trader profile

CongMingLabs

0xa8b202e6e9a4c2091b6860f1f5c9e9119bbc9a39
Open MV$1.28M5 positions
Open PnL+$1.1K0.1% on basis
Realized PnL+$38.7K34 closed
Hit rate79%Wilson lower 63%
Volume observed$15.37M161 trades · 48 markets
Current rank—last trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Noin 885d800,00050.0¢83.7¢+67.3%$669.2K+$269.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Jun…Yesin 11d467,95597.7¢98.3¢+0.6%$459.8K+$2.5K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yesin 885d800,00050.0¢16.4¢-67.3%$130.8K-$269.2K
Trump out as President by June 30?Noin 24d21,37794.6¢98.8¢+4.4%$21.1K+$891
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June…Noin 24d5,86491.7¢51.8¢-43.4%$3.0K-$2.3K

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes259,24199.9¢100.0¢+$259resolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No85,69598.8¢100.0¢+$1.0Kresolution2026-06-04 04:08 UTC
Trump out as President by May 31?No1,48599.1¢100.0¢+$13resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes40590.7¢66.0¢-$100trade2026-05-24 07:41 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No7199.0¢98.9¢-$0trade2026-05-19 01:21 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No5,61399.3¢98.9¢-$22trade2026-05-19 01:08 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No9,32499.0¢100.0¢+$97resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No13799.1¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No94798.7¢100.0¢+$13resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?No1,66898.4¢100.0¢+$27resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Trump out as President by April 30?No96,07298.8¢100.0¢+$1.1Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 3…No85698.9¢100.0¢+$9resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by April 3…No1,29898.3¢100.0¢+$23resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30,…No7699.6¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Iran leadership change by April 30?No3,98896.0¢99.0¢+$121trade2026-04-29 16:37 UTC
Iran leadership change by April 30?No23196.0¢96.6¢+$1trade2026-04-26 05:10 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?Yes3311.9¢5.0¢-$2trade2026-04-24 17:20 UTC
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by…No11093.2¢90.8¢-$3trade2026-04-24 13:53 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No15,23296.9¢100.0¢+$473resolution2026-04-22 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No3,066,66699.9¢100.0¢+$3.1Kresolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 20…No2,13190.0¢91.7¢+$34trade2026-04-18 09:00 UTC
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 20…No14,85998.5¢99.6¢+$168trade2026-04-18 08:42 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No2,02577.0¢61.1¢-$322trade2026-04-17 13:07 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No82,82898.1¢100.0¢+$1.6Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 20…No78,75898.6¢100.0¢+$1.1Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No1,5966.7¢0.0¢-$107resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No173,51499.7¢100.0¢+$529resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes8259.9¢0.0¢-$82resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Trump out as President by March 31?No301,78999.1¢100.0¢+$2.7Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31,…No196,70699.0¢100.0¢+$2.0Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Netanyahu out by March 31?No237,06396.6¢100.0¢+$8.1Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Chinese Gran…Yes56698.5¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-03-22 00:00 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes1,11199.5¢99.6¢+$1trade2026-03-18 12:27 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes2,375,92999.5¢100.0¢+$11.1Kresolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after t…No2,433,73499.9¢100.0¢+$2.4Kresolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after t…No3,245,69599.9¢100.0¢+$3.2Kresolution2026-03-18 00:00 UTC
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes37895.0¢94.3¢-$3trade2026-03-17 09:08 UTC
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Acade…Yes5538.0¢0.0¢-$21resolution2026-03-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No3,34898.7¢99.5¢+$25trade2026-03-14 10:44 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes10699.4¢99.4¢$0trade2026-03-13 02:09 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes2,22699.4¢99.5¢+$2trade2026-03-12 16:06 UTC
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Pla…Team Yandex1,80994.9¢100.0¢+$92resolution2026-03-12 00:00 UTC
42 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 04:32 UTCBUY600,11099.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 07:23 UTCBUY8530.5¢Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June…Yes
2026-05-31 17:53 UTCBUY10,0000.3¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-31 17:53 UTCBUY20,0000.3¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-31 11:36 UTCBUY1139.9¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-31 10:49 UTCBUY80715.7¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-31 10:46 UTCBUY10611.6¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-31 10:39 UTCBUY7,1818.1¢US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No
2026-05-26 18:03 UTCBUY4,30497.3¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-26 09:52 UTCBUY34,31497.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 09:50 UTCBUY11,10897.7¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 07:40 UTCBUY89495.1¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 07:33 UTCBUY2,63695.4¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 07:17 UTCBUY9695.8¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 07:08 UTCBUY2,63195.9¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-26 06:29 UTCBUY20596.2¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes
2026-05-24 07:41 UTCSELL40566.0¢Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes
2026-05-19 13:12 UTCBUY8,64098.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 13:12 UTCBUY1,50298.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 13:12 UTCBUY1,90998.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 13:12 UTCBUY1,41998.0¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 06:57 UTCBUY10,94797.9¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 04:37 UTCBUY36,11997.9¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-19 01:21 UTCSELL7198.9¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-19 01:12 UTCBUY7,91698.9¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-19 01:08 UTCSELL20599.0¢Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinpi…NoResolved
2026-05-19 01:08 UTCSELL5,61398.9¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-18 11:16 UTCBUY14,00097.9¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-18 11:15 UTCBUY2,37497.8¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-18 04:22 UTCBUY7,09399.3¢Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?NoResolved
2026-05-15 07:30 UTCBUY44,44497.8¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-15 03:40 UTCBUY9,60997.6¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-15 03:39 UTCBUY54,15197.6¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-15 03:39 UTCBUY7,18097.6¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-15 03:39 UTCBUY10,89897.6¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-12 12:34 UTCBUY24,19497.1¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 20…Yes
2026-05-08 04:42 UTCBUY1,48599.1¢Trump out as President by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-03 07:30 UTCBUY154,73299.7¢Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No
2026-05-01 10:57 UTCSELL15098.6¢Trump out as President by June 30?No
2026-04-30 16:29 UTCBUY3,066,66699.9¢US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-30 15:41 UTCSELL2,22299.9¢Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?NoResolved
2026-04-29 19:05 UTCBUY2399.4¢Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-29 16:37 UTCSELL11,48099.0¢Iran leadership change by April 30?NoResolved
2026-04-26 05:16 UTCBUY7699.6¢Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-26 05:10 UTCBUY78299.0¢Will Donald Trump publicly insult Xi Jinping by April 30, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-26 05:10 UTCSELL23196.6¢Iran leadership change by April 30?NoResolved
2026-04-24 17:20 UTCSELL1,1295.0¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-24 17:18 UTCBUY1,80590.9¢Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes
2026-04-24 17:16 UTCBUY33889.3¢Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes
2026-04-24 15:48 UTCBUY3311.9¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?YesResolved