trader profile

LlamaLoco0000

0x93fb8127a1b21a112b11af936361225df0563e4a
Open MV$456.7K51 positions
Open PnL-$129.3K-22.1% on basis
Realized PnL+$14445 closed
Hit rate33%Wilson lower 21%
Volume observed$621.9K359 trades · 110 markets
Current rank#45 · 30dlast trade 5h 18m ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yesin 208d322,11121.4¢20.5¢-4.4%$66.0K-$3.0K
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d176,19325.0¢34.0¢+36.1%$59.9K+$15.9K
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yesin 208d303,57628.7¢12.5¢-56.5%$37.9K-$49.3K
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yesin 25d50,82422.2¢61.9¢+179.0%$31.5K+$20.2K
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d150,23120.0¢17.5¢-12.6%$26.3K-$3.8K
China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yesin 208d216,20313.6¢9.5¢-30.0%$20.5K-$8.8K
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian preside…Yesin 1d49,69223.7¢40.3¢+69.8%$20.0K+$8.2K
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d23,68865.4¢73.5¢+12.4%$17.4K+$1.9K
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yesin 25d43,77914.4¢38.9¢+170.3%$17.0K+$10.7K
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yesin 208d122,77516.8¢13.5¢-19.8%$16.6K-$4.1K
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yesin 25d60,9027.6¢25.9¢+238.5%$15.7K+$11.1K
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?Yesin 25d126,2348.4¢11.8¢+41.6%$15.0K+$4.4K
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d80,60323.2¢17.0¢-26.7%$13.7K-$5.0K
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yesin 25d66,2627.6¢17.2¢+127.8%$11.4K+$6.4K
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yesin 208d16,58257.5¢61.0¢+6.0%$10.1K+$576
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential el…Yesin 328d67,4009.1¢12.5¢+36.9%$8.4K+$2.3K
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yesin 208d69,95513.8¢10.5¢-24.2%$7.3K-$2.3K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yesin 24d286,12412.9¢2.1¢-84.1%$5.9K-$31.0K
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d50,00011.2¢11.3¢+0.4%$5.6K+$25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?Yesin 24d434,7667.7¢1.3¢-83.8%$5.4K-$28.2K
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Yesin 208d10,98039.4¢47.5¢+20.6%$5.2K+$892
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yesin 24d265,68813.5¢1.9¢-85.6%$5.2K-$30.8K
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yesin 25d45,1504.2¢11.5¢+169.9%$5.2K+$3.3K
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yesin 209d8,05849.8¢62.5¢+25.5%$5.0K+$1.0K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yesin 24d334,2937.7¢1.4¢-81.8%$4.7K-$21.0K
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d129,4657.2¢2.9¢-60.0%$3.8K-$5.6K
NATO article 5 before 2027?Yesin 208d28,41014.0¢8.5¢-39.3%$2.4K-$1.6K
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yesin 208d4,06741.9¢45.5¢+8.5%$1.9K+$146
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yesin 208d16,88620.6¢9.9¢-51.9%$1.7K-$1.8K
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yesin 24d126,4317.7¢1.1¢-85.0%$1.5K-$8.2K
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yesin 24d45,64517.6¢2.6¢-85.2%$1.2K-$6.8K
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yesin 24d10,33332.9¢10.5¢-68.1%$1.1K-$2.3K
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d8,37319.1¢12.0¢-37.1%$1.0K-$592
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yesin 147d3,21621.3¢26.1¢+22.1%$838+$152
X banned in any European country by December 31?Yesin 208d2,46521.2¢31.0¢+46.0%$764+$241
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in June?Yesin 25d4,6755.0¢11.0¢+120.0%$514+$281
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yesin 208d6,6107.0¢6.2¢-11.4%$410-$53
Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by…Yesin 208d2,5159.2¢14.5¢+57.7%$365+$133
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yesin 44d3,3977.3¢9.7¢+32.2%$328+$80
Russian strike on Poland by June 30?Yesin 24d26,5654.1¢1.2¢-70.7%$319-$768
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?Yesin 7d1,39222.0¢22.5¢+2.3%$313+$7
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Noin 43d2,50059.7¢11.5¢-80.7%$288-$1.2K
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d2,72516.0¢7.5¢-53.2%$204-$232
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d2,32122.9¢8.5¢-63.0%$197-$335
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 8,000 in 2026?Yesin 209d59024.8¢29.5¢+18.9%$174+$28
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?Yesin 25d7995.9¢16.0¢+170.7%$128+$81
Trump out as President by June 30?Yesin 24d8,9166.0¢1.1¢-80.8%$103-$432
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yesin 147d3873.4¢22.1¢+557.4%$86+$73
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yesin 208d31614.0¢15.5¢+10.7%$49+$5
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yesin 208d6908.8¢6.5¢-26.4%$45-$16
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?Yesin 25d5012.0¢36.5¢+204.2%$18+$12

