trader profile

BrightStars

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
Open MV$903.2K4 positions
Open PnL+$5980.1% on basis
Realized PnL+$251.3K61 closed
Hit rate52%Wilson lower 40%
Volume observed$2.09M532 trades · 80 markets
Current rank#30 · 30dlast trade 61d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Noin 809d874,99850.0¢79.3¢+58.7%$694.3K+$256.8K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 809d874,99850.0¢20.6¢-58.7%$180.7K-$256.8K
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Noin 132d29,12594.6¢96.7¢+2.2%$28.1K+$596
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Noin 132d2957.4¢63.5¢+10.6%$18+$2

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes1,11186.5¢98.0¢+$128trade2026-06-20 21:59 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes2,22286.5¢98.0¢+$256trade2026-06-20 21:59 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No1,44176.3¢98.6¢+$322trade2026-06-19 15:21 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No56976.3¢79.1¢+$16trade2026-06-19 01:34 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No1,94376.3¢100.0¢+$461resolution2026-06-19 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes6,31136.0¢54.0¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-06-18 01:00 UTC
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes8,78734.2¢33.3¢-$81trade2026-06-17 20:26 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes19,28113.0¢0.7¢-$2.4Ktrade2026-06-17 16:02 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes7,4836.2¢0.7¢-$411trade2026-06-16 04:50 UTC
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes61,34499.8¢100.0¢+$123resolution2026-06-16 00:00 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes32,5166.2¢1.1¢-$1.7Ktrade2026-06-15 14:44 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes344,81233.8¢100.0¢+$228.3Kresolution2026-06-15 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes88299.7¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-06-15 00:00 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes10,32313.0¢1.1¢-$1.2Ktrade2026-06-14 22:56 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes11,2676.6¢26.4¢+$2.2Ktrade2026-06-13 17:02 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes10,0006.6¢18.9¢+$1.2Ktrade2026-06-13 14:56 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes3,03510.0¢0.1¢-$300trade2026-06-13 04:24 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes77710.0¢7.2¢-$22trade2026-06-12 02:32 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes2,00010.0¢31.1¢+$421trade2026-06-12 01:12 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes3,0006.6¢19.5¢+$388trade2026-06-11 19:34 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes3,29025.5¢41.0¢+$510trade2026-06-11 19:28 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes1115.7¢36.0¢+$2trade2026-06-11 17:51 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes7,7776.6¢18.3¢+$911trade2026-06-11 17:48 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes6,24436.0¢25.0¢-$690trade2026-06-10 22:45 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes1,32522.3¢6.0¢-$216trade2026-06-10 22:45 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes13,70536.0¢31.0¢-$689trade2026-06-08 01:24 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes13,53529.9¢20.0¢-$1.3Ktrade2026-06-08 01:23 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes5,20136.0¢32.0¢-$211trade2026-06-08 01:20 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No65,57697.5¢97.6¢+$42trade2026-06-08 01:19 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes22,84516.8¢16.0¢-$188trade2026-06-08 01:17 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes8,83422.3¢11.0¢-$997trade2026-06-08 01:16 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes33,33329.9¢23.1¢-$2.3Ktrade2026-06-08 01:16 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes20,31716.8¢17.0¢+$36trade2026-06-08 01:15 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes91,59611.2¢7.0¢-$3.9Ktrade2026-06-08 01:15 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes55,55511.2¢7.0¢-$2.3Ktrade2026-06-08 01:14 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?Yes100,00099.9¢100.0¢+$100resolution2026-06-08 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes33,33311.2¢4.0¢-$2.4Ktrade2026-06-07 19:03 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes23,64429.9¢20.2¢-$2.3Ktrade2026-06-07 19:01 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes12,11922.3¢10.0¢-$1.5Ktrade2026-06-07 19:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes11,66716.7¢14.0¢-$319trade2026-06-07 19:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes3,54422.3¢12.0¢-$365trade2026-06-07 18:19 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes20,00013.0¢2.0¢-$2.2Ktrade2026-06-07 03:51 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes25,7948.4¢1.2¢-$1.9Ktrade2026-06-07 03:46 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes94,5243.5¢0.0¢-$3.3Kresolution2026-06-07 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes25,0003.5¢1.3¢-$543trade2026-06-06 01:20 UTC
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes8,88529.9¢27.0¢-$254trade2026-06-06 01:16 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes15,00022.3¢16.0¢-$943trade2026-06-06 01:16 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes34,1978.4¢2.0¢-$2.2Ktrade2026-06-05 22:47 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes7,77722.3¢17.0¢-$411trade2026-06-05 22:44 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes10,5878.4¢2.0¢-$677trade2026-06-05 22:01 UTC
212 total · page 1 of 5← Prev50 per pageNext →

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-20 22:55 UTCBUY11,11194.7¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 22:50 UTCBUY5,55594.7¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 22:49 UTCBUY3,33394.7¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 21:59 UTCSELL1,11198.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 21:59 UTCSELL2,22298.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 20:59 UTCBUY33,3337.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 20:44 UTCBUY18,57189.3¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-20 18:32 UTCBUY3,3338.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 18:12 UTCBUY5,5558.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 17:59 UTCBUY3,3338.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 17:44 UTCBUY2757.4¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No
2026-06-20 17:39 UTCBUY6,6668.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 15:10 UTCBUY33,3338.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-06-20 13:27 UTCBUY1,57453.4¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes
2026-06-19 21:15 UTCBUY67594.0¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-19 15:21 UTCSELL1,44198.6¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-19 01:34 UTCSELL56979.1¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-19 01:07 UTCBUY3,95476.3¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?NoResolved
2026-06-18 01:00 UTCSELL6,31154.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes
2026-06-18 00:36 UTCBUY5,42499.9¢Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes
2026-06-17 23:39 UTCBUY2,67599.8¢Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes
2026-06-17 22:35 UTCBUY1,07296.0¢Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?Yes
2026-06-17 22:24 UTCBUY22,22299.8¢Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-06-17 22:17 UTCBUY5,32299.7¢Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-06-17 22:16 UTCBUY7,58799.4¢Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes
2026-06-17 20:26 UTCSELL8,78733.3¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-17 18:49 UTCBUY93699.3¢Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No
2026-06-17 18:40 UTCBUY35099.1¢Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?No
2026-06-17 18:38 UTCBUY60717.6¢Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes
2026-06-17 18:37 UTCBUY359.0¢Will Shehbaz Sharif attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes
2026-06-17 16:02 UTCSELL24,4940.7¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-17 15:57 UTCBUY16,66799.8¢US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-17 15:57 UTCBUY33,33399.8¢US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-16 04:50 UTCSELL16,7310.7¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?YesResolved
2026-06-16 04:35 UTCBUY6,66635.9¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-16 04:32 UTCBUY11,11133.2¢Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-15 21:50 UTCBUY1,50093.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-15 21:43 UTCBUY2,40093.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-15 18:47 UTCBUY11,11199.8¢US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-15 18:46 UTCBUY23299.7¢US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-15 15:45 UTCBUY8,09099.9¢Will Ali Larijani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No
2026-06-15 14:44 UTCSELL32,5161.1¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?YesResolved
2026-06-15 04:53 UTCBUY33,33399.4¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
2026-06-15 03:11 UTCBUY33,33399.8¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-15 03:10 UTCBUY12599.7¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-15 03:08 UTCBUY1,79599.3¢US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
2026-06-15 01:06 UTCBUY5,34280.9¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-14 23:57 UTCBUY77,77781.8¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YesResolved
2026-06-14 22:56 UTCSELL10,3231.1¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-06-14 22:34 UTCBUY30,00072.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?YesResolved