trader profile

tryingmyluckhere

0xac9b386454ed02ef205e0ebd189d8864fd02d4c5
Open MV$67.3K30 positions
Open PnL-$5.1K-7.1% on basis
Realized PnL+$49.5K54 closed
Hit rate30%Wilson lower 19%
Volume observed$301.7K231 trades · 95 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 24d29,84260.8¢58.5¢-3.8%$17.5K-$689
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yesin 574d11,50235.8¢61.0¢+70.5%$7.0K+$2.9K
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d105,6743.2¢5.5¢+69.6%$5.8K+$2.4K
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yesin 574d12,73626.2¢44.5¢+69.8%$5.7K+$2.3K
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yesin 574d12,63223.9¢42.0¢+75.7%$5.3K+$2.3K
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yesin 574d7,09850.1¢68.0¢+35.6%$4.8K+$1.3K
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 9d13,93451.9¢30.0¢-42.2%$4.2K-$3.1K
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yesin 209d4,27457.0¢74.5¢+30.7%$3.2K+$748
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade…Yesin 1d22,12067.5¢13.0¢-80.7%$2.9K-$12.1K
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yesin 574d2,60763.9¢61.0¢-4.5%$1.6K-$75
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yesin 574d6,22128.3¢25.0¢-11.8%$1.6K-$207
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yesin 209d3,15436.9¢48.5¢+31.5%$1.5K+$366
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yesin 574d2,03062.3¢73.5¢+18.0%$1.5K+$228
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yesin 574d3,73217.5¢32.0¢+82.5%$1.2K+$540
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yesin 574d5,78916.3¢18.7¢+14.6%$1.1K+$138
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yesin 574d77861.7¢63.5¢+2.8%$494+$14
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yesin 574d1,02442.9¢41.5¢-3.3%$425-$15
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yesin 208d2,00029.0¢13.5¢-53.4%$270-$310
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Noin 574d50028.0¢31.5¢+12.5%$158+$18
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?Noin 209d21022.0¢74.0¢+236.4%$155+$109
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchYesin 574d24659.0¢58.5¢-0.8%$144-$1
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yesin 574d66429.9¢21.5¢-28.1%$143-$56
Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yesin 574d14587.1¢96.5¢+10.7%$139+$14
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market…Yesin 24d5,20937.6¢2.4¢-93.8%$122-$1.8K
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Noin 574d2,00015.0¢6.0¢-60.0%$120-$180
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yesin 209d24134.9¢45.8¢+31.1%$110+$26
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yesin 574d58117.0¢17.5¢+2.9%$102+$3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d8008.8¢9.6¢+8.5%$76+$6
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market…Yesin 208d14937.0¢16.5¢-55.4%$25-$30
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Noin 574d55.0¢58.0¢+1060.0%$3+$3

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Genius FDV above $80M one day after launch?No1,56719.0¢0.0¢-$298resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1,56910.0¢0.0¢-$157resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?No66428.0¢0.0¢-$186resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?No14661.5¢0.0¢-$90resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?No3,0937.2¢0.0¢-$222resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?No11364.9¢0.0¢-$73resolution2028-01-01 00:00 UTC
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No2,66454.9¢0.0¢-$1.5Kresolution2026-07-01 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes17,71228.3¢100.0¢+$12.7Kresolution2026-06-02 02:08 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No35,51221.5¢99.9¢+$27.8Ktrade2026-06-01 18:02 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,31657.7¢79.2¢+$497trade2026-06-01 12:28 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes6557.7¢73.0¢+$10trade2026-06-01 12:26 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1,00049.8¢65.3¢+$155trade2026-06-01 12:11 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes1,00049.8¢66.4¢+$166trade2026-06-01 12:11 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes1,00035.9¢60.1¢+$241trade2026-06-01 12:08 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes3,25566.0¢73.8¢+$254trade2026-06-01 12:03 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes5,60566.0¢75.1¢+$509trade2026-06-01 12:02 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes1,34066.0¢77.1¢+$149trade2026-06-01 12:01 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No6,43026.8¢0.0¢-$1.7Kresolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No1,66235.5¢0.0¢-$591resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by ma…Yes1,31343.4¢0.0¢-$569resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes18,30435.8¢0.0¢-$6.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by mark…No78547.7¢0.0¢-$374resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?Yes1009.0¢0.0¢-$9resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes1,00038.0¢0.0¢-$380resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?Yes109.0¢0.0¢-$1resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes2,65131.0¢81.0¢+$1.3Ktrade2026-05-29 15:05 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes3,48166.0¢76.0¢+$348trade2026-05-28 16:23 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes3,03349.8¢67.0¢+$522trade2026-05-28 16:22 UTC
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes2,36235.9¢58.0¢+$522trade2026-05-28 16:22 UTC
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qu…Dplus KIA3518.0¢0.0¢-$6resolution2026-05-25 00:00 UTC
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster50018.0¢0.0¢-$90resolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes21,37314.8¢0.0¢-$3.2Kresolution2026-05-22 00:00 UTC
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Kiwoom DRX306.4¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-05-20 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No51166.0¢44.0¢-$112trade2026-05-15 12:09 UTC
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi J…Yes25658.0¢100.0¢+$108resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes54,1677.4¢0.0¢-$4.0Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during events with Xi Jinpin…Yes2,0005.3¢0.0¢-$105resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with X…Yes70634.9¢0.0¢-$246resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with…Yes31,3522.8¢0.0¢-$893resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during…Yes59755.0¢0.0¢-$328resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes19,94319.0¢0.0¢-$3.8Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi…Yes555.9¢0.0¢-$3resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?Yes1,00063.0¢100.0¢+$370resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes25,7665.5¢99.9¢+$24.3Ktrade2026-05-09 18:31 UTC
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA50026.0¢0.0¢-$130resolution2026-05-02 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?No75119.0¢0.0¢-$143resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?No2930.0¢0.0¢-$9resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?No4,55734.4¢100.0¢+$3.0Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No43527.0¢0.0¢-$117resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?No5,11856.0¢0.0¢-$2.9Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 18:16 UTCBUY81441.0¢Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 18:16 UTCBUY20024.0¢Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 18:14 UTCBUY24659.0¢Tread FDV above $40M one day after launchYes
2026-06-01 18:11 UTCBUY3,13434.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-06-01 18:10 UTCBUY14,50259.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-06-01 18:06 UTCBUY13915.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-06-01 18:02 UTCSELL36,05699.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:37 UTCBUY25,68621.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:36 UTCBUY5,08422.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:34 UTCBUY2,74120.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:29 UTCBUY2,00018.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:28 UTCSELL2,31679.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:26 UTCSELL6573.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:22 UTCBUY5,00082.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:17 UTCSELL5,21199.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:12 UTCBUY3,20082.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:11 UTCSELL1,00065.3¢Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:11 UTCSELL1,00066.4¢Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:10 UTCSELL9,5185.5¢Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-06-01 12:08 UTCSELL1,00060.1¢Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:04 UTCBUY5,00044.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:03 UTCSELL3,56973.8¢Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCBUY10,00049.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCSELL5,60575.1¢Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:01 UTCSELL1,34077.1¢Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-06-01 12:01 UTCBUY1,96344.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:01 UTCSELL6,68015.8¢Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
2026-06-01 12:00 UTCBUY79939.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 15:37 UTCBUY109.0¢Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?YesResolved
2026-05-30 15:30 UTCBUY1,00038.0¢Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?YesResolved
2026-05-30 15:25 UTCBUY1009.0¢Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:34 UTCBUY1,80385.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-29 15:32 UTCBUY2,53366.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:27 UTCBUY4,31381.7¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-29 15:11 UTCBUY1358.0¢Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-29 15:07 UTCBUY576.0¢Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-29 15:05 UTCSELL2,65181.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…YesResolved
2026-05-29 15:02 UTCBUY5,21375.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…Yes
2026-05-28 16:45 UTCBUY14287.6¢Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 16:44 UTCBUY93279.1¢Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 16:26 UTCBUY62229.9¢o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-28 16:25 UTCSELL5,32317.1¢o1 FDV above $100M one day after launch?No
2026-05-28 16:24 UTCBUY1363.0¢Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 16:24 UTCBUY359.0¢Will o1 launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 16:24 UTCBUY1,02442.9¢o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-28 16:23 UTCBUY21065.2¢Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 16:23 UTCSELL3,48176.0¢Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-28 16:22 UTCSELL3,03367.0¢Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-28 16:22 UTCSELL2,36258.0¢Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes
2026-05-25 17:24 UTCBUY1,02121.0¢Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Yes