trader profile

Dafu0715

0x93511d72d294f1478739bc38f578bf0306fd9e4d
Open MV$435.2K14 positions
Open PnL+$4.4K1.0% on basis
Realized PnL-$12.3K82 closed
Hit rate76%Wilson lower 65%
Volume observed$4.68M1,316 trades · 141 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the Jun…Yesin 11d78,19597.5¢98.3¢+0.7%$76.8K+$560
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions…Yesin 11d60,00098.0¢98.2¢+0.2%$58.9K+$144
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 3…Noin 24d60,00094.6¢97.3¢+2.8%$58.4K+$1.6K
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of H…Noin 24d54,80594.7¢97.5¢+3.0%$53.5K+$1.5K
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Noin 24d42,60398.0¢98.0¢+0.1%$41.8K+$25
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?Noin 24d42,17297.9¢97.8¢-0.1%$41.2K-$39
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?Noin 24d29,87296.9¢97.9¢+0.9%$29.2K+$273
Netanyahu out by June 30?Noin 24d22,67497.4¢97.8¢+0.3%$22.2K+$71
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Noin 24d21,64997.8¢97.8¢-0.1%$21.2K-$19
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Noin 11d12,83598.6¢98.7¢+0.1%$12.7K+$10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Noin 24d8,57197.4¢98.5¢+1.0%$8.4K+$87
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Noin 24d4,53197.5¢97.7¢+0.2%$4.4K+$8
Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?Noin 24d3,47297.2¢98.7¢+1.5%$3.4K+$52
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?Noin 24d3,14397.0¢98.5¢+1.5%$3.1K+$47

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?No10,26699.2¢100.0¢+$83resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?No10,81199.9¢100.0¢+$11resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…No2,76697.7¢99.9¢+$61trade2026-06-01 02:22 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…No15,20097.7¢99.9¢+$336trade2026-06-01 02:19 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No1591.4¢99.9¢+$1trade2026-06-01 01:48 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No18,69291.4¢99.9¢+$1.6Ktrade2026-06-01 01:48 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…No30497.7¢99.9¢+$7trade2026-06-01 01:36 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait…No30,25097.7¢99.9¢+$668trade2026-06-01 01:36 UTC
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait o…No20098.4¢99.9¢+$3trade2026-06-01 01:33 UTC
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz b…No2,99898.5¢99.9¢+$43trade2026-06-01 01:33 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by Ma…No1,03797.4¢99.9¢+$26trade2026-06-01 01:32 UTC
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidentia…No19198.0¢99.9¢+$4trade2026-06-01 01:19 UTC
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?No33,93499.2¢100.0¢+$266resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes74665.5¢73.0¢+$56trade2026-05-28 13:54 UTC
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes1,00065.5¢75.2¢+$97trade2026-05-28 13:46 UTC
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes13865.5¢76.2¢+$15trade2026-05-28 13:45 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ma…No84,48196.3¢99.3¢+$2.5Ktrade2026-05-27 18:30 UTC
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz b…No3,89598.5¢99.5¢+$39trade2026-05-27 18:29 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No20090.8¢92.4¢+$3trade2026-05-26 14:46 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No80490.8¢92.6¢+$15trade2026-05-26 09:03 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No94290.8¢92.7¢+$18trade2026-05-26 08:25 UTC
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No76296.9¢97.2¢+$3trade2026-05-26 07:40 UTC
SAVE Act becomes law by May 31, 2026?No51698.7¢99.3¢+$3trade2026-05-26 04:06 UTC
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz b…No1,39498.2¢99.4¢+$17trade2026-05-26 04:04 UTC
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presiden…No4,80598.5¢98.9¢+$17trade2026-05-26 03:58 UTC
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Horm…No85098.9¢99.6¢+$6trade2026-05-26 03:58 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No44,30498.4¢92.1¢-$2.8Ktrade2026-05-25 09:40 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No7898.4¢94.2¢-$3trade2026-05-25 09:10 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No19898.4¢95.4¢-$6trade2026-05-25 06:40 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No11794.9¢82.5¢-$14trade2026-05-25 06:40 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No4590.8¢90.6¢-$0trade2026-05-25 06:10 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No894.9¢82.0¢-$1trade2026-05-25 05:40 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No2,28994.9¢83.5¢-$261trade2026-05-25 05:10 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No12594.9¢83.6¢-$14trade2026-05-25 04:40 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No42590.8¢92.0¢+$5trade2026-05-25 04:40 UTC
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No6794.9¢83.8¢-$7trade2026-05-25 04:10 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No26790.8¢92.3¢+$4trade2026-05-25 04:10 UTC
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No10090.8¢93.2¢+$2trade2026-05-25 03:52 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No13,78667.4¢88.0¢+$2.8Ktrade2026-05-24 19:30 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 19:30 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No867.4¢89.0¢+$2trade2026-05-24 19:29 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No1,72067.4¢89.0¢+$372trade2026-05-24 19:27 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 19:25 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 19:25 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 19:24 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 19:11 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 18:58 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No20,00067.4¢88.0¢+$4.1Ktrade2026-05-24 18:57 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No10,00067.4¢88.0¢+$2.1Ktrade2026-05-24 18:39 UTC
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz b…No21098.4¢91.7¢-$14trade2026-05-24 11:30 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 08:40 UTCBUY797.5¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 08:10 UTCBUY8,47999.2¢Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential ele…No
2026-06-01 08:10 UTCBUY1796.8¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-01 08:10 UTCBUY16097.0¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 08:06 UTCBUY42,25598.0¢Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY9,57698.6¢Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY26797.9¢Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY60798.0¢Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY47297.6¢Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY1599.2¢Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY2,07399.2¢Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY7697.8¢Netanyahu out by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY42497.9¢Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY71298.3¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY95098.0¢Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY33797.6¢Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY596.7¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY20096.9¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 07:45 UTCBUY10,00097.9¢Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:40 UTCBUY8,24197.5¢Netanyahu out by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:40 UTCBUY37596.6¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:40 UTCBUY2996.5¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 07:10 UTCBUY10599.6¢Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Kore…YesResolved
2026-06-01 07:10 UTCBUY2,71097.4¢Netanyahu out by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:10 UTCBUY20097.5¢Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:10 UTCBUY5296.5¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-01 07:10 UTCBUY596.4¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 06:58 UTCBUY697.5¢Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY1,06498.5¢Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY5197.5¢Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY9599.3¢Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean loc…NoResolved
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY10099.3¢Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Kore…YesResolved
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY37197.2¢Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY10,00097.4¢Netanyahu out by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY46397.3¢Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY14297.0¢Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY5696.5¢Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:40 UTCBUY10095.8¢Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormu…No
2026-06-01 06:36 UTCBUY2,22696.8¢Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:35 UTCBUY10,83997.5¢Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:34 UTCBUY7,74996.0¢Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY13198.4¢Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY54697.0¢Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY5,08499.2¢Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean loc…NoResolved
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY11699.1¢Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Kore…YesResolved
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY4397.1¢Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY18094.3¢Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY1597.8¢Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY59897.2¢Netanyahu out by June 30?No
2026-06-01 06:10 UTCBUY32196.8¢Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No