trader profile

RisottoPasta

0x49f206f4fb2210a28af4795e4e0b6532cf0bd7b4
Open MV$6.5K51 positions
Open PnL+$3766.2% on basis
Realized PnL+$5.6K40 closed
Hit rate55%Wilson lower 40%
Volume observed$176.7K254 trades · 187 markets
Current rank—last trade 2d ago

Open book

Mark-to-market positions from data-api/positions
Market · OutcomeSizeAvg costCurrentΔ%MVPnL
GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchNoin 574d3,50034.4¢40.5¢+17.8%$1.4K+$214
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yesin 44d1,37672.0¢72.0¢0.0%$991$0
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yesin 574d1,10962.0¢69.5¢+12.1%$771+$83
Will GameStop acquire eBay?Noin 208d73683.0¢84.5¢+1.8%$622+$11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israe…Yesin 208d1,52036.0¢33.0¢-8.4%$502-$46
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yesin 19d65680.0¢76.5¢-4.4%$502-$23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yesin 208d1,45332.0¢29.5¢-7.9%$429-$37
Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?Noin 96d33994.6¢90.8¢-4.1%$307-$13
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?Noin 96d20595.2¢95.2¢-0.0%$195-$0
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final hal…Yesin 43d40011.4¢41.5¢+263.5%$166+$120
Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?No9408.9¢10.0¢+11.8%$94+$10
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?Yesin 573d3,8271.6¢2.1¢+26.7%$78+$17
Will any match last over 70 minutes at BLAST Slam VII?No25130.0¢26.0¢-13.3%$65-$10
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Noin 15d7091.0¢91.5¢+0.5%$64+$0
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 80% and 82.…Yesin 18d21010.0¢27.0¢+170.0%$57+$36
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the ne…Yes6049.7¢59.5¢+19.8%$36+$6
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes16917.0¢17.0¢0.0%$29$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?Yesin 573d1,5611.9¢1.8¢-9.6%$27-$3
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Noin 15d1994.1¢98.8¢+5.0%$19+$1
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?Yes4253.3¢3.9¢+16.7%$16+$2
Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in…Yesin 110d212.0¢47.3¢+2265.0%$10+$10
Will Aneesah Morrow have the highest rebounds per game in t…Yesin 110d212.0¢41.1¢+1957.5%$9+$8
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Noin 15d992.0¢94.8¢+3.1%$9+$0
Will AJ Dybantsa be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Dr…Noin 18d1083.0¢84.0¢+1.2%$8+$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yesin 208d1069.0¢72.5¢+5.1%$7+$0
Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?No597.9¢96.0¢-1.9%$5-$0
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Noin 208d593.7¢95.9¢+2.3%$5+$0
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Noin 208d588.0¢88.5¢+0.6%$4+$0
Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates se…Yesin 573d2502.8¢1.4¢-51.8%$3-$4
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yesin 208d550.0¢48.0¢-4.0%$2-$0
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?No2216.0¢8.0¢-50.0%$2-$2
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No358.6¢51.0¢-12.9%$1-$0
Will Taylor Ward lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular…Yesin 114d1002.7¢1.1¢-57.4%$1-$2
Will S.O.S. Romania (SOS) be included in the next Romanian…No189.0¢96.7¢+8.6%$1+$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presi…Noin 15d533.0¢19.5¢-40.9%$1-$1
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yesin 15d315.0¢16.5¢+10.0%$0+$0
Will Moises Ballesteros win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year…Yesin 196d282.0¢1.5¢-25.0%$0-$0
Will Napheesa Collier have the highest points per game in t…Yesin 110d212.0¢1.6¢-20.0%$0-$0
Will Chennedy Carter have the highest points per game in th…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Marina Mabrey have the highest points per game in the…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Brittney Sykes have the highest points per game in the…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Kelsey Mitchell have the highest points per game in th…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Allisha Gray have the highest points per game in the W…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Aliyah Boston have the highest points per game in the…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Breanna Stewart have the highest points per game in th…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in th…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Paige Bueckers have the highest points per game in the…Yesin 110d222.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Sonia Citron have the highest points per game in the W…Yesin 110d212.0¢1.4¢-32.5%$0-$0
Will Marshawn Lynch buy the Seattle Seahawks?Yesin 96d51.1¢4.7¢+322.7%$0+$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 20…No514.0¢4.3¢-69.6%$0-$0
Will Junior Caminero lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regu…Yesin 114d65.0¢1.2¢-76.0%$0-$0

