Follow the smart money on Polymarket.

Where the leaders are actually betting.

We ingest Polymarket's top-50 wallets by PnL, snapshot what they currently hold, and aggregate consensus per market. The table below ranks unresolved markets by how much of the leader pool is on each side, weighted by how statistically real each leader's edge is.

§A · smart-money consensus

Signals

Top consensusNewest entriesBiggest deltasAny horizonEnds ≤24hEnds ≤7d

Markets where the top 50 wallets (30-day leaderboard) currently hold a net-long position. Higher consensus score = more leaders agree, weighted by their Wilson-lower hit rate. Not financial advice — see methodology.

Strategy gate is open. MirrorTopN at 51.1% hit rate (Wilson lower 50.7%) over 58,758 mirror trades — 0 signals are BUY-flagged. See backtest →
Market · OutcomeSignalConsensusLeadersAvg entryCurrentΔ vs entryNotional
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Max WiskandtDiego Dedura-Palomeroin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH29
55%
3 / 377.7¢98.3¢+26.5%$8.9K
Makarska: Tena Lukas vs Darja SemenistajaDarja Semenistajain 4d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH28
53%
3 / 376.7¢44.9¢-41.5%$27.4K
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesSan Francisco Giantsin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH28
53%
5 / 565.1¢42.5¢-34.7%$13.2K
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno BustaRafael Jodarin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH28
53%
4 / 467.1¢89.5¢+33.4%$158.7K
Birmingham: Nao Hibino vs Janice TjenJanice Tjenin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH28
55%
3 / 383.2¢90.5¢+8.7%$5.0K
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo RomanoClement Chidekhin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH28
55%
3 / 359.8¢26.5¢-55.7%$2.2K
Makarska: Miriam Bulgaru vs Noma Noha AkugueMiriam Bulgaruin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH28
55%
3 / 319.5¢5.0¢-74.3%$842
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming DangYiming Dangin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH28
55%
3 / 347.0¢36.5¢-22.4%$3.8K
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie SwanKatie Swanin 2d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH27
53%
3 / 355.7¢98.6¢+77.0%$21.1K
Makarska: Robin Montgomery vs Lea BoskovicRobin Montgomeryin 4d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH27
53%
3 / 336.7¢8.0¢-78.2%$3.5K
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert GombosNorbert Gombosin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH27
53%
4 / 455.9¢33.0¢-41.0%$11.8K
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Noin 5d
latest entry 4d ago
WATCH27
52%
3 / 332.3¢31.5¢-2.5%$5.2K
Heilbronn: Guy Den Ouden vs Emilio NavaGuy Den Oudenin 6d
latest entry 7h 1m ago
WATCH27
53%
3 / 352.6¢5.5¢-89.5%$1.9K
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael CollignonMatteo Arnaldiin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH27
53%
4 / 452.4¢55.5¢+6.0%$55.7K
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Soxin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH27
52%
6 / 668.6¢97.5¢+42.0%$48.2K
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek BartonRoberto Bautista Agutin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH27
53%
4 / 427.8¢42.5¢+52.7%$32.1K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yesin 1d
latest entry 11m ago
WATCH27
59%
4 / 458.0¢61.5¢+6.0%$32.3K
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Shintaro MochizukiSho Shimabukuroin 2d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH26
53%
3 / 354.8¢88.5¢+61.4%$21.7K
Perugia: Luca Nardi vs Remy BertolaLuca Nardiin 5d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH26
53%
4 / 441.5¢11.5¢-72.3%$7.2K
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov KjaerMackenzie McDonaldin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH26
53%
4 / 458.1¢90.5¢+55.9%$24.0K
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta ShimizuYuta Shimizuin 6d
latest entry 11m ago
WATCH26
53%
3 / 354.1¢43.0¢-20.5%$21.3K
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd HarrisYunchaokete Buin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH26
55%
3 / 344.6¢99.0¢+122.0%$6.4K
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta ShimizuAndre Ilaganin 6d
latest entry 11m ago
WATCH26
53%
3 / 339.5¢57.0¢+44.3%$33.7K
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican…Yesin 3d
latest entry 11h 51m ago
WATCH26
51%
3 / 366.7¢65.5¢-1.9%$3.7K
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?Noin 6d
latest entry 4d ago
WATCH26
52%
3 / 363.2¢64.5¢+2.0%$3.5K
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil MajchrzakJames McCabein 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH26
53%
3 / 313.1¢2.5¢-80.9%$428
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Vit KoprivaVitaliy Sachkoin 5d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH25
53%
3 / 342.3¢53.5¢+26.5%$34.9K
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astrosin 4d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH25
45%
4 / 542.2¢1.1¢-97.5%$414
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie SwanAjla Tomljanovicin 2d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH25
