trader profile
hell0pia
0xbf93328f8b69273453228a82c913207731822fd7
Open MV$8.7K2 positions
Open PnL+$3.4K65.9% on basis
Realized PnL+$50.0K68 closed
Hit rate60%Wilson lower 48%
Volume observed$967.6K174 trades · 79 markets
Current rank—last trade 14d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Noin 24d | 10,641 | 45.2¢ | 79.8¢ | +76.4% | $8.5K | +$3.7K |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yesin 9d | 800 | 51.0¢ | 21.5¢ | -57.8% | $172 | -$236 |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | 115,432 | 62.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$71.7K | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes | 17,799 | 61.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.8K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes | 24,007 | 74.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.2K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | 8,120 | 36.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3.0K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | 50,294 | 45.3¢ | 100.0¢ | +$27.5K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | 0 | 50.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes | 28,560 | 15.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$24.1K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price…Yes | 10,000 | 40.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6.0K | resolution | 2026-05-30 02:08 UTC |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May?Yes | 4,793 | 62.6¢ | 4.7¢ | -$2.8K | trade | 2026-05-22 18:19 UTC |
| James Comey arrested by May 15?No | 2,259 | 14.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$316 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| James Comey arrested by April 29?No | 2,475 | 40.4¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | 27,234 | 93.2¢ | 95.6¢ | +$654 | trade | 2026-05-14 01:02 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | 22,748 | 93.2¢ | 95.2¢ | +$464 | trade | 2026-05-13 21:35 UTC |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | 3,500 | 93.2¢ | 95.6¢ | +$83 | trade | 2026-05-13 18:35 UTC |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | 10,000 | 62.0¢ | 60.0¢ | -$200 | trade | 2026-05-07 21:04 UTC |
| Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most s…Yes | 44,109 | 82.9¢ | 0.3¢ | -$36.4K | trade | 2026-05-04 07:05 UTC |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK…No | 3,919 | 94.4¢ | 92.9¢ | -$60 | trade | 2026-05-04 03:23 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | 65,893 | 83.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$10.8K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by April 30, 202…No | 10,125 | 69.1¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.1K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?No | 1,758 | 56.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$758 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | 2,735 | 69.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$835 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end o…Yes | 6,342 | 62.1¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.4K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?No | 7,686 | 45.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$4.2K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of A…No | 1,425 | 69.3¢ | 100.0¢ | +$438 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?No | 1,542 | 64.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.0K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…No | 13,717 | 71.3¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.9K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| James Comey arrested by May 15?No | 1,312 | 14.0¢ | 1.0¢ | -$171 | trade | 2026-04-29 17:08 UTC |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seat…Yes | 8,312 | 68.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.6K | resolution | 2026-04-29 00:00 UTC |
| Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK…No | 0 | 94.4¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-04-23 00:00 UTC |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 20…No | 8,106 | 61.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.1K | resolution | 2026-04-21 00:00 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…No | 308 | 71.3¢ | 71.0¢ | -$1 | trade | 2026-04-20 16:40 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?No | 2,308 | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$508 | resolution | 2026-04-18 00:00 UTC |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?No | 32,861 | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$9.9K | resolution | 2026-04-15 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | 30,291 | 66.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$10.3K | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | 11,695 | 63.6¢ | 88.9¢ | +$2.9K | trade | 2026-04-06 20:48 UTC |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31?No | 19,207 | 83.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.3K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?No | 45 | 62.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$17 | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by March 31?No | 55,395 | 83.8¢ | 100.0¢ | +$9.0K | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | 0 | 71.1¢ | 100.0¢ | +$0 | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?No | 34,543 | 66.8¢ | 100.0¢ | +$11.5K | resolution | 2026-02-28 00:00 UTC |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?Yes | 37,684 | 39.5¢ | 34.3¢ | -$2.0K | trade | 2026-02-25 20:18 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | 13,001 | 29.6¢ | 90.4¢ | +$7.9K | trade | 2026-02-25 16:36 UTC |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No | 10,548 | 71.1¢ | 80.5¢ | +$987 | trade | 2026-02-25 07:37 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | 5,600 | 29.6¢ | 90.8¢ | +$3.4K | trade | 2026-02-25 06:57 UTC |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?No | 1,825 | 63.6¢ | 99.6¢ | +$658 | trade | 2026-02-16 13:40 UTC |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota…No | 16,531 | 48.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$8.5K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | 0 | 59.3¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | 0 | 79.6¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?No | 1,687 | 59.3¢ | 89.6¢ | +$510 | trade | 2026-01-08 18:59 UTC |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?No | 1,256 | 79.6¢ | 97.8¢ | +$228 | trade | 2026-01-08 17:27 UTC |
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