trader profile
anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
Open MV$00 positions
Open PnL$0—
Realized PnL-$6.3K63 closed
Hit rate49%Wilson lower 37%
Volume observed$1.32M251 trades · 94 markets
Current rank—last trade 1d ago
Open book
Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
No open positions — fully flat right now.
Realized history
Closed positions via avg-cost matching
| Market · Outcome | Qty | Avg cost | Avg exit | Realized | Via | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | 772 | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$178 | resolution | 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes | 4,394 | 77.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.0K | resolution | 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | 30 | 2.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No | 8 | 99.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$0 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?Yes | 88 | 82.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$16 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No | 3,511 | 98.4¢ | 100.0¢ | +$56 | resolution | 2026-06-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | 23,020 | 4.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.1K | resolution | 2026-06-04 04:08 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | 15,727 | 55.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8.8K | resolution | 2026-06-04 04:08 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | 7,054 | 97.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$169 | resolution | 2026-06-04 04:08 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | 13,068 | 39.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$7.9K | resolution | 2026-06-04 04:08 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…Yes | 66 | 7.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?No | 115 | 94.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$6 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?Yes | 120 | 6.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$8 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | 5 | 81.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | 200 | 94.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$189 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | 5,892 | 37.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$2.2K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Netanyahu out by May 31?No | 2,859 | 99.6¢ | 100.0¢ | +$12 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | 5,299 | 57.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2.3K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | 10,793 | 17.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.8K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No | 2,365 | 50.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.2K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | 5,082 | 41.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.0K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | 5,902 | 8.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$472 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…No | 2,010 | 75.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1.5K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?Yes | 4,643 | 3.1¢ | 0.0¢ | -$144 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes | 876 | 17.7¢ | 0.0¢ | -$155 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran leadership change by May 31?No | 5,054 | 70.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.5K | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No | 20 | 95.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…Yes | 1,857 | 28.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$520 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May…Yes | 2,713 | 97.5¢ | 100.0¢ | +$68 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…No | 8,877 | 95.9¢ | 100.0¢ | +$367 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No | 8,347 | 92.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$648 | resolution | 2026-05-31 00:00 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes | 16 | 20.8¢ | 0.0¢ | -$3 | resolution | 2026-05-27 00:00 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes | 665 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$22 | resolution | 2026-05-24 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?Yes | 878 | 4.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$43 | resolution | 2026-05-22 00:00 UTC |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21?Yes | 769 | 15.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$115 | resolution | 2026-05-21 00:00 UTC |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | 5,758 | 80.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.2K | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | 6,092 | 95.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$261 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?Yes | 60 | 41.9¢ | 0.0¢ | -$25 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | 55 | 2.2¢ | 0.0¢ | -$1 | resolution | 2026-05-15 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | 650 | 97.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$15 | resolution | 2026-05-13 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes | 60 | 28.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$17 | resolution | 2026-05-05 00:00 UTC |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | 5 | 69.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$2 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | 8,361 | 92.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$613 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 3…Yes | 70 | 10.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$7 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | 11,632 | 44.5¢ | 0.0¢ | -$5.2K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes | 7,121 | 3.3¢ | 0.0¢ | -$232 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes | 960 | 52.0¢ | 0.0¢ | -$499 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | 14,586 | 79.7¢ | 100.0¢ | +$3.0K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | 8,389 | 87.0¢ | 100.0¢ | +$1.1K | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | 8,228 | 97.2¢ | 100.0¢ | +$230 | resolution | 2026-04-30 00:00 UTC |
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