trader profile

BrightStars

0xc84f7e76ec28ef20e7773b7b4926bfb7378be0c5
Open MV$172.6K8 positions
Open PnL-$14.3K-7.6% on basis
Realized PnL-$30.1K43 closed
Hit rate51%Wilson lower 37%
Volume observed$939.0K367 trades · 55 markets
Current ranklast trade 5d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Noin 885d109,18950.0¢81.8¢+63.5%$89.3K+$34.7K
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Noin 208d45,04394.6¢95.2¢+0.6%$42.9K+$268
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d109,18950.0¢18.3¢-63.5%$19.9K-$34.7K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yesin 1d117,28110.7¢8.5¢-20.9%$10.0K-$2.6K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yesin 9d70,5788.4¢6.5¢-22.9%$4.6K-$1.4K
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yesin 24d102,75312.7¢3.9¢-69.7%$4.0K-$9.1K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yesin 24d4,66437.7¢28.5¢-24.4%$1.3K-$430
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d4,55437.0¢14.5¢-60.8%$660-$1.0K

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes76,68021.4¢10.0¢-$8.8Ktrade2026-05-31 19:02 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes1,90471.6¢100.0¢+$541resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 31?Yes1,98799.0¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes44713.0¢5.0¢-$36trade2026-05-30 20:49 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes14,00025.4¢16.0¢-$1.3Ktrade2026-05-30 02:55 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes6,7472.9¢0.0¢-$197resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…Yes33,33337.7¢39.1¢+$466trade2026-05-29 18:50 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes6,60330.9¢27.5¢-$222trade2026-05-29 18:49 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes78,47115.7¢7.4¢-$6.5Ktrade2026-05-29 18:48 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes120,00015.7¢11.0¢-$5.7Ktrade2026-05-29 18:48 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes25,00015.7¢13.0¢-$684trade2026-05-29 17:24 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes4,52530.9¢48.6¢+$804trade2026-05-29 16:13 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes4,44415.7¢14.0¢-$77trade2026-05-29 15:42 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…Yes11,4803.2¢0.0¢-$373resolution2026-05-29 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes30,00016.0¢11.0¢-$1.5Ktrade2026-05-28 21:55 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No6,6927.6¢0.4¢-$481trade2026-05-28 00:50 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No14,04598.0¢100.0¢+$280resolution2026-05-28 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes33,33323.8¢17.0¢-$2.3Ktrade2026-05-27 16:08 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes30,00023.8¢15.5¢-$2.5Ktrade2026-05-27 16:05 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes22,22223.8¢20.0¢-$844trade2026-05-27 16:04 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes3,58716.0¢0.0¢-$574resolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?No10,40598.1¢100.0¢+$197resolution2026-05-27 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes6,74825.0¢25.0¢$0trade2026-05-26 20:53 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No23,2137.6¢1.4¢-$1.4Ktrade2026-05-26 17:39 UTC
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes40,0006.6¢1.0¢-$2.2Ktrade2026-05-26 17:27 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes2,48558.5¢22.0¢-$908trade2026-05-26 15:13 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes1,00058.5¢38.0¢-$205trade2026-05-26 15:11 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes26858.5¢55.1¢-$9trade2026-05-26 15:10 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No4,7947.6¢3.4¢-$199trade2026-05-26 13:10 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No26,5877.6¢0.8¢-$1.8Ktrade2026-05-26 01:19 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?No1,22598.2¢100.0¢+$22resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No2,56936.8¢90.5¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-05-25 23:02 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No5,6614.2¢8.1¢+$221trade2026-05-25 22:50 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No7,4897.6¢1.7¢-$443trade2026-05-25 22:37 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No1,4157.6¢1.7¢-$83trade2026-05-25 22:37 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?No2,78918.0¢16.5¢-$42trade2026-05-25 22:32 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No364.2¢15.5¢+$4trade2026-05-25 22:27 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No2,0187.6¢1.1¢-$131trade2026-05-25 22:24 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No1207.6¢1.4¢-$7trade2026-05-25 22:23 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No4,0007.6¢1.3¢-$253trade2026-05-25 22:22 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No4367.6¢1.3¢-$27trade2026-05-25 22:21 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No1,5004.2¢13.0¢+$132trade2026-05-25 22:20 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No7,2227.6¢0.7¢-$497trade2026-05-25 22:06 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No7914.2¢11.9¢+$61trade2026-05-25 22:04 UTC
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes1,35929.6¢55.0¢+$345trade2026-05-25 18:22 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes8,66322.2¢1.5¢-$1.8Ktrade2026-05-25 04:33 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No36,88414.5¢0.4¢-$5.2Ktrade2026-05-25 01:49 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No114,94371.3¢100.0¢+$33.0Kresolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No204.4¢4.9¢+$0trade2026-05-24 19:41 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No404.4¢4.5¢+$0trade2026-05-24 19:25 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-31 19:53 UTCBUY6,66611.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 19:48 UTCBUY11,11111.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 19:47 UTCBUY14,00011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 19:36 UTCBUY4,44411.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 19:24 UTCBUY2810.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 19:02 UTCSELL144,95210.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 14:24 UTCBUY11,0236.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-05-31 01:56 UTCBUY49,44599.6¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-31 00:39 UTCBUY19,2518.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-31 00:37 UTCBUY23,1733.2¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-31 00:36 UTCBUY39,4442.4¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-31 00:34 UTCBUY15,7332.3¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-31 00:19 UTCBUY10,9212.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-30 20:49 UTCSELL4475.0¢US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes
2026-05-30 18:51 UTCBUY29,2908.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-05-30 18:40 UTCBUY5,7473.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?YesResolved
2026-05-30 18:35 UTCBUY23,4062.4¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-30 18:34 UTCBUY1,0002.5¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?YesResolved
2026-05-30 18:32 UTCBUY58812.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-30 18:32 UTCBUY5,88411.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-30 18:15 UTCBUY18,12411.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-30 18:10 UTCBUY26,50714.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 18:10 UTCBUY25,2702.2¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-30 03:36 UTCSELL10092.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-30 03:35 UTCSELL5,43393.2¢Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-30 02:55 UTCSELL14,00016.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 22:58 UTCBUY4,1253.7¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-29 22:57 UTCBUY2,6693.4¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-29 22:57 UTCBUY4,6862.8¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?YesResolved
2026-05-29 22:25 UTCBUY33,3337.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 18:50 UTCSELL33,33339.1¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-29 18:49 UTCSELL6,60327.5¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-29 18:48 UTCSELL150,0007.4¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 18:48 UTCSELL120,00011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 17:24 UTCSELL25,00013.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 16:13 UTCSELL4,52548.6¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-29 15:42 UTCSELL4,44414.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-29 04:39 UTCBUY30,2659.7¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes
2026-05-29 04:38 UTCBUY37,52037.7¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes
2026-05-29 04:08 UTCBUY33,04699.2¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-29 04:07 UTCBUY18,49598.8¢Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-29 04:00 UTCBUY8,41810.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 23:51 UTCBUY9,99931.4¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-28 23:33 UTCBUY12,02030.4¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes
2026-05-28 22:24 UTCBUY12,69716.6¢US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-28 21:55 UTCSELL30,00011.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 19:50 UTCBUY10,20112.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 19:49 UTCBUY11,11112.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-28 16:20 UTCBUY27,85425.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 15:36 UTCBUY22,97924.7¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes