Follow the smart money on Polymarket.

Where the leaders are actually betting.

We ingest Polymarket's top-50 wallets by PnL, snapshot what they currently hold, and aggregate consensus per market. The table below ranks unresolved markets by how much of the leader pool is on each side, weighted by how statistically real each leader's edge is.

§A · smart-money consensus

Signals

Top consensusNewest entriesBiggest deltasAny horizonEnds ≤24hEnds ≤7d

Markets where the top 50 wallets (30-day leaderboard) currently hold a net-long position. Higher consensus score = more leaders agree, weighted by their Wilson-lower hit rate. Not financial advice — see methodology.

Strategy gate is open. MirrorTopN at 51.1% hit rate (Wilson lower 50.7%) over 58,758 mirror trades — 0 signals are BUY-flagged. See backtest →
Market · OutcomeSignalConsensusLeadersAvg entryCurrentΔ vs entryNotional
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesSan Francisco Giantsin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH28
53%
5 / 565.1¢42.5¢-34.7%$13.2K
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael CollignonMatteo Arnaldiin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH27
53%
4 / 452.4¢55.5¢+6.0%$55.7K
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Soxin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH27
52%
6 / 668.6¢97.5¢+42.0%$48.2K
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Piratesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH24
47%
7 / 868.2¢92.0¢+34.9%$83.8K
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysLos Angeles Angelsin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
52%
3 / 340.4¢40.5¢+0.3%$2.0K
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesBaltimore Oriolesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH22
46%
7 / 845.3¢39.6¢-12.6%$189.1K
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockiesin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
44%
4 / 520.0¢57.5¢+187.9%$16.3K
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White SoxDetroit Tigersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH22
45%
5 / 632.6¢2.5¢-92.3%$1.9K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewersin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
WATCH21
42%
4 / 540.0¢1.3¢-96.8%$344
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria KasatkinaDaria Kasatkinain 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH21
52%
5 / 53.8¢3.5¢-10.1%$1.7K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astrosin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
WATCH20
40%
7 / 950.6¢44.5¢-12.1%$43.5K
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Raysin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
20
39%
6 / 831.9¢1.5¢-95.3%$311
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsMiami Marlinsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
20
41%
8 / 1044.9¢3.9¢-91.3%$18.3K
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsWashington Nationalsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
38%
5 / 742.5¢97.8¢+129.8%$48.1K
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner TienFlavio Cobolliin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
35%
4 / 693.0¢97.7¢+5.0%$51.9K
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersArizona Diamondbacksin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
40%
7 / 942.0¢22.5¢-46.4%$212.8K
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBoston Red Soxin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
40%
6 / 854.3¢97.5¢+79.6%$476.6K
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinalsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
19
39%
6 / 838.2¢2.5¢-93.5%$2.3K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersPhiladelphia Philliesin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
19
40%
7 / 943.6¢5.3¢-87.7%$7.6K
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston AstrosMilwaukee Brewersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
36%
6 / 945.4¢78.5¢+72.9%$99.1K
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro TabiloMoise Kouamein 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
37%
5 / 723.5¢21.0¢-10.6%$25.6K
San Diego Padres vs. Washington NationalsSan Diego Padresin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
18
52%
3 / 353.7¢53.5¢-0.3%$1.0K
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Bravesin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
18
35%
6 / 955.4¢96.0¢+73.3%$277.5K
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaIva Jovicin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
17
42%
7 / 741.6¢18.5¢-55.5%$55.0K
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi OsakaNaomi Osakain 2h
latest entry 6d ago
16
30%
4 / 762.7¢81.5¢+30.0%$108.2K
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco ComesanaMatteo Berrettiniin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
15
30%
4 / 759.9¢50.5¢-15.7%$161.4K
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceJuan Manuel Cerundoloin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
15
30%
4 / 759.9¢44.5¢-25.8%$61.8K
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Marinersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
14
29%
6 / 965.6¢77.5¢+18.2%$191.8K
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsNew York Yankeesin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
14
32%
7 / 962.7¢98.6¢+57.2%$152.6K
Knicks vs. SpursSpursin 2h
latest entry 12m ago
11
29%
5 / 766.5¢67.5¢+1.5%$879.8K
New York Yankees vs. AthleticsAthleticsin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
10
35%
7 / 937.5¢1.5¢-96.1%$2.9K
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spursin 2h
latest entry 12m ago
7
26%
4 / 449.5¢50.5¢+1.9%$196.5K
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgersin 2h
latest entry 6d ago
3
36%
7 / 953.9¢94.7¢+75.6%$138.6K
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNew York Metsin 2h
latest entry 5d ago
1
32%
7 / 1053.6¢96.1¢+79.4%$266.5K
Knicks vs. SpursKnicksin 2h
latest entry 18h 52m ago
1
6%
3 / 633.6¢33.5¢-0.3%$173.7K
35 signals tracked · 0 green · 11 yellow · 10-min recomputeWilson-weighted · 30-day leader pool