53%
3 / 324.1¢1.5¢-94.0%$428
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesToronto Blue Jaysin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH24
45%
5 / 541.9¢8.5¢-79.7%$9.0K
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson JonesMika Stojsavljevicin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH24
52%
3 / 343.9¢88.5¢+101.8%$12.8K
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Piratesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH24
47%
7 / 868.2¢92.0¢+34.9%$83.8K
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?Noin 6d
latest entry 4d ago
WATCH24
52%
3 / 368.6¢69.5¢+1.3%$1.6K
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Oriolesin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH23
45%
5 / 675.1¢98.6¢+31.2%$14.4K
Birmingham: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Emerson JonesEmerson Jonesin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH23
51%
3 / 366.7¢84.5¢+26.8%$2.7K
Birmingham: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Aleksandar VukicJack Pinnington Jonesin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH23
41%
3 / 437.8¢6.0¢-84.1%$1.5K
Miami Marlins vs. Washington NationalsMiami Marlinsin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH23
45%
6 / 650.0¢91.5¢+83.1%$116.4K
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu SunMary Stoianain 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH23
41%
4 / 457.0¢86.0¢+50.9%$13.2K
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Angelsin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
52%
3 / 340.4¢40.5¢+0.3%$2.0K
Prostejov: Viktor Durasovic vs Norbert GombosViktor Durasovicin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH22
41%
3 / 457.3¢67.0¢+16.9%$9.6K
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockiesin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH22
41%
6 / 854.6¢96.5¢+76.7%$22.4K
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Oriolesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH22
46%
7 / 845.3¢39.6¢-12.6%$189.1K
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockiesin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
44%
4 / 520.0¢57.5¢+187.9%$16.3K
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver TarvetColeman Wongin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH22
42%
4 / 565.5¢86.0¢+31.3%$28.8K
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxDetroit Tigersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
45%
5 / 632.6¢2.5¢-92.3%$1.9K
New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersNew York Metsin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH22
43%
6 / 655.0¢22.5¢-59.1%$44.4K
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver TarvetOliver Tarvetin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH22
42%
4 / 527.6¢14.0¢-49.3%$10.3K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLos Angeles Dodgersin 4d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH22
45%
7 / 775.3¢92.5¢+22.9%$121.9K
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesToronto Blue Jaysin 4d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH22
43%
4 / 529.4¢7.5¢-74.5%$2.5K
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinalsin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH21
38%
4 / 638.6¢4.5¢-88.3%$1.0K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewersin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH21
42%
4 / 540.0¢1.3¢-96.8%$344
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna KalinskayaAnna Kalinskayain 2d
latest entry 4d ago
WATCH21
42%
4 / 536.8¢39.0¢+6.0%$109.3K
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria KasatkinaDaria Kasatkinain 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH21
52%
5 / 53.8¢3.5¢-10.1%$1.7K
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsNew York Yankeesin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH21
47%
8 / 843.4¢12.6¢-71.1%$15.7K
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesSan Diego Padresin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH21
44%
5 / 630.1¢15.5¢-48.6%$31.5K
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankeesin 4d
latest entry 1d ago
WATCH20
43%
4 / 534.6¢7.5¢-78.3%$11.4K
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Philliesin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH20
44%
6 / 661.2¢84.5¢+38.0%$62.2K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the S…Yesin 1d
latest entry 3d ago
WATCH20
39%
3 / 480.1¢10.5¢-86.9%$1.8K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astrosin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH20
40%
7 / 950.6¢44.5¢-12.1%$43.5K
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota TwinsChicago White Soxin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
WATCH20
40%
7 / 841.0¢6.5¢-84.2%$5.2K
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsTexas Rangersin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
20
46%
6 / 646.0¢95.5¢+107.8%$59.6K
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Raysin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
20
39%
6 / 831.9¢1.5¢-95.3%$311
