trader profile

bitdady

0xfd8f5bba5b09d286b6d1db35cda8249bdd356f11
Open MV$29.4K8 positions
Open PnL+$8.8K42.9% on basis
Realized PnL-$3.2K28 closed
Hit rate57%Wilson lower 39%
Volume observed$38.3K200 trades · 54 markets
Current rank—last trade 1d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian preside…Yesin 1d48,56724.6¢42.0¢+70.8%$20.4K+$8.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Noin 1d8,25094.0¢97.5¢+3.7%$8.0K+$289
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yesin 208d1,00856.0¢55.0¢-1.7%$555-$10
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No20097.4¢97.5¢+0.2%$195+$0
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yesin 208d1,4102.2¢10.8¢+382.0%$152+$121
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d6067.2¢72.5¢+7.9%$44+$3
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yesin 24d10059.4¢20.4¢-65.6%$20-$39
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russ…Yesin 116d1095.0¢95.5¢+0.5%$10+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of…Yes5055.6¢40.0¢-$8trade2026-06-04 02:14 UTC
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second r…Yes1759.9¢38.0¢-$4trade2026-06-04 02:13 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes11065.4¢54.0¢-$12trade2026-06-04 02:11 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian p…Yes35080.7¢81.0¢+$1trade2026-06-03 20:38 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…No10179.0¢81.0¢+$2trade2026-06-03 20:27 UTC
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province…Yes2487.4¢50.1¢-$9trade2026-06-03 14:51 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No1063.0¢92.0¢+$3trade2026-06-03 14:40 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No5092.0¢98.2¢+$3trade2026-06-03 05:55 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No1089.4¢94.1¢+$0trade2026-06-03 05:54 UTC
Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of th…No2092.8¢99.6¢+$1trade2026-06-03 05:50 UTC
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes4,42774.0¢0.0¢-$3.3Kresolution2026-06-03 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes1,0013.2¢0.5¢-$27trade2026-06-02 05:52 UTC
Will a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elect…No597.4¢97.1¢-$0trade2026-06-02 05:34 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…Yes1,01876.0¢0.2¢-$771trade2026-06-01 14:01 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No26691.4¢99.8¢+$22trade2026-06-01 05:34 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No5094.0¢99.6¢+$3trade2026-05-31 04:06 UTC
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No1094.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No7,53192.6¢100.0¢+$561resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No1,00067.6¢100.0¢+$324resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May…No5090.0¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian pre…Yes89821.2¢20.7¢-$4trade2026-05-30 23:27 UTC
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidentia…No31496.4¢97.2¢+$3trade2026-05-30 12:44 UTC
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidentia…No796.4¢98.0¢+$0trade2026-05-30 04:10 UTC
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes9547.2¢54.2¢+$7trade2026-05-29 17:42 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No75029.0¢22.0¢-$53trade2026-05-29 17:41 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No10886.6¢78.6¢-$9trade2026-05-29 16:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes5669.0¢86.0¢+$10trade2026-05-29 16:56 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No15096.1¢100.0¢+$6resolution2026-05-29 00:00 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No14790.5¢87.2¢-$5trade2026-05-28 16:48 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No9897.8¢91.9¢-$6trade2026-05-28 16:46 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No10097.0¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-28 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No9195.0¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
32 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-04 15:02 UTCSELL3,96523.8¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 14:21 UTCSELL1,78724.0¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 13:23 UTCSELL80025.2¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 13:20 UTCSELL1092.8¢Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No
2026-06-04 12:28 UTCSELL5,00025.5¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 05:40 UTCSELL3,50027.5¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 02:15 UTCSELL80027.6¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-04 02:14 UTCSELL5040.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-04 02:13 UTCSELL1738.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-04 02:12 UTCSELL2084.1¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No
2026-06-04 02:11 UTCSELL11054.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-06-04 02:11 UTCSELL8068.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-06-03 20:48 UTCSELL4627.0¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-03 20:43 UTCBUY50041.0¢Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYesResolved
2026-06-03 20:41 UTCSELL80027.1¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-03 20:38 UTCSELL70081.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-06-03 20:28 UTCSELL3480.0¢Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele…No
2026-06-03 20:27 UTCSELL26781.0¢Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele…No
2026-06-03 20:24 UTCBUY40045.7¢Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYesResolved
2026-06-03 20:10 UTCSELL2844.7¢Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernat…YesResolved
2026-06-03 16:08 UTCBUY2517.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 16:07 UTCSELL2276.0¢Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernat…YesResolved
2026-06-03 15:53 UTCBUY10016.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 15:51 UTCBUY10065.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 15:23 UTCBUY70064.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 15:06 UTCBUY10091.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No
2026-06-03 14:55 UTCSELL1,00050.0¢Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernat…YesResolved
2026-06-03 14:51 UTCSELL50050.1¢Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernat…YesResolved
2026-06-03 14:40 UTCSELL9092.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…No
2026-06-03 14:37 UTCSELL39126.7¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-03 14:24 UTCBUY1,00014.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 14:13 UTCBUY2,00014.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 14:12 UTCBUY2487.4¢Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernat…YesResolved
2026-06-03 13:35 UTCBUY10061.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 10:26 UTCBUY50057.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 10:17 UTCBUY50057.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 10:14 UTCBUY1258.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 10:06 UTCBUY1,00012.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 10:04 UTCBUY656.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 07:59 UTCBUY10051.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 07:57 UTCBUY50012.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 07:53 UTCBUY8950.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-03 05:57 UTCSELL20084.4¢Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No
2026-06-03 05:55 UTCSELL1,50098.2¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?NoResolved
2026-06-03 05:54 UTCSELL30094.1¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No
2026-06-03 05:50 UTCSELL7099.6¢Will Nithya Raman finish first in the first round of the 2026 L…No
2026-06-03 05:46 UTCSELL1080.0¢Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?YesResolved
2026-06-03 05:42 UTCSELL89525.1¢Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidentia…Yes
2026-06-02 23:57 UTCSELL2798.6¢Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark af…YesResolved
2026-06-02 23:53 UTCBUY9078.0¢Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los…Yes