trader profile

Cinibengales

0xa7d1ae08567d192db3c3cf1858c62c76dc8cb824
Open MV$56.2K2 positions
Open PnL-$482.4K-89.6% on basis
Realized PnL-$216.6K9 closed
Hit rate22%Wilson lower 6%
Volume observed$598.4K86 trades · 11 markets
Current rank—last trade 6d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yesin 24d1,737,71030.4¢2.8¢-90.9%$47.8K-$480.1K
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yesin 208d51,04320.9¢16.5¢-21.2%$8.4K-$2.3K

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Ira…Yes8,12553.6¢100.0¢+$3.8Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Ira…No63,74653.2¢0.0¢-$33.9Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes1,02639.0¢100.0¢+$626resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes97,26383.7¢100.0¢+$15.9Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes880,32313.3¢0.0¢-$117.0Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has be…Yes3712.0¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-04-14 00:00 UTC
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 20…Yes3326.0¢0.0¢-$20resolution2026-04-12 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes364,12920.0¢0.0¢-$72.8Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes243,9155.4¢0.0¢-$13.1Kresolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes25914.4¢0.0¢-$37resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
10 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-30 16:25 UTCBUY1,02639.0¢Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?YesResolved
2026-04-12 16:33 UTCBUY1136.0¢Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-12 15:32 UTCBUY528.6¢Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-12 14:53 UTCBUY1595.1¢Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-11 12:40 UTCBUY3712.0¢Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broke…YesResolved
2026-04-11 12:19 UTCBUY85.0¢Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?YesResolved
2026-04-03 15:23 UTCBUY15,22686.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 15:01 UTCBUY7,66381.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:17 UTCBUY18,15983.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:16 UTCBUY1981.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:14 UTCBUY2883.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:14 UTCBUY13,40985.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:14 UTCBUY17,10784.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:13 UTCBUY17,46983.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-04-03 14:13 UTCBUY8,18482.0¢US forces enter Iran by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-31 20:26 UTCBUY34,0880.7¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-27 10:55 UTCBUY4,28624.0¢Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes
2026-03-27 10:54 UTCBUY200,0009.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-27 10:51 UTCBUY12,55716.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-27 10:50 UTCBUY100,00016.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-26 12:46 UTCBUY23,7440.8¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-26 12:44 UTCBUY100,0009.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-26 03:08 UTCBUY88619.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-21 18:31 UTCBUY100,00026.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-03-21 18:30 UTCBUY4,75112.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-20 10:24 UTCBUY2,89721.0¢Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes
2026-03-19 22:08 UTCBUY10,30620.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-19 10:58 UTCBUY31220.0¢Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes
2026-03-18 19:41 UTCBUY48,52128.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-03-18 19:37 UTCBUY34020.0¢Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes
2026-03-18 16:48 UTCBUY50,00028.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-03-18 10:24 UTCBUY96,21029.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-03-16 21:30 UTCBUY17,30924.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-15 19:52 UTCBUY7,92828.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-14 12:05 UTCBUY1973.6¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-14 12:04 UTCBUY38,39914.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-14 12:03 UTCBUY100,00014.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-13 16:26 UTCBUY56,96113.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-13 12:55 UTCBUY40,00025.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
2026-03-13 12:54 UTCBUY10,4524.7¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-13 11:55 UTCBUY64,29826.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-13 11:53 UTCBUY40,80314.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-13 11:52 UTCBUY116,75725.0¢US forces enter Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-13 05:33 UTCBUY74,63512.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-13 05:33 UTCBUY25,36512.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?YesResolved
2026-03-12 18:56 UTCBUY25914.4¢Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-12 18:41 UTCBUY99,9506.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-12 18:40 UTCBUY10,6605.8¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-12 18:40 UTCBUY89,3405.3¢Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?YesResolved
2026-03-12 17:17 UTCBUY66,83722.0¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes