trader profile

kinderSman

0xa6d9b55a6a3a54a9d50ca94c64f00af69c50fd2f
Open MV$291 positions
Open PnL+$00.1% on basis
Realized PnL+$6.4K42 closed
Hit rate93%Wilson lower 81%
Volume observed$307.1K267 trades · 56 markets
Current ranklast trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yesin 573d3096.7¢96.8¢+0.1%$29+$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-J…No98149.5¢100.0¢+$495resolution2026-06-02 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes50010.9¢40.0¢+$145trade2026-06-01 12:03 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2,94910.9¢31.1¢+$595trade2026-06-01 12:03 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes32510.9¢44.0¢+$108trade2026-06-01 12:03 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes1010.9¢49.0¢+$4trade2026-06-01 12:02 UTC
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31…Yes3,99698.9¢100.0¢+$43resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the…No60496.7¢98.7¢+$12trade2026-05-31 21:57 UTC
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes011.0¢9.0¢-$0trade2026-05-31 06:45 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No90096.4¢100.0¢+$32resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes6,84725.3¢25.0¢-$21trade2026-05-29 23:56 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes10,00025.3¢25.1¢-$22trade2026-05-29 23:54 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes29,01325.3¢25.1¢-$66trade2026-05-29 23:46 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes19,00025.3¢25.0¢-$60trade2026-05-29 23:43 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes10077.8¢88.0¢+$10trade2026-05-29 14:25 UTC
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25?No16,71099.2¢100.0¢+$136resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 on May 23?Yes1,00099.8¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 17?Yes1,00099.8¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-18 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on May 13?Yes1,00099.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 13?Yes1,00099.8¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes1,10853.4¢62.8¢+$104trade2026-05-12 20:51 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes1,30053.4¢65.0¢+$151trade2026-05-12 19:41 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes5,00053.4¢65.0¢+$579trade2026-05-12 19:40 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes9,00073.5¢86.0¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-05-12 19:39 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes1,72053.4¢66.8¢+$230trade2026-05-11 13:24 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes5,00073.5¢82.0¢+$425trade2026-05-11 13:23 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes66335.0¢42.0¢+$46trade2026-05-11 11:51 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?Yes70026.6¢99.9¢+$513trade2026-05-09 06:34 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No50085.4¢84.0¢-$7trade2026-05-08 05:15 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes71026.9¢28.0¢+$8trade2026-05-07 17:05 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes69539.7¢99.0¢+$413trade2026-05-07 15:27 UTC
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28…No5,04099.9¢100.0¢+$7resolution2026-05-05 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes50018.0¢0.0¢-$90resolution2026-05-05 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No10096.4¢96.9¢+$1trade2026-05-04 15:58 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 3?Yes67199.9¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-04 00:00 UTC
Will Williams Companies (WMB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes15599.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-04 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?Yes20099.0¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-03 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 30?Yes20099.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-01 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No6,81680.8¢100.0¢+$1.3Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?Yes64280.4¢0.0¢-$516resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at…Yes16099.8¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase…No2,69999.7¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the…Yes15,00099.9¢100.0¢+$15resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on April 28?Yes20097.7¢100.0¢+$5resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 21…Yes2,39999.7¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-04-28 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 21-27?Yes19,74697.6¢100.0¢+$473resolution2026-04-28 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No24981.7¢100.0¢+$46resolution2026-04-27 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes2024.0¢10.0¢-$3trade2026-04-26 19:28 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?No20096.0¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-04-26 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Yes40069.0¢32.0¢-$148trade2026-04-25 15:30 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?No5181.7¢89.0¢+$4trade2026-04-25 15:27 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 11:45 UTCSELL093.0¢New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No
2026-06-02 05:18 UTCBUY10,00099.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:03 UTCSELL50040.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:03 UTCSELL2,94931.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:03 UTCSELL32544.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCSELL1049.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 11:47 UTCBUY23354.9¢Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?NoResolved
2026-06-01 11:13 UTCBUY1,50075.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 10:46 UTCBUY1,00076.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 09:26 UTCBUY29238.6¢Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?NoResolved
2026-06-01 08:16 UTCBUY2,07273.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 07:09 UTCSELL49599.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on June 1?YesResolved
2026-06-01 07:06 UTCBUY58172.4¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 07:06 UTCBUY1,8137.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 06:06 UTCBUY45653.6¢Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?NoResolved
2026-06-01 03:28 UTCBUY2,77373.6¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 21:57 UTCSELL1,17798.7¢Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the June Me…No
2026-05-31 21:40 UTCBUY1,00070.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 21:38 UTCBUY4,00070.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 21:36 UTCSELL2,00099.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-31 13:12 UTCBUY1,10710.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 12:26 UTCBUY1,27174.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 09:04 UTCBUY1,96476.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 06:45 UTCSELL09.0¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-31 06:42 UTCSELL3,30245.0¢Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 202…Yes
2026-05-31 06:30 UTCBUY32,08575.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 21:05 UTCBUY1,41873.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 20:13 UTCBUY1,48474.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 15:12 UTCBUY1,00073.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 13:05 UTCBUY70010.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-30 09:47 UTCBUY1,00017.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 23:56 UTCSELL10,00025.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 23:54 UTCSELL10,00025.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 23:46 UTCSELL29,01325.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 23:43 UTCSELL19,00025.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-29 23:24 UTCBUY26,40074.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-05-29 14:25 UTCSELL10088.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 05:34 UTCBUY2348.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-28 05:11 UTCBUY86248.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 19:15 UTCBUY44550.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 19:14 UTCBUY10050.1¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 19:09 UTCBUY10049.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 18:59 UTCBUY50048.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 18:56 UTCBUY26050.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 18:42 UTCBUY8050.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 18:42 UTCBUY60049.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 18:26 UTCBUY20040.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 15:47 UTCBUY43039.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 13:37 UTCBUY66039.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-27 13:37 UTCBUY50039.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Yes