trader profile

Melody626

0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
Open MV$152.5K5 positions
Open PnL+$18.6K13.9% on basis
Realized PnL+$801110 closed
Hit rate55%Wilson lower 46%
Volume observed$829.6K529 trades · 145 markets
Current ranklast trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presi…Yesin 15d82,77266.7¢79.5¢+19.2%$65.8K+$10.6K
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in…Yesin 150d46,24974.8¢82.7¢+10.5%$38.2K+$3.6K
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elec…Yesin 1d41,71341.4¢75.5¢+82.5%$31.5K+$14.2K
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d10,76468.7¢85.9¢+25.1%$9.2K+$1.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d39,43849.3¢19.5¢-60.4%$7.7K-$11.7K

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater…Yes24667.9¢100.0¢+$79resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office…Yes1,29185.4¢100.0¢+$189resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater…No1,4894.5¢0.0¢-$67resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater…Yes23,86087.6¢100.0¢+$2.9Kresolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be gr…Yes1,72580.9¢100.0¢+$329resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater…Yes687.6¢96.4¢+$1trade2026-05-31 18:20 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No5,43066.0¢0.0¢-$3.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No1,91283.5¢100.0¢+$316resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No8,01271.0¢100.0¢+$2.3Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No1,59159.0¢100.0¢+$652resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by ma…Yes3,18245.1¢0.0¢-$1.4Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No5,99971.0¢100.0¢+$1.7Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?No6,00075.0¢100.0¢+$1.5Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes1,85159.4¢34.0¢-$469trade2026-05-30 07:57 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No3,78559.9¢84.0¢+$913trade2026-05-30 07:55 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes2,29880.0¢0.0¢-$1.8Kresolution2026-05-28 00:00 UTC
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele…No1,87781.9¢99.9¢+$338trade2026-05-27 19:12 UTC
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend…No2,63864.4¢99.9¢+$937trade2026-05-27 00:22 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes2,29183.0¢0.0¢-$1.9Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend…Yes5,28329.7¢0.0¢-$1.6Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes21264.0¢0.0¢-$136resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes19783.0¢99.9¢+$33trade2026-05-25 17:16 UTC
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend…No5050.0¢0.7¢-$25trade2026-05-25 02:55 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May…Yes7166.7¢24.0¢-$30trade2026-05-25 01:22 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes23267.0¢10.0¢-$132trade2026-05-25 01:20 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes6259.5¢33.0¢-$16trade2026-05-24 23:34 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May…Yes866.7¢37.0¢-$2trade2026-05-24 17:24 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No1,63272.9¢100.0¢+$443resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?No2,43373.1¢100.0¢+$655resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No2,21330.0¢0.0¢-$664resolution2026-05-23 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes44183.0¢52.0¢-$137trade2026-05-22 23:41 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes1,01683.0¢55.0¢-$285trade2026-05-22 23:36 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No6,97672.9¢6.0¢-$4.7Ktrade2026-05-22 21:49 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes4,97487.7¢0.6¢-$4.3Ktrade2026-05-20 07:15 UTC
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes6464.6¢71.3¢+$4trade2026-05-20 01:35 UTC
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes1,04850.8¢15.6¢-$369trade2026-05-20 01:32 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary…No11056.5¢6.0¢-$56trade2026-05-20 01:09 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary…No3056.5¢14.0¢-$13trade2026-05-20 00:43 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary…No5056.5¢26.0¢-$15trade2026-05-20 00:32 UTC
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes061.6¢59.0¢$0trade2026-05-20 00:18 UTC
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes1,32561.6¢61.0¢-$8trade2026-05-20 00:16 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary…No41356.5¢8.0¢-$200trade2026-05-19 23:37 UTC
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes2,32450.8¢0.0¢-$1.2Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes1,1718.9¢0.0¢-$104resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No5,33463.0¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes5,64767.1¢100.0¢+$1.9Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?Yes6,90165.3¢100.0¢+$2.4Kresolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Will John Fleming finish first in the first round of th…Yes504.5¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of th…No5506.8¢0.0¢-$38resolution2026-05-16 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…No2,54654.9¢0.8¢-$1.4Ktrade2026-05-15 05:23 UTC
161 total · page 1 of 4← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 04:20 UTCBUY20,45081.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 03:51 UTCBUY11,4797.3¢Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor…Yes
2026-06-03 03:22 UTCBUY55076.8¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 03:07 UTCBUY2,27717.9¢Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor…Yes
2026-06-03 03:00 UTCBUY1,56670.2¢Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Gove…No
2026-06-03 02:55 UTCBUY6106.5¢Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican prima…YesResolved
2026-06-03 01:10 UTCBUY99476.0¢Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary El…No
2026-06-03 01:09 UTCBUY84315.0¢Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor…Yes
2026-06-03 00:38 UTCBUY2774.0¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-03 00:38 UTCBUY1,56568.0¢Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-03 00:37 UTCBUY1,61269.9¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-02 23:53 UTCBUY7,36976.0¢Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor pri…Yes
2026-06-02 21:48 UTCBUY1,76070.0¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-02 20:49 UTCBUY2,99866.0¢Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-02 20:49 UTCBUY1,64873.8¢Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of…Yes
2026-06-02 20:48 UTCBUY1,51576.0¢Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor pri…Yes
2026-06-02 20:48 UTCBUY5,04076.3¢Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor pri…Yes
2026-06-02 19:15 UTCBUY25774.8¢Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor pri…Yes
2026-06-02 18:38 UTCBUY6,50080.0¢Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary El…No
2026-06-02 15:51 UTCBUY12,85577.3¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-02 15:50 UTCBUY1,50070.0¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…No
2026-06-02 07:12 UTCBUY4,75565.9¢Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-02 05:58 UTCBUY87977.0¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-02 05:57 UTCBUY4,02376.5¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-02 04:19 UTCBUY1,20770.6¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…No
2026-06-02 00:44 UTCBUY1,61469.0¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…No
2026-06-02 00:43 UTCBUY69176.6¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-01 19:09 UTCBUY9,06566.0¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…No
2026-06-01 19:09 UTCBUY2,37874.8¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-01 02:29 UTCBUY4,27276.5¢Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party ca…Yes
2026-06-01 02:29 UTCBUY675.0¢Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Gove…No
2026-06-01 02:28 UTCBUY1,80114.0¢Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor…Yes
2026-06-01 02:27 UTCBUY2,31165.6¢Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor prima…No
2026-06-01 02:26 UTCBUY1,21167.9¢Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 202…Yes
2026-06-01 00:31 UTCBUY1,4894.5¢Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?NoResolved
2026-05-31 22:00 UTCBUY3,17588.6¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 21:50 UTCBUY2,90082.2¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 21:50 UTCBUY1,57680.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 21:40 UTCBUY6,90172.8¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-05-31 20:53 UTCBUY31925.8¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 20:52 UTCBUY33967.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-05-31 20:52 UTCBUY3,28367.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-05-31 19:27 UTCBUY1,90724.8¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 19:12 UTCBUY42622.8¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 18:20 UTCSELL696.4¢Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?YesResolved
2026-05-31 18:10 UTCBUY67519.5¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-05-31 17:32 UTCBUY1,13583.0¢Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombi…No
2026-05-31 16:33 UTCBUY9,80870.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-05-31 16:33 UTCBUY2,55069.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-05-31 03:28 UTCBUY1,29185.4¢Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less…YesResolved