Realized history

Closed positions via avg-cost matching
Market · OutcomeQtyAvg costAvg exitRealizedViaClosed
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No2,0004.7¢0.0¢-$93resolution2026-06-30 00:00 UTC
The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. CheddyJohn15166.0¢100.0¢+$51resolution2026-06-01 00:00 UTC
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes8,3820.2¢0.0¢-$17resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Juve Stabia achieve promotion from Serie B to Seri…Yes503.0¢0.0¢-$1resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No6,55471.8¢0.0¢-$4.7Kresolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie…Yes19562.0¢100.0¢+$74resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Frosinone achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie…No835.0¢0.0¢-$4resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?No2387.7¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes45021.0¢0.0¢-$95resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Juve Stabia achieve promotion from Serie B to Seri…No15092.0¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Palermo achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A…No6968.3¢100.0¢+$22resolution2026-05-31 00:00 UTC
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?Yes1,43299.2¢100.0¢+$12resolution2026-05-30 00:00 UTC
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA6149.0¢100.0¢+$31resolution2026-05-29 00:00 UTC
Will AutoZone Q3 domestic same store sales growth be be…No8683.8¢100.0¢+$14resolution2026-05-26 00:00 UTC
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora25040.0¢41.0¢+$3trade2026-05-24 18:09 UTC
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora14,75040.0¢100.0¢+$8.8Kresolution2026-05-24 00:00 UTC
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?No109.9¢96.0¢+$9trade2026-05-23 23:51 UTC
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes2520.2¢5.1¢+$12trade2026-05-23 13:09 UTC
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Under3040.0¢0.0¢-$12resolution2026-05-21 00:00 UTC
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION3058.0¢0.0¢-$18resolution2026-05-19 00:00 UTC
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox4,00050.0¢86.0¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-05-14 01:16 UTC
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?No4,00021.0¢0.0¢-$840resolution2026-05-14 00:00 UTC
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?No2,70851.0¢100.0¢+$1.3Kresolution2026-05-13 00:00 UTC
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Lakers4,00047.0¢43.0¢-$160trade2026-05-11 19:59 UTC
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex47064.0¢66.0¢+$9trade2026-05-10 07:29 UTC
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 2 WinnerRex Regum Qeon50039.0¢40.0¢+$5trade2026-05-10 06:27 UTC
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over69154.5¢57.0¢+$17trade2026-05-10 00:05 UTC
Valorant: T1 vs Rex Regum Qeon - Map 1 WinnerT150060.0¢100.0¢+$200resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over3,30954.5¢0.0¢-$1.8Kresolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Wild24191.0¢100.0¢+$22resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?No2093.0¢100.0¢+$1resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex3064.0¢0.0¢-$19resolution2026-05-10 00:00 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes553.2¢22.0¢-$2trade2026-05-08 19:17 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes1,93953.2¢21.0¢-$624trade2026-05-08 19:15 UTC
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes99353.2¢25.0¢-$280trade2026-05-08 19:11 UTC
Knicks vs. 76ersKnicks545.0¢100.0¢+$3resolution2026-05-08 00:00 UTC
MolodyNo34299.9¢100.0¢+$0resolution2026-05-03 00:00 UTC
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT14544.0¢100.0¢+$25resolution2026-05-01 00:00 UTC
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?Yes3,89836.2¢100.0¢+$2.5Kresolution2026-04-30 00:00 UTC
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the mo…Yes548.0¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seat…No20149.1¢0.0¢-$99resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Will Dignitas qualify for EWC 2026?No16799.1¢100.0¢+$2resolution2026-04-29 00:00 UTC
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under31563.0¢0.0¢-$198resolution2026-04-28 00:00 UTC
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under548.4¢0.0¢-$2resolution2026-04-28 00:00 UTC
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerWeibo Gaming2,0363.0¢0.0¢-$61resolution2026-04-26 00:00 UTC
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox5,88844.0¢67.1¢+$1.4Ktrade2026-04-25 16:55 UTC
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes51015.0¢16.0¢+$5trade2026-04-21 06:35 UTC
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran…Yes6,23720.5¢0.0¢-$1.3Kresolution2026-04-21 00:00 UTC
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No52813.5¢0.0¢-$71resolution2026-04-15 00:00 UTC
49 total

