trader profile

0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395

0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0
Open MV$284.7K5 positions
Open PnL+$2.8K1.0% on basis
Realized PnL+$5.6K8 closed
Hit rate63%Wilson lower 31%
Volume observed$10.13M60 trades · 15 markets
Current rank#22 · 30dlast trade 1d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Noin 208d311,36584.4¢85.5¢+1.3%$266.2K+$3.4K
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?Noin 208d6,37699.8¢98.6¢-1.2%$6.3K-$77
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Noin 208d6,72999.1¢93.3¢-5.8%$6.3K-$389
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yesin 208d4,35388.1¢86.5¢-1.8%$3.8K-$71
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Noin 208d2,28097.4¢96.5¢-0.9%$2.2K-$21

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?Yes1,664,73999.9¢100.0¢+$1.9Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes80,81877.0¢70.5¢-$5.2Ktrade2026-06-01 12:26 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?Yes14,81599.6¢100.0¢+$56resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes16,0317.6¢0.0¢-$1.2Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes4,03899.8¢100.0¢+$8resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No453,96299.1¢100.0¢+$3.9Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?Yes35622.4¢0.0¢-$80resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?No3,812,82799.8¢100.0¢+$6.2Kresolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
8 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-04 19:23 UTCBUY7,85198.6¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-06-04 19:23 UTCBUY53,33799.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY20,07585.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY3285.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY98985.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY46285.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY15,65085.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-04 00:47 UTCBUY72,00985.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-06-02 16:04 UTCBUY26,93899.3¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-02 01:27 UTCBUY797,89999.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 17:08 UTCBUY246,53499.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 17:08 UTCBUY2,372,30299.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 16:15 UTCBUY4,35388.1¢Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes
2026-06-01 12:49 UTCBUY16,48119.8¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:46 UTCBUY10,19519.7¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:34 UTCBUY8820.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:31 UTCBUY11,71719.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:30 UTCBUY11,32419.9¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:30 UTCBUY16,43419.2¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No
2026-06-01 12:26 UTCSELL80,81870.5¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 12:11 UTCBUY159,17577.0¢MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 00:24 UTCBUY209,67078.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No
2026-05-31 23:29 UTCBUY5,91097.9¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-05-28 22:51 UTCBUY16,84197.7¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-05-22 14:36 UTCBUY69299.4¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-22 02:11 UTCBUY229,06599.5¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-19 20:08 UTCBUY57,88499.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-18 17:49 UTCBUY6,37699.8¢Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No
2026-05-18 17:48 UTCBUY10099.0¢Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No
2026-05-18 17:48 UTCBUY2,18097.4¢Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?No
2026-05-18 17:47 UTCBUY4,25299.9¢Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No
2026-05-18 17:47 UTCBUY2,47797.7¢Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No
2026-05-18 03:03 UTCBUY10028.7¢Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?YesResolved
2026-05-18 03:02 UTCBUY25620.0¢Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?YesResolved
2026-05-17 22:19 UTCBUY76,43799.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-15 22:47 UTCBUY31,69999.5¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-12 11:59 UTCBUY10,10298.4¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-10 17:40 UTCBUY20,73597.9¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-10 00:51 UTCBUY1,1117.3¢Epstein suicide note released by May 8?YesResolved
2026-05-10 00:51 UTCBUY14,9207.6¢Epstein suicide note released by May 8?YesResolved
2026-05-08 23:15 UTCBUY117,04884.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-05-08 23:15 UTCBUY44,08083.6¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
2026-05-08 23:14 UTCBUY27,34897.7¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-08 23:14 UTCBUY29,35094.4¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-05-08 23:14 UTCBUY37,56095.0¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-05-08 13:12 UTCBUY4,03899.8¢Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?YesResolved
2026-05-08 13:11 UTCBUY14,81599.6¢Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?YesResolved
2026-05-01 00:00 UTCBUY2,73599.9¢US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-30 23:41 UTCBUY2,099,00099.9¢US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?NoResolved
2026-04-30 23:40 UTCBUY100,00099.9¢Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?YesResolved