trader profile

back-in-whack

0x5235578efe24555b0c98e7dc10a902b09089c04a
Open MV$167.0K17 positions
Open PnL+$35.3K26.8% on basis
Realized PnL+$3829 closed
Hit rate44%Wilson lower 19%
Volume observed$60.9K240 trades · 15 markets
Current rank—last trade 4d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Noin 24d135,63164.8¢82.5¢+27.3%$111.9K+$24.0K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Noin 55d53,46741.8¢62.0¢+48.2%$33.1K+$10.8K
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Noin 208d10,39367.1¢96.8¢+44.2%$10.1K+$3.1K
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Noin 208d3,55095.7¢98.0¢+2.4%$3.5K+$82
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Noin 208d3,24975.9¢93.5¢+23.2%$3.0K+$571
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yesin 208d17,10717.1¢14.5¢-15.3%$2.5K-$449
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d7,91236.0¢14.5¢-59.7%$1.1K-$1.7K
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Noin 209d60983.9¢89.0¢+6.0%$542+$31
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d2,29423.4¢15.5¢-33.6%$356-$180
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d8,6098.9¢3.5¢-61.2%$297-$469
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d4,03316.7¢6.0¢-64.2%$242-$434
Fed rate hike in 2026?Yesin 186d45125.7¢35.0¢+36.4%$158+$42
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presi…Yesin 120d30045.0¢40.5¢-10.0%$122-$14
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?Noin 209d5653.4¢84.5¢+58.1%$47+$17
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yesin 24d6963.0¢15.0¢-76.2%$10-$33
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d2514.0¢8.5¢-39.3%$2-$1
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yesin 209d137.8¢29.5¢-22.0%$0-$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…No2,00070.3¢84.0¢+$274trade2026-06-01 15:40 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No64147.2¢61.0¢+$88trade2026-06-01 15:34 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No29347.2¢62.0¢+$43trade2026-06-01 15:31 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian p…Yes30082.0¢80.0¢-$6trade2026-06-01 01:20 UTC
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?Yes4421.2¢0.0¢-$5resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…Yes12927.5¢17.0¢-$14trade2026-05-31 23:32 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…Yes19427.5¢16.0¢-$22trade2026-05-31 23:30 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…Yes2027.5¢17.0¢-$2trade2026-05-31 23:30 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian p…Yes30079.9¢77.0¢-$9trade2026-05-31 23:20 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…Yes3927.5¢21.0¢-$3trade2026-05-31 23:12 UTC
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presiden…Yes5930.2¢19.0¢-$7trade2026-05-31 22:58 UTC
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the fir…Yes112.8¢1.2¢-$0trade2026-05-31 22:26 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes1084.8¢97.1¢+$1trade2026-05-31 22:09 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes4723.8¢25.0¢+$1trade2026-05-31 21:16 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes26623.8¢25.0¢+$3trade2026-05-31 21:15 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes6023.8¢25.0¢+$1trade2026-05-31 21:04 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes1323.8¢25.2¢+$0trade2026-05-31 21:04 UTC
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the fir…Yes6812.8¢8.0¢-$3trade2026-05-31 21:03 UTC
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the fir…Yes13312.8¢8.1¢-$6trade2026-05-31 21:00 UTC
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the fir…Yes7612.8¢8.5¢-$3trade2026-05-31 20:55 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No3024.6¢19.0¢-$2trade2026-05-31 18:18 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes3324.6¢15.6¢-$3trade2026-05-31 17:25 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the…Yes1224.6¢17.0¢-$1trade2026-05-31 17:25 UTC
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian p…Yes26570.0¢68.0¢-$5trade2026-05-31 17:19 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No5524.6¢22.0¢-$1trade2026-05-31 16:50 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No4324.6¢23.0¢-$1trade2026-05-31 15:44 UTC
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of t…Yes4818.6¢21.0¢+$1trade2026-05-31 14:51 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No7224.0¢22.0¢-$1trade2026-05-30 20:20 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No7024.0¢23.0¢-$1trade2026-05-30 03:45 UTC
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 C…No1324.0¢23.0¢-$0trade2026-05-30 03:43 UTC
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of Ju…No1,32061.1¢66.0¢+$64trade2026-05-29 21:51 UTC
31 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-01 16:55 UTCBUY61322.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 16:55 UTCBUY882.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 16:54 UTCBUY1,00020.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-01 16:47 UTCBUY1,38783.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 16:47 UTCBUY61382.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 16:27 UTCBUY80022.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 16:26 UTCBUY92119.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-01 16:26 UTCBUY1018.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-01 16:22 UTCBUY2,00082.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 16:18 UTCBUY80022.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 16:05 UTCBUY11622.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 16:04 UTCBUY38421.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 15:40 UTCSELL2,00084.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 15:38 UTCBUY80022.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 15:34 UTCSELL64161.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No
2026-06-01 15:31 UTCSELL29362.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No
2026-06-01 13:30 UTCBUY2,00076.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 13:27 UTCBUY28421.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 13:24 UTCBUY2,00076.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 13:14 UTCBUY2,00076.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 13:13 UTCBUY2,00076.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 13:11 UTCBUY2,00076.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCBUY24523.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCBUY11622.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 12:02 UTCBUY10821.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 11:44 UTCBUY2991.2¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…No
2026-06-01 11:25 UTCBUY3876.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 11:22 UTCBUY2521.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles…Yes
2026-06-01 08:22 UTCSELL38087.0¢Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYesResolved
2026-06-01 07:54 UTCSELL28585.0¢Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYesResolved
2026-06-01 07:54 UTCSELL21586.0¢Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYesResolved
2026-06-01 04:20 UTCBUY2,00074.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 04:03 UTCBUY1,20174.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 04:02 UTCBUY3473.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 03:10 UTCBUY2,00073.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 02:59 UTCBUY1,53073.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 02:34 UTCBUY1652.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No
2026-06-01 02:29 UTCBUY3722.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 02:28 UTCBUY1,01973.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No
2026-06-01 01:50 UTCSELL4599.3¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-06-01 01:30 UTCBUY66222.0¢Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes
2026-06-01 01:20 UTCSELL30080.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-06-01 01:17 UTCSELL20999.3¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-06-01 01:14 UTCSELL19899.3¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-06-01 01:10 UTCSELL30099.3¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-06-01 00:57 UTCBUY29782.0¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian president…Yes
2026-06-01 00:32 UTCSELL30099.3¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes
2026-06-01 00:11 UTCBUY90824.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-06-01 00:10 UTCBUY9123.0¢Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026…Yes
2026-05-31 23:56 UTCSELL30099.8¢Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Col…Yes