Recent trades

Last 50 ingested fills
Time UTCSideSizePriceMarket
2026-06-03 02:34 UTCBUY1,5611.9¢Will Anthropic's public ticker be $APBC?Yes
2026-06-03 02:31 UTCBUY3,7801.6¢Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?Yes
2026-06-03 01:52 UTCBUY1,0408.9¢Will any team get mega creeps at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-03 01:48 UTCSELL6650.9¢Will Satanic be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?Yes
2026-06-03 01:48 UTCSELL2,3931.5¢Will Collapse be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?Yes
2026-06-03 01:48 UTCSELL4701.0¢Will Ame be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?Yes
2026-06-03 01:47 UTCBUY10099.0¢Will Yatoro be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-03 01:47 UTCBUY57099.0¢Will Yatoro be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-03 01:45 UTCBUY70897.0¢Will Ame be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-03 01:45 UTCBUY2,61396.9¢Will Yatoro be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-03 01:41 UTCBUY25130.0¢Will any match last over 70 minutes at BLAST Slam VII?No
2026-06-02 08:06 UTCBUY21010.0¢Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 80% and 82.5%?Yes
2026-06-01 22:55 UTCSELL8,63739.0¢Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5UnderResolved
2026-06-01 22:40 UTCSELL72540.0¢Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5UnderResolved
2026-06-01 12:00 UTCSELL50.1¢Will Thomas Coxe advance from the CA-19 primary election?YesResolved
2026-06-01 04:30 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Marina Mabrey have the highest points per game in the WNBA…Yes
2026-06-01 04:30 UTCBUY212.0¢Will Sonia Citron have the highest points per game in the WNBA…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Chennedy Carter have the highest points per game in the WN…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Breanna Stewart have the highest points per game in the WN…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WN…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Aliyah Boston have the highest points per game in the WNBA…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Paige Bueckers have the highest points per game in the WNB…Yes
2026-06-01 04:29 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Brittney Sykes have the highest points per game in the WNB…Yes
2026-06-01 02:12 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Allisha Gray have the highest points per game in the WNBA…Yes
2026-06-01 02:11 UTCBUY222.0¢Will Kelsey Mitchell have the highest points per game in the WN…Yes
2026-06-01 02:11 UTCBUY212.0¢Will Napheesa Collier have the highest points per game in the W…Yes
2026-06-01 02:07 UTCSELL2,0000.1¢Israeli forces enter Beirut by May 31?YesResolved
2026-06-01 01:51 UTCBUY212.0¢Will Aneesah Morrow have the highest rebounds per game in the W…Yes
2026-06-01 01:50 UTCBUY212.0¢Will Jessica Shepard have the highest rebounds per game in the…Yes
2026-06-01 01:23 UTCSELL518.0¢Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele…Yes
2026-05-31 17:21 UTCSELL4,72057.0¢Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNew York Mets
2026-05-31 16:51 UTCBUY65911.4¢Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftim…Yes
2026-05-30 08:21 UTCBUY302.8¢Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve…Yes
2026-05-30 08:21 UTCSELL802.9¢Will Deutsche Bank or any of its underwriting affiliates serve…Yes
2026-05-29 09:58 UTCBUY6149.0¢LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIAResolved
2026-05-29 08:40 UTCBUY1,41162.0¢Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2027?Yes
2026-05-29 08:38 UTCBUY4,33534.3¢GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchNo
2026-05-29 08:38 UTCBUY28735.1¢GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launchNo
2026-05-29 06:59 UTCSELL2,83229.0¢LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsThunderTalk GamingResolved
2026-05-29 06:15 UTCSELL1,40120.0¢Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub MensikJakub MensikResolved
2026-05-29 06:07 UTCBUY4253.3¢Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?Yes
2026-05-28 01:21 UTCBUY2091.0¢Will Tuka Gafari advance from the CA-19 primary election?NoResolved
2026-05-28 01:21 UTCBUY67690.3¢Will Tuka Gafari advance from the CA-19 primary election?NoResolved
2026-05-27 23:13 UTCBUY15166.0¢The Polymarket Open: Big John vs. CheddyJohnResolved
2026-05-27 12:42 UTCSELL1,0000.1¢Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff…Yes
2026-05-27 09:35 UTCBUY597.9¢Will Joe Biden be arrested before 2027?No
2026-05-27 07:57 UTCBUY1,00099.7¢Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff…No
2026-05-27 07:57 UTCBUY1,00099.8¢Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff…No
2026-05-26 14:46 UTCBUY1,43299.2¢Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10?YesResolved
2026-05-26 13:53 UTCSELL9203.0¢Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?YesResolved