2025-12-02 12:17 UTC
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras pre…Yes069.0¢100.0¢$0resolution2025-11-30 00:00 UTC
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November…Yes3,80055.5¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2025-11-28 00:00 UTC
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November…No070.7¢0.0¢$0resolution2025-11-28 00:00 UTC
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 mee…Yes9,98456.7¢32.0¢-$2.5Ktrade2025-11-22 09:50 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No1,97765.5¢27.2¢-$759trade2025-11-22 09:49 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?No7,31865.5¢18.3¢-$3.5Ktrade2025-11-21 09:42 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes1,85254.0¢29.0¢-$463trade2025-11-20 02:37 UTC
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No3,84826.0¢16.5¢-$367trade2025-11-20 02:27 UTC
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November…No1,41470.7¢45.7¢-$353trade2025-11-19 12:36 UTC
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2…Yes9,95946.0¢44.8¢-$119trade2025-11-17 14:02 UTC
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 mee…Yes8,98351.8¢51.0¢-$70trade2025-11-17 07:52 UTC
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main…Shevchenko35756.0¢100.0¢+$157resolution2025-11-16 00:00 UTC
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential ele…Yes11571.0¢100.0¢+$33resolution2025-11-16 00:00 UTC
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, M…Della Maddalena37027.0¢0.0¢-$100resolution2025-11-16 00:00 UTC
40 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-06 05:04 UTCBUY4,83155.0¢Spurs vs. KnicksKnicks
2026-06-04 04:44 UTCBUY2,70035.0¢Knicks vs. SpursKnicksResolved
2026-06-04 00:29 UTCBUY10035.8¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 16:25 UTCBUY21,30536.8¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 16:23 UTCBUY10,04236.2¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 15:34 UTCBUY60,00035.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 15:13 UTCBUY7,80035.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 14:25 UTCBUY52635.3¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 04:23 UTCBUY2,96835.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 04:21 UTCBUY3,60035.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-03 04:18 UTCBUY3,00059.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 02:05 UTCBUY58035.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-02 10:09 UTCBUY10550.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 08:27 UTCBUY1,80035.8¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-02 06:04 UTCSELL79350.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-06-02 00:27 UTCBUY1,84035.8¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-06-01 08:13 UTCSELL69356.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 08:46 UTCSELL1,26854.6¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 03:10 UTCBUY2,10036.4¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-31 02:37 UTCBUY3,00037.9¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-31 02:30 UTCBUY2,70039.0¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-31 02:28 UTCBUY16337.8¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-31 02:21 UTCBUY9135.7¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-31 02:20 UTCBUY7534.5¢Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-30 04:40 UTCBUY74659.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 04:14 UTCBUY9,40158.0¢Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference F…Yes
2026-05-28 04:23 UTCBUY7,42923.5¢Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Final…Yes
2026-05-26 05:11 UTCBUY1,35355.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-26 05:10 UTCSELL2,60099.9¢Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes
2026-05-22 06:26 UTCBUY1,47930.2¢Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-21 09:21 UTCBUY2,60079.0¢Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes
2026-05-21 09:18 UTCBUY1,90057.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-20 22:55 UTCBUY4,62469.0¢Spurs vs. ThunderThunderResolved
2026-05-20 22:51 UTCSELL8,53637.8¢Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-20 03:08 UTCBUY1,50065.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-19 03:33 UTCSELL3,01332.4¢Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-17 07:51 UTCBUY55161.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-17 07:45 UTCBUY90061.0¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-05-14 05:38 UTCBUY20,08522.4¢Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes
2026-05-14 05:02 UTCBUY1,30269.1¢Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes
2026-01-30 04:38 UTCSELL43,5724.6¢Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-21 10:30 UTCBUY2,69426.1¢Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-21 05:35 UTCBUY2,09428.5¢Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-21 05:33 UTCBUY12,40726.9¢Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-21 01:57 UTCBUY11,55226.0¢Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-21 01:29 UTCSELL25,01846.7¢Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-19 07:13 UTCBUY25,01862.0¢Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-18 14:11 UTCSELL56,15310.0¢Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-17 05:16 UTCBUY56,15317.0¢Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?YesResolved
2026-01-17 02:39 UTCSELL67,16314.0¢Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?YesResolved