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?Yes20,0956.0¢0.0¢-$1.2Kresolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes10,00035.5¢89.0¢+$5.4Ktrade2026-06-05 14:35 UTC
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes15,36535.5¢94.0¢+$9.0Ktrade2026-06-05 14:33 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No12,50082.0¢95.0¢+$1.6Ktrade2026-06-03 05:30 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?Yes179,0014.4¢0.0¢-$7.8Kresolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?Yes6002.1¢0.0¢-$13resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by…No9177.6¢100.0¢+$20resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?Yes47,2723.4¢0.0¢-$1.6Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes16,98932.7¢16.2¢-$2.8Ktrade2026-05-29 04:39 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No14,68655.6¢100.0¢+$6.5Kresolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?No65510.0¢94.6¢+$554trade2026-05-25 23:15 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?No19912.0¢93.0¢+$162trade2026-05-25 23:04 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No25,17255.6¢91.0¢+$8.9Ktrade2026-05-25 02:51 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?Yes6,00026.0¢0.0¢-$1.6Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes1,53032.7¢39.0¢+$97trade2026-05-14 01:43 UTC
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes6,47232.7¢45.0¢+$799trade2026-05-13 21:11 UTC
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League fin…Yes4,14451.0¢0.0¢-$2.1Kresolution2026-05-07 00:00 UTC
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions…No1,56049.4¢0.0¢-$771resolution2026-05-07 00:00 UTC
Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2941.1¢0.5¢-$2trade2026-05-05 20:31 UTC
Trump out as President by April 30?Yes12,0531.5¢0.0¢-$176resolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes32,14857.3¢100.0¢+$13.7Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?Yes9,26818.8¢0.0¢-$1.7Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?Yes14,10118.6¢0.0¢-$2.6Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidentia…Yes3466.4¢8.0¢+$5trade2026-04-28 22:05 UTC
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential elect…Yes1,3320.7¢0.6¢-$1trade2026-04-28 22:03 UTC
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian pre…No20,26666.9¢66.8¢-$20trade2026-04-28 13:55 UTC
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes5,51098.8¢98.5¢-$17trade2026-04-28 12:46 UTC
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes19,49098.8¢98.5¢-$59trade2026-04-28 12:45 UTC
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes5,00019.0¢20.0¢+$50trade2026-04-22 02:07 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes1,25020.8¢91.0¢+$877trade2026-04-21 20:12 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?Yes6,7726.0¢0.0¢-$406resolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?Yes2,44527.0¢0.0¢-$660resolution2026-04-19 00:00 UTC
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München2,45743.0¢0.0¢-$1.1Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?Yes99845.4¢0.0¢-$453resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?Yes2,45844.0¢100.0¢+$1.4Kresolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes1,67835.7¢12.6¢-$388trade2026-04-14 18:56 UTC
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes1,32235.7¢19.0¢-$221trade2026-04-14 15:15 UTC
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…Yes41335.7¢18.0¢-$73trade2026-04-14 14:15 UTC
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?Yes2,4273.0¢0.0¢-$73resolution2026-04-14 00:00 UTC
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA W…Yes1,25022.0¢100.0¢+$975resolution2026-04-12 00:00 UTC
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes2,4318.0¢0.0¢-$194resolution2026-04-11 00:00 UTC
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?Yes4,91241.0¢100.0¢+$2.9Kresolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No22,00092.0¢0.0¢-$20.2Kresolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)FC Bayern München2,44526.0¢0.0¢-$636resolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)FC Bayern München55514.0¢0.0¢-$78resolution2026-04-07 00:00 UTC
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-04?Yes1,25054.0¢0.0¢-$675resolution2026-04-04 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?Yes4,87092.0¢0.0¢-$4.5Kresolution2026-04-01 00:00 UTC
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?Yes24913.0¢0.0¢-$32resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes5,19915.0¢0.0¢-$780resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31?Yes2415.0¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-03-31 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-05 18:23 UTCBUY5,92612.0¢Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential electi…Yes
2026-06-05 16:17 UTCBUY9659.0¢China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes
2026-06-05 16:16 UTCBUY8720.0¢China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes
2026-06-05 14:35 UTCSELL10,00089.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-05 14:33 UTCSELL15,36594.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-05 05:13 UTCBUY37,07620.0¢Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 04:25 UTCBUY3,88927.0¢Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-05 03:52 UTCBUY4097.0¢Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $330 in June?Yes
2026-06-05 03:51 UTCBUY5012.0¢Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $540 in June?Yes
2026-06-05 03:51 UTCBUY1,2315.0¢Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $500 in June?Yes
2026-06-05 03:49 UTCBUY79855.9¢Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Yes
2026-06-04 03:00 UTCBUY81611.0¢Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by Dec…Yes
2026-06-03 23:13 UTCBUY5,4215.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 23:12 UTCBUY36,3408.8¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 20:55 UTCBUY36,83926.0¢Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 14:10 UTCBUY1,73619.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 14:10 UTCBUY4,76212.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 14:10 UTCBUY20,8907.8¢Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 14:10 UTCBUY2,0305.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 14:10 UTCBUY2,2283.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 06:26 UTCBUY6,76234.2¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 06:18 UTCBUY5,16414.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 06:17 UTCBUY7,78221.6¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 06:16 UTCBUY4,50534.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:59 UTCBUY9857.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:58 UTCBUY3,4276.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:58 UTCBUY7,59820.8¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:58 UTCBUY6,95533.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:38 UTCBUY2,4686.6¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:38 UTCBUY6,6587.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:38 UTCBUY2,37112.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:32 UTCBUY36422.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:32 UTCBUY1,00535.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:32 UTCBUY1,41227.0¢Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-03 05:30 UTCSELL12,50095.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No
2026-06-03 05:14 UTCBUY2,37412.1¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:14 UTCBUY2,51520.3¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:14 UTCBUY7,75334.4¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:06 UTCBUY1,29935.6¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:05 UTCBUY4,70835.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:05 UTCBUY8,43414.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:05 UTCBUY9,11235.9¢Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 05:04 UTCBUY6,26121.3¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:52 UTCBUY5,98623.2¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:52 UTCBUY3,03614.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:18 UTCBUY18,1144.5¢Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:17 UTCBUY7,5957.0¢Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:17 UTCBUY20,4077.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:17 UTCBUY10,49014.7¢Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?Yes
2026-06-03 04:17 UTCBUY2,84023.6¢Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?Yes