trader profile
AML
0xfd22b8843ae03a33a8a4c5e39ef1e5ff33ebad91
Open MV$778.0K1 positions
Open PnL+$197.1K33.9% on basis
Realized PnL-$284.1K27 closed
Hit rate41%Wilson lower 25%
Volume observed$1.81M85 trades · 29 markets
Current rank—last trade 30d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d | 800,000 | 72.6¢ | 97.3¢ | +33.9% | $778.0K | +$197.1K |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No | 17,415 | 57.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$7.4K | resolution | 2026-05-28 13:08 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | 8,164 | 51.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$4.2K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 0 Paris Saint-Germai…Yes | 3,699 | 2.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$74 | resolution | 2026-05-06 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | 16,089 | 62.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.0K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?No | 332 | 33.0¢ | 0.2¢ | -$109 | trade | 2026-04-26 22:58 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | 94 | 60.9¢ | 77.0¢ | +$15 | trade | 2026-04-26 22:54 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | 37,863 | 70.0¢ | 92.0¢ | +$8.3K | trade | 2026-04-25 06:59 UTC |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Ma…Josh Hokit | 7,016 | 47.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.7K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyw…Johnny Walker | 19,668 | 44.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweigh…Vicente Luque | 5,524 | 30.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.9K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight…Patricio Pitbull | 1,403 | 31.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$435 | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | 514,141 | 34.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$178.6K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | 554,771 | 82.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$94.6K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | 1 | 82.9¢ | 99.8¢ | +$0 | trade | 2026-03-30 13:29 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | 52,860 | 82.9¢ | 99.5¢ | +$8.8K | trade | 2026-03-29 05:04 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | 10,000 | 82.9¢ | 99.3¢ | +$1.6K | trade | 2026-03-28 07:43 UTC |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Acade…Yes | 29,579 | 35.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.4K | resolution | 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 9…Yes | 49,992 | 78.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$10.9K | resolution | 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Ac…Yes | 12,956 | 77.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.9K | resolution | 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | 160,897 | 44.7¢ | 0.1¢ | -$71.8K | trade | 2026-03-01 20:30 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | 0 | 44.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC |
| Utah vs. DucksUtah | 37 | 54.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20 | resolution | 2025-11-17 00:00 UTC |
| UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. ChimaevDu Plessis | 391,189 | 32.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$128.0K | resolution | 2025-08-17 00:00 UTC |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Dubois | 84,879 | 23.6¢ | 0.0¢ | -$20.0K | resolution | 2025-07-20 00:00 UTC |
| Pacers vs. ThunderPacers | 32,333 | 30.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$9.7K | resolution | 2025-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June?No | 21,277 | 4.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K | resolution | 2025-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| US military action against Iran before July?No | 72,356 | 35.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25.7K | resolution | 2025-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Thunder vs. PacersPacers | 15,152 | 33.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$10.2K | resolution | 2025-06-27 00:00 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. BahamondesFiziev | 47,018 | 44.3¢ | 100.0¢ | +$26.2K | resolution | 2025-06-22 00:00 UTC |
| UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.Rountree Jr. | 16,297 | 48.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$8.4K | resolution | 2025-06-22 00:00 UTC |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?No | 5,267 | 37.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.0K | resolution | 2025-06-13 00:00 UTC |
31 total
Recent trades
Last 50 ingested fills