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsMiami Marlinsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
20
41%
8 / 1044.9¢3.9¢-91.3%$18.3K
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationalsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
38%
5 / 742.5¢97.8¢+129.8%$48.1K
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astrosin 5d
latest entry 1d ago
19
40%
4 / 419.4¢98.2¢+406.4%$47.1K
New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersNew York Metsin 4d
latest entry 2d ago
19
38%
5 / 721.0¢2.3¢-89.3%$1.1K
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner TienFlavio Cobolliin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
35%
4 / 693.0¢97.7¢+5.0%$51.9K
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevJakub Mensikin 6d
latest entry 6h 21m ago
19
41%
5 / 616.5¢2.5¢-84.6%$11.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d
latest entry 11m ago
19
42%
5 / 69.7¢1.7¢-83.1%$9.0K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersPhiladelphia Philliesin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
19
39%
6 / 839.8¢79.5¢+99.8%$154.0K
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersArizona Diamondbacksin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
40%
7 / 942.0¢22.5¢-46.4%$212.8K
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinalsin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
19
42%
5 / 531.8¢13.5¢-57.6%$6.9K
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Soxin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
19
36%
4 / 633.0¢5.5¢-83.4%$1.4K
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBoston Red Soxin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
40%
6 / 854.3¢97.5¢+79.6%$476.6K
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinalsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
39%
6 / 838.2¢2.5¢-93.5%$2.3K
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York YankeesCleveland Guardiansin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
19
42%
8 / 839.8¢94.5¢+137.3%$468.0K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgersin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
19
40%
7 / 857.0¢20.5¢-64.0%$60.1K
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Bravesin 5d
latest entry 20h 1m ago
19
40%
6 / 759.2¢17.5¢-70.4%$46.5K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersPhiladelphia Philliesin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
40%
7 / 943.6¢5.3¢-87.7%$7.6K
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverevin 6d
latest entry 6h 21m ago
18
35%
4 / 679.4¢97.5¢+22.8%$2.64M
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Redsin 4d
latest entry 1d ago
18
40%
3 / 453.9¢2.5¢-95.3%$2.3K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
36%
6 / 945.4¢78.5¢+72.9%$99.1K
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yesin 1d
latest entry 11m ago
18
44%
3 / 329.6¢77.1¢+161.0%$8.7K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewersin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
18
39%
7 / 865.2¢96.5¢+48.0%$152.0K
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro TabiloMoise Kouamein 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
37%
5 / 723.5¢21.0¢-10.6%$25.6K
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsSan Diego Padresin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
52%
3 / 353.7¢53.5¢-0.3%$1.0K
New York Mets vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Marinersin 4d
latest entry 2d ago
18
43%
7 / 766.1¢97.8¢+47.9%$101.0K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacksin 4d
latest entry 2d ago
18
38%
6 / 725.4¢7.5¢-70.5%$7.5K
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia DudeneyTaylah Prestonin 2d
latest entry 1d ago
18
38%
3 / 377.5¢82.5¢+6.5%$3.5K
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Bravesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
18
35%
6 / 955.4¢96.0¢+73.3%$277.5K
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Redsin 3d
latest entry 2d ago
17
40%
4 / 442.3¢73.5¢+73.8%$26.7K
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Piratesin 1d
latest entry 5d ago
17
36%
5 / 666.8¢97.7¢+46.2%$37.0K
Birmingham: Mark Lajal vs Leandro RiediLeandro Riediin 2d
latest entry 3d ago
17
35%
4 / 620.8¢27.5¢+32.5%$6.8K
Birmingham: Rebeka Masarova vs Tereza MartincovaRebeka Masarovain 3d
latest entry 3d ago
17
42%
5 / 571.4¢99.0¢+38.6%$39.0K
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles AngelsColorado Rockiesin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
17
41%
6 / 635.5¢81.5¢+129.3%$274.6K
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacksin 3d
latest entry 3d ago
17
43%
6 / 642.7¢82.5¢+93.0%$243.9K
Athletics vs. Chicago CubsChicago Cubsin 6d
latest entry 19h 11m ago
17
36%
8 / 849.2¢17.2¢-65.0%$39.4K
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinalsin 1d
latest entry 4d ago
17
36%
3 / 380.3¢95.5¢+19.0%$75.0K
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaIva Jovicin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
17
42%
7 / 741.6¢18.5¢-55.5%$55.0K
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary SvajdaZachary Svajdain 1d
latest entry 4d ago
17
41%
3 / 413.6¢3.6¢-73.1%$352
100 signals tracked · 0 green · 60 yellow · 10-min recomputeWilson-weighted · 30-day leader pool