trader profile
0xBE482CD6e5183BE8767f03b48EBc3FF35769683f-1768081000582
0xbe482cd6e5183be8767f03b48ebc3ff35769683f
Open MV$109.3K2 positions
Open PnL+$13.1K13.6% on basis
Realized PnL-$47.2K15 closed
Hit rate73%Wilson lower 48%
Volume observed$755.4K38 trades · 18 markets
Current rank—last trade 23d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
| Market · Outcome | Size | Avg cost | Current | Δ% | MV | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d | 61,539 | 78.3¢ | 96.8¢ | +23.5% | $59.5K | +$11.3K |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d | 52,529 | 91.4¢ | 94.8¢ | +3.7% | $49.8K | +$1.8K |
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | 18,695 | 53.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$10.0K | resolution | 2026-05-25 00:54 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | 12,821 | 78.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.8K | resolution | 2026-05-25 00:54 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No | 67,530 | 74.0¢ | 92.7¢ | +$12.6K | trade | 2026-05-13 09:42 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No | 82,847 | 84.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$12.8K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | 170,933 | 29.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$49.9K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by April 30?No | 14,869 | 67.3¢ | 100.0¢ | +$4.9K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | 90,550 | 36.7¢ | 1.0¢ | -$32.4K | trade | 2026-04-12 19:21 UTC |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | 0 | 36.7¢ | 0.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-04-12 00:00 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | 18,202 | 54.9¢ | 99.9¢ | +$8.2K | trade | 2026-04-02 09:31 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | 0 | 54.9¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?No | 12,161 | 82.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.2K | resolution | 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | 0 | 86.9¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-04 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | 0 | 88.1¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-02-02 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | 11,503 | 86.9¢ | 92.7¢ | +$668 | trade | 2026-02-01 12:27 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?No | 11,355 | 88.1¢ | 96.6¢ | +$963 | trade | 2026-02-01 12:27 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | 12,983 | 77.0¢ | 91.5¢ | +$1.9K | trade | 2026-02-01 12:26 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | 15,653 | 63.9¢ | 76.3¢ | +$1.9K | trade | 2026-02-01 12:26 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No | 0 | 63.9¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | 0 | 70.8¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | 58,222 | 25.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$15.0K | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | 0 | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | $0 | resolution | 2026-01-31 00:00 UTC |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | 70,566 | 70.8¢ | 86.6¢ | +$11.1K | trade | 2026-01-26 18:25 UTC |
22 total
Recent trades
Last 50 ingested fills