trader profile

onekey02

0xfaf98181c44636998a194aa7660bcae1b977f4c4
Open MV$1.56M17 positions
Open PnL+$22.8K1.5% on basis
Realized PnL+$9767 closed
Hit rate94%Wilson lower 86%
Volume observed$2.58M200 trades · 87 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d652,46090.3¢91.5¢+1.3%$597.0K+$7.7K
Xi Jinping out before 2027?Noin 208d271,24291.9¢93.0¢+1.2%$252.4K+$3.1K
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?Noin 24d126,89597.5¢98.7¢+1.2%$125.2K+$1.5K
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Noin 208d112,67593.2¢93.5¢+0.3%$105.3K+$329
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Noin 24d100,14895.6¢96.3¢+0.7%$96.4K+$661
Trump out as President by June 30?Noin 24d89,62797.4¢98.9¢+1.5%$88.6K+$1.3K
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Noin 24d80,00095.2¢98.5¢+3.4%$78.8K+$2.6K
Trump out as President before 2027?Noin 208d81,64986.4¢89.5¢+3.6%$73.1K+$2.5K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Noin 208d42,08177.6¢79.0¢+1.8%$33.2K+$600
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Noin 24d31,53895.6¢97.0¢+1.5%$30.6K+$442
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Noin 24d30,00097.3¢98.6¢+1.3%$29.6K+$375
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Noin 116d30,00087.0¢91.5¢+5.2%$27.4K+$1.3K
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?Noin 24d20,00097.5¢98.8¢+1.3%$19.7K+$250
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market ca…Noin 24d3,00096.7¢97.3¢+0.6%$2.9K+$18
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yesin 208d60882.0¢85.5¢+4.3%$520+$21
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?Noin 24d13096.1¢98.5¢+2.4%$128+$3
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d1010.0¢8.5¢-15.0%$1-$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes6,17899.8¢100.0¢+$12resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Billions FDV above $1B one day after launch?No4,47299.9¢100.0¢+$5resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?Yes8294.6¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?No25,58599.7¢100.0¢+$89resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Putin visit China by May 31?Yes10,23399.9¢100.0¢+$10resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?No2098.6¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No21,18999.9¢100.0¢+$21resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No20,91899.9¢100.0¢+$29resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…No2899.3¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No34197.8¢100.0¢+$7resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No110,42099.9¢100.0¢+$110resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?No10099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?No1,10096.9¢100.0¢+$34resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?No1099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?No17,66899.9¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No85799.7¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes50065.0¢0.0¢-$325resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?No9,85299.8¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 3…No8,77099.9¢100.0¢+$9resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No11,49199.9¢100.0¢+$11resolution2026-05-28 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27…No14,06999.8¢100.0¢+$28resolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes18,47099.8¢94.3¢-$1.0Ktrade2026-05-25 23:40 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes20,63899.8¢95.3¢-$926trade2026-05-25 23:35 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes10,23999.8¢96.6¢-$325trade2026-05-25 23:34 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes10,11799.8¢96.3¢-$357trade2026-05-25 23:33 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes5,94299.8¢98.2¢-$96trade2026-05-25 23:30 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes15,86599.8¢98.5¢-$212trade2026-05-25 23:30 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No34099.1¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes3,06699.8¢100.0¢+$6resolution2026-05-23 00:00 UTC
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?No13,62499.5¢100.0¢+$65resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No50,00099.9¢100.0¢+$50resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for C…No1,37699.7¢100.0¢+$4resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 2…No1,82699.9¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No72,58399.8¢100.0¢+$174resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 2…No55399.7¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 2…No45,62599.9¢100.0¢+$49resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Trump Leave China on May 15?Yes88099.4¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?No1,00099.8¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?No10099.5¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 1…No100,04599.9¢100.0¢+$100resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 1…No14,47199.9¢100.0¢+$14resolution2026-05-18 00:00 UTC
Will Melania Trump attend Trump’s Xi summit?No10099.8¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?No21,99499.7¢100.0¢+$72resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?No56399.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 1…No68,60199.9¢100.0¢+$69resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes23199.4¢76.4¢-$53trade2026-05-15 06:40 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes22599.4¢79.7¢-$44trade2026-05-15 06:38 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5599.4¢82.7¢-$9trade2026-05-15 06:36 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes4199.4¢80.3¢-$8trade2026-05-15 06:33 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes20799.4¢80.0¢-$40trade2026-05-15 06:32 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 08:23 UTCBUY10,39689.0¢Trump out as President before 2027?No
2026-06-01 08:17 UTCBUY179,50491.0¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 08:17 UTCBUY17,00291.0¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 07:22 UTCBUY1199.0¢Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?NoResolved
2026-06-01 04:13 UTCBUY10,42099.9¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-01 04:12 UTCBUY9,59599.8¢Epstein suicide note released by May 31?NoResolved
2026-06-01 04:03 UTCBUY9599.8¢Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?NoResolved
2026-06-01 03:58 UTCBUY63099.8¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-06-01 03:56 UTCBUY100,00099.9¢Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-01 03:48 UTCBUY78899.8¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-06-01 02:22 UTCBUY21,18999.9¢Israel closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-06-01 02:10 UTCBUY22799.6¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-06-01 01:27 UTCBUY35299.8¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?Yes
2026-06-01 01:23 UTCBUY26,19799.9¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-01 01:14 UTCBUY4,35999.9¢Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-01 01:01 UTCBUY22299.7¢Epstein suicide note released by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 16:34 UTCBUY47799.7¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-31 10:02 UTCBUY24896.7¢Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on…No
2026-05-31 09:59 UTCBUY3599.3¢Epstein suicide note released by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 02:40 UTCBUY1010.0¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 02:19 UTCBUY10099.9¢Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 02:14 UTCBUY10099.9¢Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 02:12 UTCBUY10697.8¢Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-30 18:13 UTCBUY2899.3¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…NoResolved
2026-05-30 04:14 UTCBUY8,77099.9¢Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-29 15:32 UTCBUY50065.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:24 UTCBUY11,49199.9¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-29 06:29 UTCSELL21,61999.9¢Trump out as President by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-29 00:59 UTCBUY12,00099.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-28 14:28 UTCSELL14,97499.8¢Iran closes its airspace by May 27?NoResolved
2026-05-27 07:44 UTCBUY14,06999.8¢Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-25 23:40 UTCSELL18,47094.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 23:35 UTCSELL20,63895.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 23:34 UTCSELL10,23996.6¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 23:33 UTCSELL10,11796.3¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 23:30 UTCSELL5,94298.2¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 23:30 UTCSELL15,86598.5¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 18:22 UTCBUY34099.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-25 08:34 UTCBUY155,50899.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 06:44 UTCBUY15,24499.7¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-25 05:01 UTCBUY8,00099.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-24 06:24 UTCBUY3,06699.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?YesResolved
2026-05-23 14:32 UTCSELL10,59822.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 14:31 UTCSELL90923.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 13:35 UTCSELL2,59230.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 13:16 UTCSELL3,92130.3¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 13:16 UTCSELL2830.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 13:12 UTCSELL1,00030.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 12:24 UTCSELL4,23930.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?YesResolved
2026-05-23 08:07 UTCBUY100,00099.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes