trader profile

AllByMyseIf

0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
Open MV$184.6K33 positions
Open PnL+$8.6K4.9% on basis
Realized PnL-$23.4K70 closed
Hit rate53%Wilson lower 41%
Volume observed$1.60M617 trades · 137 markets
Current ranklast trade 11d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Noin 126d76,19289.6¢91.5¢+2.1%$69.7K+$1.5K
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d61,94172.3¢82.5¢+14.2%$51.1K+$6.3K
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…No38,28879.3¢79.5¢+0.3%$30.4K+$85
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Noin 24d17,16298.0¢98.6¢+0.7%$16.9K+$111
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May…No4,93978.3¢98.2¢+25.4%$4.8K+$981
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle?Noin 208d2,72690.1¢95.3¢+5.8%$2.6K+$144
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Noin 208d1,87094.6¢96.6¢+2.1%$1.8K+$38
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Noin 25d2,47458.9¢63.4¢+7.7%$1.6K+$113
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Noin 9d1,17545.6¢81.0¢+77.9%$952+$417
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?Noin 24d2,63440.3¢33.0¢-18.2%$869-$193
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No1,78480.5¢26.5¢-67.1%$473-$963
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Noin 574d5,6366.5¢6.9¢+6.8%$389+$25
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?Yesin 25d2,60411.7¢14.0¢+19.4%$365+$59
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yesin 24d80031.0¢45.5¢+46.8%$364+$116
Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?Noin 24d33588.8¢96.8¢+9.0%$325+$27
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Yesin 208d14,3851.5¢2.1¢+36.7%$295+$79
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Noin 208d1,35824.0¢20.5¢-14.6%$278-$48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yesin 25d2,4427.0¢8.5¢+21.4%$208+$37
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Noin 208d20096.2¢98.0¢+1.8%$196+$4
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?Noin 208d17595.7¢98.6¢+3.0%$172+$5
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Noin 25d14067.0¢91.5¢+36.6%$128+$34
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yesin 24d42291.6¢28.4¢-69.0%$120-$267
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Noin 24d10890.0¢96.0¢+6.7%$104+$7
Will Waymo launch in London by June 30 2026?Noin 24d10797.0¢95.9¢-1.2%$103-$1
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026?Noin 24d8792.0¢94.5¢+2.7%$82+$2
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 3…Noin 209d10087.0¢80.5¢-7.5%$81-$7
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Noin 208d5470.8¢95.7¢+35.1%$52+$14
Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026?Noin 24d2098.0¢98.3¢+0.3%$20+$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes834.0¢86.5¢+154.4%$7+$4
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?Noin 24d597.6¢92.9¢-4.8%$5-$0
Trump out as President by June 30?Yesin 24d3314.8¢1.2¢-74.9%$4-$12
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Noin 208d291.5¢94.8¢+3.5%$1+$0
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?Yesin 24d3213.0¢4.0¢-69.6%$1-$3

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?No192,7092.8¢0.0¢-$5.4Kresolution2026-12-31 00:00 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?Yes1,13999.0¢100.0¢+$11resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes8,79752.4¢59.0¢+$584trade2026-05-25 17:07 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No5,54078.3¢93.0¢+$815trade2026-05-25 14:24 UTC
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by…No3,23978.8¢83.0¢+$136trade2026-05-25 14:18 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No25073.2¢98.7¢+$64trade2026-05-25 14:01 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes3,57570.4¢80.0¢+$343trade2026-05-24 14:01 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes8,53470.4¢81.0¢+$903trade2026-05-24 14:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes10,57123.8¢43.0¢+$2.0Ktrade2026-05-24 13:34 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes1,84637.7¢69.0¢+$578trade2026-05-23 23:48 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes10579.0¢94.0¢+$16trade2026-05-23 20:52 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes78,24240.2¢38.0¢-$1.7Ktrade2026-05-23 14:37 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes10,79813.5¢23.5¢+$1.1Ktrade2026-05-23 14:36 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No4,36310.4¢8.0¢-$106trade2026-05-23 13:45 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No10,99810.4¢8.0¢-$267trade2026-05-23 13:40 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?No650.3¢0.3¢$0trade2026-05-23 11:52 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No810.6¢10.0¢-$0trade2026-05-23 11:49 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes3,66691.6¢61.3¢-$1.1Ktrade2026-05-23 10:57 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?Yes4,07394.0¢32.4¢-$2.5Ktrade2026-05-23 09:24 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes1,09291.6¢61.1¢-$334trade2026-05-23 09:16 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes1,33891.6¢64.1¢-$369trade2026-05-23 09:15 UTC
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes18,55588.3¢99.7¢+$2.1Ktrade2026-05-23 09:09 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No3,99261.5¢10.0¢-$2.1Ktrade2026-05-22 21:47 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes1012.0¢25.0¢+$1trade2026-05-22 13:56 UTC
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes3257.8¢41.0¢-$5trade2026-05-21 19:57 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes9,37740.2¢33.0¢-$671trade2026-05-19 18:10 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes33,50020.3¢12.0¢-$2.8Ktrade2026-05-19 18:09 UTC
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?No3,47395.7¢99.8¢+$143trade2026-05-19 09:11 UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ETDown209.0¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ETUp1094.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes840.0¢50.0¢+$1trade2026-05-18 23:38 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes3,75440.2¢37.0¢-$118trade2026-05-18 22:03 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5…Yes58144.5¢11.0¢-$195trade2026-05-18 19:48 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5…Yes22944.5¢13.6¢-$71trade2026-05-18 17:43 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5…Yes23744.5¢18.1¢-$63trade2026-05-18 17:23 UTC
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May…Yes24212.0¢23.0¢+$27trade2026-05-18 11:40 UTC
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5…Yes1544.5¢29.0¢-$2trade2026-05-18 09:57 UTC
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by…No2293.0¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by…No6099.3¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-17 00:00 UTC
Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?Yes16,26982.9¢99.9¢+$2.8Ktrade2026-05-16 20:04 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes2,59126.0¢18.1¢-$204trade2026-05-16 11:43 UTC
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No1,68515.7¢0.5¢-$256trade2026-05-16 11:02 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes280,3380.1¢0.3¢+$561trade2026-05-15 17:37 UTC
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes5330.1¢0.5¢+$2trade2026-05-15 17:27 UTC
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?No9,02135.8¢0.0¢-$3.2Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…Yes6,4072.2¢0.0¢-$141resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes9,07636.6¢0.0¢-$3.3Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?No2,25498.5¢100.0¢+$34resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?Yes194,4769.4¢0.0¢-$18.3Kresolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States block…No1,20780.0¢100.0¢+$241resolution2026-05-15 00:00 UTC
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Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-05-25 17:07 UTCSELL13,84759.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes
2026-05-25 16:21 UTCBUY4,00012.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 16:21 UTCBUY5,05684.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-25 14:24 UTCSELL5,54093.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?No
2026-05-25 14:18 UTCSELL3,23983.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-25 14:01 UTCSELL25098.7¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-25 13:25 UTCBUY26,85110.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-25 00:24 UTCBUY39029.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-25 00:08 UTCBUY1,27539.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-25 00:03 UTCBUY32415.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-25 00:03 UTCBUY1,27714.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-25 00:00 UTCBUY52111.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-24 23:54 UTCBUY5468.0¢Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland Count…YesResolved
2026-05-24 22:30 UTCBUY25083.0¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-24 20:35 UTCBUY7,43486.9¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-24 20:29 UTCBUY64984.9¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-24 20:09 UTCBUY7,59810.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 19:51 UTCBUY27189.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-24 19:33 UTCBUY2,15272.1¢Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 18:50 UTCBUY1,71591.7¢Iran closes its airspace by May 24?NoResolved
2026-05-24 18:43 UTCBUY45379.3¢Iran closes its airspace by May 27?NoResolved
2026-05-24 18:18 UTCBUY10,06081.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-24 16:35 UTCBUY6,50277.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-24 16:02 UTCBUY11,13777.7¢Iran closes its airspace by May 31?NoResolved
2026-05-24 15:49 UTCBUY10,00015.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 15:11 UTCBUY4,62382.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?No
2026-05-24 15:08 UTCBUY3,07177.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-24 15:03 UTCBUY7,30499.5¢Will Trump attend his son's wedding?NoResolved
2026-05-24 14:55 UTCBUY4,76783.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?No
2026-05-24 14:55 UTCBUY3,60215.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:49 UTCBUY10,00019.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:31 UTCBUY2,80421.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:28 UTCBUY7,31921.6¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 14:27 UTCBUY4,82274.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No
2026-05-24 14:13 UTCBUY6,47726.8¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?No
2026-05-24 14:13 UTCBUY20054.0¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?No
2026-05-24 14:12 UTCBUY2,95464.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?No
2026-05-24 14:12 UTCBUY5,00780.9¢US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?No
2026-05-24 14:11 UTCBUY2,73941.0¢Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of t…NoResolved
2026-05-24 14:01 UTCSELL3,57580.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 14:00 UTCSELL8,53481.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 13:34 UTCSELL10,57143.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 11:27 UTCBUY9,67877.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes
2026-05-24 09:54 UTCBUY3,62024.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 09:24 UTCBUY3,13124.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 09:18 UTCBUY2,06424.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-24 08:35 UTCBUY25472.9¢US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?NoResolved
2026-05-23 23:48 UTCSELL1,84669.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved
2026-05-23 20:52 UTCSELL10594.0¢Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?YesResolved
2026-05-23 20:11 UTCBUY1,31640.0¢US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?YesResolved